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eekIvMinus7dRvPoints":7.25,"oneWeekIvMinus24hRvPoints":24.14,"oneWeekIvMinus30dRvPoints":9.05},"fitQuality":{"currentObjective":0.02065345,"previousObjective":0.00780424,"currentLiveError":10000022.47900882,"previousLiveError":5.83774779},"coverage":{"currentListedExpiries":6,"previousListedExpiries":6,"comparedListedExpiries":4,"addedExpiries":["2NOV26"],"removedExpiries":["31OCT26"],"fixedTenors":["1W","2W","1M"],"suppressedFixedTenors":["3M","6M","9M","1Y"]},"commentary":{"source":"codex","model":"gpt-6.1-sol","headline":"Solana options show lower 1w ATM IV","executiveSummary":"The 1W ATM IV change for SOL was -5.57 volatility points over the stored comparison.\n\nNo news item was selected for this report window.","evidenceIds":["largest-standard-tenor","sol-1m-minus-1w-atm-regime-change","front-atm","realised-vol","back-atm"],"newsSummary":"No eligible news context was selected.","marketContextSummary":"","marketContext":[],"newsEvidenceIds":[],"takeaways":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 17:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 64.07%, 7.25 volatility points above seven-day realised volatility of 56.82%; 24-hour realised volatility was 39.93% and 30-day realised volatility was 55.02%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -3.41 volatility points to 60.92% across 1W, 2W and 1M."},{"id":"back-atm","label":"Long end","text":"Long-dated ATM IV is unavailable because comparable observations were not present at both snapshots."},{"id":"rr25","label":"Skew","text":"RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.79 volatility points to -3.68% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"bf25","label":"Convexity","text":"BF25 increased, averaging +0.39 volatility points to 1.88% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"largest-standard-tenor","label":"Largest standard-tenor move","text":"The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was -5.57 volatility points at 1W, to 64.07%.","tenor":"1W","value":-5.57},{"id":"spot-index-24h","label":"24h spot-index return","text":"SOL spot-index return was +1.19% over 24 hours.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.24h"},{"id":"spot-index-7d","label":"7d spot-index return","text":"SOL spot-index return was -4.35% over seven days.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.7d"},{"id":"sol-1m-minus-1w-atm-regime-change","label":"1M-minus-1W ATM IV regime","text":"SOL 1M-minus-1W ATM IV slope changed from -11.32 to -6.90 volatility points (+4.42 points). 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The operational whipsaw inspection threshold is not met."}],"sourceCanonicalJson":"{\"currentRows\":[{\"asset\":\"SOL\",\"report\":{\"currency\":\"SOL\",\"currentSnapshotAt\":\"2026-10-31T17:31:00+00:00\",\"previousSnapshotAt\":\"2026-10-30T17:31:00+00:00\",\"reportDate\":\"2026-10-31\",\"sourceRevision\":\"captured-surface-inputs-v1:sha256:c39daf65dd1d2846e7fbb7eb91ad845b4b3fe3478c3943898cfcff072c25fc6b\",\"sourceSha256\":\"c39daf65dd1d2846e7fbb7eb91ad845b4b3fe3478c3943898cfcff072c25fc6b\",\"sourceSnapshots\":{\"current\":{\"id\":828528,\"timestamp\":\"2026-10-31T17:31:00+00:00\"},\"previous\":{\"id\":818617,\"timestamp\":\"2026-10-30T17:31:00+00:00\"}},\"tenors\":[{\"availability\":\"available\",\"rr25\":{\"change\":0.63,\"current\":-4.77,\"previous\":-5.4},\"tenor\":\"1W\",\"unavailableReason\":null}],\"windowHours\":24.0}}],\"historicalRows\":[{\"asset\":\"SOL\",\"report\":{\"currency\":\"SOL\",\"currentSnapshotAt\":\"2026-10-30T17:31:00+00:00\",\"previousSnapshotAt\":\"2026-10-29T17:31:00+00:00\",\"reportDate\":\"2026-10-30\",\"sourceRevision\":\"captured-surface-inputs-v1:sha256:c14136e6bd5cfdb7fbb1e0bdd2bd8140d05e37e5450f2477389e030296706d1a\",\"sourceSha256\":\"c14136e6bd5cfdb7fbb1e0bdd2bd8140d05e37e5450f2477389e030296706d1a\",\"sourceSnapshots\":{\"current\":{\"id\":818617,\"timestamp\":\"2026-10-30T17:31:00+00:00\"},\"previous\":{\"id\":808843,\"timestamp\":\"2026-10-29T17:31:00+00:00\"}},\"tenors\":[{\"availability\":\"available\",\"rr25\":{\"change\":-4.34,\"current\":-5.4,\"previous\":-1.06},\"tenor\":\"1W\",\"unavailableReason\":null}],\"windowHours\":24.0}}]}","sourceSha256":"4b3e39c5e57775f150e5b21d17fcc7e4cd77f7e8163aaa5384f7125c11740a13"},"marketDiary":{"schemaVersion":1,"source":"local-news-mcp","generatedAt":"2026-10-31T19:23:56+00:00","window":{"startAt":"2026-10-30T17:31:00+00:00","endAt":"2026-10-31T17:31:00+00:00","endExclusive":true},"headline":"Solana options show lower 1w ATM IV","standfirst":"SOL 1W ATM IV is 64.07 percent, compared with 69.64 percent at the prior cutoff. The diary separates sourced context from measured market changes; the timing of an event alone does not establish a causal link.","days":[{"reportDate":"2026-10-31","headline":"Solana options show lower 1w ATM IV","summary":"The 1W ATM IV change for SOL was -5.57 volatility points over the stored comparison. No news item was selected for this report date.","macro":{"summary":"No qualifying macro event was retained for this report window.","events":[]},"crypto":{"summary":"No qualifying crypto event was retained for this report window.","events":[]}}]},"newsStatus":"no-relevant-catalyst","headline":"Solana options show lower 1w ATM IV","standfirst":"SOL 1W ATM IV is 64.07 percent, compared with 69.64 percent at the prior cutoff.","leadChart":{"asset":"SOL","metric":"atmIv","eventType":"atmIv","label":"1W","current":64.07,"previous":69.64,"change":-5.57,"currentSnapshotAt":"2026-10-31T17:31:00+00:00","previousSnapshotAt":"2026-10-30T17:31:00+00:00","evidenceRef":"summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove","provenance":{"kind":"report-event","candidateId":"sol-largestAtmMove","candidateSource":"summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove","eventRef":"events[type=atmIv,label=1W]","valuesRef":"tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv"},"event":{"type":"atmIv","title":"Largest standard-tenor ATM IV move","label":"1W","value":-5.57}},"crossAssetMarketContext":{"schemaVersion":1,"source":"market-context-mcp","status":"available","asset":"SOL","sessionDate":"2026-10-30","asOfTimestamp":"2026-10-30T20:00:00+00:00","summary":"Previous session (latest completed): SOL cross-asset context for 2026-10-30 The crypto-to-SPX realised-volatility ratio was 3.88, at the 22.6 percentile across 261 prior observations. 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