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neWeekIvMinus7dRvPoints":3.92,"oneWeekIvMinus24hRvPoints":5.99,"oneWeekIvMinus30dRvPoints":5.72},"fitQuality":{"currentObjective":0.00739965,"previousObjective":0.06697717,"currentLiveError":6.85070917,"previousLiveError":77.47710264},"coverage":{"currentListedExpiries":6,"previousListedExpiries":6,"comparedListedExpiries":5,"addedExpiries":["4NOV26"],"removedExpiries":["2NOV26"],"fixedTenors":["1W","2W","1M"],"suppressedFixedTenors":["3M","6M","9M","1Y"]},"commentary":{"source":"codex","model":"gpt-6.1-sol","headline":"Solana options show lower 2w ATM IV","executiveSummary":"The 2W ATM IV change for SOL was -3.62 volatility points over the stored comparison.\n\nNo news item was selected for this report window.","evidenceIds":["largest-standard-tenor","front-atm","rr25","realised-vol","spot-index-24h","back-atm"],"newsSummary":"No eligible news context was selected.","marketContextSummary":"","marketContext":[],"newsEvidenceIds":[],"takeaways":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 17:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 60.47%, 3.92 volatility points above seven-day realised volatility of 56.55%; 24-hour realised volatility was 54.48% and 30-day realised volatility was 54.75%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -2.89 volatility points to 57.79% across 1W, 2W and 1M."},{"id":"back-atm","label":"Long end","text":"Long-dated ATM IV is unavailable because comparable observations were not present at both snapshots."},{"id":"rr25","label":"Skew","text":"RR25 moved towards puts, averaging -1.50 volatility points to -3.95% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"bf25","label":"Convexity","text":"BF25 decreased, averaging -0.13 volatility points to 1.61% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"largest-standard-tenor","label":"Largest standard-tenor move","text":"The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was -3.62 volatility points at 2W, to 57.46%.","tenor":"2W","value":-3.62},{"id":"spot-index-24h","label":"24h spot-index return","text":"SOL spot-index return was -2.46% over 24 hours.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.24h"},{"id":"spot-index-7d","label":"7d spot-index return","text":"SOL spot-index return was -8.72% over seven days.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.7d"},{"id":"sol-1m-minus-1w-atm-regime-change","label":"1M-minus-1W ATM IV regime","text":"SOL 1M-minus-1W ATM IV slope changed from -5.24 to -5.03 volatility points (+0.21 points). 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At the cutoff, realised volatility measured 54.48% over 24 hours, 56.55% over seven days and 54.75% over 30 days. Front-end ATM IV averaged 57.79%, -2.89 points from the prior snapshot. Long-dated fixed tenors were suppressed because listed expiries did not bracket them. 1W RR25 moved 1.71 volatility points toward puts to -5.72%, leaving puts richer than calls. 2W BF25 fell 0.16 volatility points to 1.57%. 24-hour spot-index: -2.46%; nearest eligible forward 6NOV26: -2.24% to $92.70. 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The operational whipsaw inspection threshold is not met."}],"sourceCanonicalJson":"{\"currentRows\":[{\"asset\":\"SOL\",\"report\":{\"currency\":\"SOL\",\"currentSnapshotAt\":\"2026-11-02T17:31:00+00:00\",\"previousSnapshotAt\":\"2026-11-01T17:31:00+00:00\",\"reportDate\":\"2026-11-02\",\"sourceRevision\":\"captured-surface-inputs-v1:sha256:9b494190847c845b8adba43e1a42acc0db27f1f9993b2aa51e2e24efab4ce21b\",\"sourceSha256\":\"9b494190847c845b8adba43e1a42acc0db27f1f9993b2aa51e2e24efab4ce21b\",\"sourceSnapshots\":{\"current\":{\"id\":848434,\"timestamp\":\"2026-11-02T17:31:00+00:00\"},\"previous\":{\"id\":838465,\"timestamp\":\"2026-11-01T17:31:00+00:00\"}},\"tenors\":[{\"availability\":\"available\",\"rr25\":{\"change\":-1.71,\"current\":-5.72,\"previous\":-4.01},\"tenor\":\"1W\",\"unavailableReason\":null}],\"windowHours\":24.0}}],\"historicalRows\":[{\"asset\":\"SOL\",\"report\":{\"currency\":\"SOL\",\"currentSnapshotAt\":\"2026-11-01T17:31:00+00:00\",\"previousSnapshotAt\":\"2026-10-31T17:31:00+00:00\",\"reportDate\":\"2026-11-01\",\"sourceRevision\":\"captured-surface-inputs-v1:sha256:a9a5c16d5f78e22b0ea66249766c05a0b0f4de724f312b7c8e900e85033406b0\",\"sourceSha256\":\"a9a5c16d5f78e22b0ea66249766c05a0b0f4de724f312b7c8e900e85033406b0\",\"sourceSnapshots\":{\"current\":{\"id\":838465,\"timestamp\":\"2026-11-01T17:31:00+00:00\"},\"previous\":{\"id\":828528,\"timestamp\":\"2026-10-31T17:31:00+00:00\"}},\"tenors\":[{\"availability\":\"available\",\"rr25\":{\"change\":0.76,\"current\":-4.01,\"previous\":-4.77},\"tenor\":\"1W\",\"unavailableReason\":null}],\"windowHours\":24.0}}]}","sourceSha256":"b33399f5ae4501acb1552616ebb4a0b9df4610aae4f63da8f48205f1559a2e07"},"marketDiary":{"schemaVersion":1,"source":"local-news-mcp","generatedAt":"2026-11-02T18:30:36+00:00","window":{"startAt":"2026-11-01T17:31:00+00:00","endAt":"2026-11-02T17:31:00+00:00","endExclusive":true},"headline":"Solana options show lower 2w ATM IV","standfirst":"SOL 2W ATM IV is 57.46 percent, compared with 61.08 percent at the prior cutoff. The diary separates sourced context from measured market changes; the timing of an event alone does not establish a causal link.","days":[{"reportDate":"2026-11-02","headline":"Solana options show lower 2w ATM IV","summary":"The 2W ATM IV change for SOL was -3.62 volatility points over the stored comparison. No news item was selected for this report date.","macro":{"summary":"No qualifying macro event was retained for this report window.","events":[]},"crypto":{"summary":"No qualifying crypto event was retained for this report window.","events":[]}}]},"newsStatus":"no-relevant-catalyst","headline":"Solana options show lower 2w ATM IV","standfirst":"SOL 2W ATM IV is 57.46 percent, compared with 61.08 percent at the prior cutoff.","leadChart":{"asset":"SOL","metric":"atmIv","eventType":"atmIv","label":"2W","current":57.46,"previous":61.08,"change":-3.62,"currentSnapshotAt":"2026-11-02T17:31:00+00:00","previousSnapshotAt":"2026-11-01T17:31:00+00:00","evidenceRef":"summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove","provenance":{"kind":"report-event","candidateId":"sol-largestAtmMove","candidateSource":"summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove","eventRef":"events[type=atmIv,label=2W]","valuesRef":"tenors[tenor=2W].atmIv"},"event":{"type":"atmIv","title":"Largest standard-tenor ATM IV move","label":"2W","value":-3.62}},"crossAssetMarketContext":{"schemaVersion":1,"source":"market-context-mcp","status":"available","asset":"SOL","sessionDate":"2026-10-30","asOfTimestamp":"2026-10-30T20:00:00+00:00","summary":"Previous session (latest completed): SOL cross-asset context for 2026-10-30 The crypto-to-SPX realised-volatility ratio was 3.88, at the 22.6 percentile across 261 prior observations. 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