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kIvMinus7dRvPoints":4.31,"oneWeekIvMinus24hRvPoints":20.14,"oneWeekIvMinus30dRvPoints":2.29},"fitQuality":{"currentObjective":0.00091024,"previousObjective":0.00355766,"currentLiveError":1.0485134,"previousLiveError":6.24587329},"coverage":{"currentListedExpiries":6,"previousListedExpiries":6,"comparedListedExpiries":5,"addedExpiries":["27OCT26"],"removedExpiries":["25OCT26"],"fixedTenors":["1W","2W","1M"],"suppressedFixedTenors":["3M","6M","9M","1Y"]},"commentary":{"source":"codex","model":"gpt-6.1-sol","headline":"Solana options show higher 1m ATM IV","executiveSummary":"The 1M ATM IV change for SOL was +2.87 volatility points over the stored comparison.\n\nNo news item was selected for this report window.","evidenceIds":["largest-standard-tenor","front-atm","back-atm","realised-vol","spot-index-24h"],"newsSummary":"No eligible news context was selected.","marketContextSummary":"","marketContext":[],"newsEvidenceIds":[],"takeaways":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 17:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 56.82%, 4.31 volatility points above seven-day realised volatility of 52.51%; 24-hour realised volatility was 36.68% and 30-day realised volatility was 54.53%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +2.17 volatility points to 56.02% across 1W, 2W and 1M."},{"id":"back-atm","label":"Long end","text":"Long-dated ATM IV is unavailable because comparable observations were not present at both snapshots."},{"id":"rr25","label":"Skew","text":"RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.20 volatility points to -0.53% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"bf25","label":"Convexity","text":"BF25 increased, averaging +0.18 volatility points to 3.60% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"largest-standard-tenor","label":"Largest standard-tenor move","text":"The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +2.87 volatility points at 1M, to 54.57%.","tenor":"1M","value":2.87},{"id":"spot-index-24h","label":"24h spot-index return","text":"SOL spot-index return was +1.66% over 24 hours.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.24h"},{"id":"spot-index-7d","label":"7d spot-index return","text":"SOL spot-index return was -0.08% over seven days.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.7d"},{"id":"sol-1m-minus-1w-atm-regime-change","label":"1M-minus-1W ATM IV regime","text":"SOL 1M-minus-1W ATM IV slope changed from -3.17 to -2.25 volatility points (+0.92 points). 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historical observations. At the cutoff, realised volatility measured 36.68% over 24 hours, 52.51% over seven days and 54.53% over 30 days. Front-end ATM IV averaged 56.02%, +2.17 points from the prior snapshot. Long-dated fixed tenors were suppressed because listed expiries did not bracket them. 2W RR25 moved 0.56 volatility points toward calls to -0.39%, leaving puts richer than calls. 1W BF25 rose 0.25 volatility points to 3.72%. 24-hour spot-index: +1.66%; nearest eligible forward 30OCT26: +1.51% to $101.81. No sufficiently relevant context identified; the strongest assessed relationship has low causal confidence.","wordCount":109,"source":"deterministic structured report facts","evidenceFields":["summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove","realisedVolatility.spotMove24hPercent","realisedVolatility.rv24hPercent","realisedVolatility.rv7dPercent","realisedVolatility.rv30dPercent","summaryMetrics.frontEndAverageAtm","summaryMetrics.largestRr25Move","summaryMetrics.largestBf25Move","summaryMetrics.nearestEligibleForwardMove","newsContext.outcome","newsContext.highest_causal_confidence"]},"facts":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 17:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 56.82%, 4.31 volatility points above seven-day realised volatility of 52.51%; 24-hour realised volatility was 36.68% and 30-day realised volatility was 54.53%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +2.17 volatility points to 56.02% across 1W, 2W and 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