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eekIvMinus7dRvPoints":4.37,"oneWeekIvMinus24hRvPoints":2.51,"oneWeekIvMinus30dRvPoints":1.44},"fitQuality":{"currentObjective":0.00062821,"previousObjective":0.00091024,"currentLiveError":4.42051245,"previousLiveError":1.0485134},"coverage":{"currentListedExpiries":6,"previousListedExpiries":6,"comparedListedExpiries":5,"addedExpiries":["28OCT26"],"removedExpiries":["26OCT26"],"fixedTenors":["1W","2W","1M"],"suppressedFixedTenors":["3M","6M","9M","1Y"]},"commentary":{"source":"codex","model":"gpt-6.1-sol","headline":"Solana options see one-month implied volatility fall 1.11 points to 53.46%","executiveSummary":"The 1M ATM IV change for SOL was -1.11 volatility points over the stored comparison.\n\nNo news item was selected for this report window.","evidenceIds":["largest-standard-tenor","front-atm","realised-vol","back-atm"],"newsSummary":"No eligible news context was selected.","marketContextSummary":"","marketContext":[],"newsEvidenceIds":[],"takeaways":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 17:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 56.21%, 4.37 volatility points above seven-day realised volatility of 51.84%; 24-hour realised volatility was 53.70% and 30-day realised volatility was 54.77%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -0.76 volatility points to 55.26% across 1W, 2W and 1M."},{"id":"back-atm","label":"Long end","text":"Long-dated ATM IV is unavailable because comparable observations were not present at both 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move at the 79th percentile among 28 comparable historical observations. At the cutoff, realised volatility measured 53.70% over 24 hours, 51.84% over seven days and 54.77% over 30 days. Front-end ATM IV averaged 55.26%, -0.76 points from the prior snapshot. Long-dated fixed tenors were suppressed because listed expiries did not bracket them. 1M ATM IV fell 1.11 volatility points to 53.46%. 1W BF25 fell 0.33 volatility points to 3.39%. 24-hour spot-index: -0.50%; nearest eligible forward 30OCT26: -0.54% to $101.26. No sufficiently relevant context identified; the strongest assessed relationship has low causal confidence.","wordCount":111,"source":"deterministic structured report facts","evidenceFields":["summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove","realisedVolatility.spotMove24hPercent","realisedVolatility.rv24hPercent","realisedVolatility.rv7dPercent","realisedVolatility.rv30dPercent","summaryMetrics.frontEndAverageAtm","summaryMetrics.largestRr25Move","summaryMetrics.largestBf25Move","summaryMetrics.nearestEligibleForwardMove","newsContext.outcome","newsContext.highest_causal_confidence"]},"facts":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 17:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 56.21%, 4.37 volatility points above seven-day realised volatility of 51.84%; 24-hour realised volatility was 53.70% and 30-day realised volatility was 54.77%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -0.76 volatility points to 55.26% across 1W, 2W and 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The operational whipsaw inspection threshold is not met."}],"sourceCanonicalJson":"{\"currentRows\":[{\"asset\":\"SOL\",\"report\":{\"currency\":\"SOL\",\"currentSnapshotAt\":\"2026-10-26T17:31:00+00:00\",\"previousSnapshotAt\":\"2026-10-25T17:31:00+00:00\",\"reportDate\":\"2026-10-26\",\"sourceRevision\":\"captured-surface-inputs-v1:sha256:417fb2adfa7869371b9bcaa9035aadd07633e084fc947d4c8e228d6c6c85aa64\",\"sourceSha256\":\"417fb2adfa7869371b9bcaa9035aadd07633e084fc947d4c8e228d6c6c85aa64\",\"sourceSnapshots\":{\"current\":{\"id\":778763,\"timestamp\":\"2026-10-26T17:31:00+00:00\"},\"previous\":{\"id\":768704,\"timestamp\":\"2026-10-25T17:31:00+00:00\"}},\"tenors\":[{\"availability\":\"available\",\"rr25\":{\"change\":1.77,\"current\":-0.67,\"previous\":-2.44},\"tenor\":\"1W\",\"unavailableReason\":null}],\"windowHours\":24.0}}],\"historicalRows\":[{\"asset\":\"SOL\",\"report\":{\"currency\":\"SOL\",\"currentSnapshotAt\":\"2026-10-25T17:31:00+00:00\",\"previousSnapshotAt\":\"2026-10-24T17:31:00+00:00\",\"reportDate\":\"2026-10-25\",\"sourceRevision\":\"captured-surface-inputs-v1:sha256:f543e5a9ae77227161f183da5df5bdc25fcc6b8ded04ea2420d753b7a9906fc8\",\"sourceSha256\":\"f543e5a9ae77227161f183da5df5bdc25fcc6b8ded04ea2420d753b7a9906fc8\",\"sourceSnapshots\":{\"current\":{\"id\":768704,\"timestamp\":\"2026-10-25T17:31:00+00:00\"},\"previous\":{\"id\":758790,\"timestamp\":\"2026-10-24T17:31:00+00:00\"}},\"tenors\":[{\"availability\":\"available\",\"rr25\":{\"change\":0.21,\"current\":-2.44,\"previous\":-2.65},\"tenor\":\"1W\",\"unavailableReason\":null}],\"windowHours\":24.0}}]}","sourceSha256":"6424469c29907d03e53eb96e54781bc04b4f031e65370da3790a04fda47990b4"},"marketDiary":{"schemaVersion":1,"source":"local-news-mcp","generatedAt":"2026-10-26T19:38:57+00:00","window":{"startAt":"2026-10-25T17:31:00+00:00","endAt":"2026-10-26T17:31:00+00:00","endExclusive":true},"headline":"Solana options see one-month implied volatility fall 1.11 points to 53.46%","standfirst":"SOL 1M ATM IV is 53.46 percent, compared with 54.57 percent at the prior cutoff. The diary separates sourced context from measured market changes; the timing of an event alone does not establish a causal link.","days":[{"reportDate":"2026-10-26","headline":"Solana options see one-month implied volatility fall 1.11 points to 53.46%","summary":"The 1M ATM IV change for SOL was -1.11 volatility points over the stored comparison. No news item was selected for this report date.","macro":{"summary":"No qualifying macro event was retained for this report window.","events":[]},"crypto":{"summary":"No qualifying crypto event was retained for this report window.","events":[]}}]},"newsStatus":"no-relevant-catalyst","headline":"Solana options see one-month implied volatility fall 1.11 points to 53.46%","standfirst":"SOL 1M ATM IV is 53.46 percent, compared with 54.57 percent at the prior cutoff.","leadChart":{"asset":"SOL","metric":"atmIv","eventType":"atmIv","label":"1M","current":53.46,"previous":54.57,"change":-1.11,"currentSnapshotAt":"2026-10-26T17:31:00+00:00","previousSnapshotAt":"2026-10-25T17:31:00+00:00","evidenceRef":"summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove","provenance":{"kind":"report-event","candidateId":"sol-largestAtmMove","candidateSource":"summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove","eventRef":"events[type=atmIv,label=1M]","valuesRef":"tenors[tenor=1M].atmIv"},"event":{"type":"atmIv","title":"Largest standard-tenor ATM IV move","label":"1M","value":-1.11}},"crossAssetMarketContext":{"schemaVersion":1,"source":"market-context-mcp","status":"available","asset":"SOL","sessionDate":"2026-10-23","asOfTimestamp":"2026-10-23T20:00:00+00:00","summary":"Previous session (latest completed): SOL cross-asset context for 2026-10-23 The crypto-minus-SPX realised-volatility spread was 37.25 points, at the 30.9 percentile across 256 prior observations. 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