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eWeekIvMinus7dRvPoints":1.0,"oneWeekIvMinus24hRvPoints":4.87,"oneWeekIvMinus30dRvPoints":-0.7},"fitQuality":{"currentObjective":0.01552242,"previousObjective":0.00629815,"currentLiveError":6.08693101,"previousLiveError":2.17376987},"coverage":{"currentListedExpiries":6,"previousListedExpiries":6,"comparedListedExpiries":5,"addedExpiries":["26OCT26"],"removedExpiries":["24OCT26"],"fixedTenors":["1W","2W","1M"],"suppressedFixedTenors":["3M","6M","9M","1Y"]},"commentary":{"source":"codex","model":"gpt-6.1-sol","headline":"Solana options show higher 1w ATM IV","executiveSummary":"The 1W ATM IV change for SOL was +5.09 volatility points over the stored comparison.\n\nNo news item was selected for this report window.","evidenceIds":["largest-standard-tenor","sol-1m-minus-1w-atm-regime-change","front-atm","realised-vol","back-atm","spot-index-24h"],"newsSummary":"No eligible news context was selected.","marketContextSummary":"","marketContext":[],"newsEvidenceIds":[],"takeaways":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 16:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 55.07%, broadly in line with seven-day realised volatility of 54.07%; 24-hour realised volatility was 50.20% and 30-day realised volatility was 55.77%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +1.42 volatility points to 53.89% across 1W, 2W and 1M."},{"id":"back-atm","label":"Long end","text":"Long-dated ATM IV is unavailable because comparable observations were not present at both 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At the cutoff, realised volatility measured 50.20% over 24 hours, 54.07% over seven days and 55.77% over 30 days. Front-end ATM IV averaged 53.89%, +1.42 points from the prior snapshot. Long-dated fixed tenors were suppressed because listed expiries did not bracket them. 2W RR25 moved 3.27 volatility points toward puts to -1.26%, leaving puts richer than calls. 1W BF25 rose 0.34 volatility points to 3.22%. 24-hour spot-index: -4.83%; nearest eligible forward 30OCT26: -4.80% to $99.64. 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IV","dailyWindowHours":{"minimum":23,"maximum":25},"samplingClockToleranceSeconds":0,"minimumHistoryObservations":20,"crossingDefinition":"strictly negative to strictly positive, or strictly positive to strictly negative","zeroHandling":"an exactly zero endpoint is a zero touch, not a genuine sign crossing","rarityBasis":"absolute slope changes in compatible prior daily observations of this asset and these tenors","causality":"not assessed","materialDeadbandVolPoints":0.5,"materialCrossingDefinition":"both endpoints clear opposite sides of +/-0.5 volatility points; equality included","materialPolicyStatus":"provisional; not fit-calibrated; not a rarity claim"},"statement":"SOL 1M-minus-1W ATM IV slope changed from +3.01 to -3.41 volatility points (-6.42 points). 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The operational whipsaw inspection threshold is not met."}],"sourceCanonicalJson":"{\"currentRows\":[{\"asset\":\"SOL\",\"report\":{\"currency\":\"SOL\",\"currentSnapshotAt\":\"2026-10-24T16:31:00+00:00\",\"previousSnapshotAt\":\"2026-10-23T16:31:00+00:00\",\"reportDate\":\"2026-10-24\",\"sourceRevision\":\"captured-surface-inputs-v1:sha256:c923a0c9f741c9f71a6e7b88d3c8ee41afc1a43ee49e7e7103ea7d80377b0dd5\",\"sourceSha256\":\"c923a0c9f741c9f71a6e7b88d3c8ee41afc1a43ee49e7e7103ea7d80377b0dd5\",\"sourceSnapshots\":{\"current\":{\"id\":758367,\"timestamp\":\"2026-10-24T16:31:00+00:00\"},\"previous\":{\"id\":748288,\"timestamp\":\"2026-10-23T16:31:00+00:00\"}},\"tenors\":[{\"availability\":\"available\",\"rr25\":{\"change\":-2.88,\"current\":-3.4,\"previous\":-0.52},\"tenor\":\"1W\",\"unavailableReason\":null}],\"windowHours\":24.0}}],\"historicalRows\":[{\"asset\":\"SOL\",\"report\":{\"currency\":\"SOL\",\"currentSnapshotAt\":\"2026-10-23T16:31:00+00:00\",\"previousSnapshotAt\":\"2026-10-22T16:31:00+00:00\",\"reportDate\":\"2026-10-23\",\"sourceRevision\":\"captured-surface-inputs-v1:sha256:9560cb248017e18cf95862bdaa93cbbdc557539d22d4c2ad9c16e38ea9cc440c\",\"sourceSha256\":\"9560cb248017e18cf95862bdaa93cbbdc557539d22d4c2ad9c16e38ea9cc440c\",\"sourceSnapshots\":{\"current\":{\"id\":748288,\"timestamp\":\"2026-10-23T16:31:00+00:00\"},\"previous\":{\"id\":738235,\"timestamp\":\"2026-10-22T16:31:00+00:00\"}},\"tenors\":[{\"availability\":\"available\",\"rr25\":{\"change\":-2.14,\"current\":-0.52,\"previous\":1.62},\"tenor\":\"1W\",\"unavailableReason\":null}],\"windowHours\":24.0}}]}","sourceSha256":"42d1cda07c65183dcd6a5bdc68e9b7dde9c364c90a47452b00c63835ab73d349"},"marketDiary":{"schemaVersion":1,"source":"local-news-mcp","generatedAt":"2026-10-24T17:03:13+00:00","window":{"startAt":"2026-10-23T16:31:00+00:00","endAt":"2026-10-24T16:31:00+00:00","endExclusive":true},"headline":"Solana options show higher 1w ATM IV","standfirst":"SOL 1W ATM IV is 55.07 percent, compared with 49.98 percent at the prior cutoff. 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No news item was selected for this report date.","macro":{"summary":"No qualifying macro event was retained for this report window.","events":[]},"crypto":{"summary":"No qualifying crypto event was retained for this report window.","events":[]}}]},"newsStatus":"no-relevant-catalyst","headline":"Solana options show higher 1w ATM IV","standfirst":"SOL 1W ATM IV is 55.07 percent, compared with 49.98 percent at the prior cutoff.","leadChart":{"asset":"SOL","metric":"atmIv","eventType":"atmIv","label":"1W","current":55.07,"previous":49.98,"change":5.09,"currentSnapshotAt":"2026-10-24T16:31:00+00:00","previousSnapshotAt":"2026-10-23T16:31:00+00:00","evidenceRef":"summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove","provenance":{"kind":"report-event","candidateId":"sol-largestAtmMove","candidateSource":"summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove","eventRef":"events[type=atmIv,label=1W]","valuesRef":"tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv"},"event":{"type":"atmIv","title":"Largest standard-tenor ATM IV move","label":"1W","value":5.09}},"crossAssetMarketContext":{"schemaVersion":1,"source":"market-context-mcp","status":"available","asset":"SOL","sessionDate":"2026-10-23","asOfTimestamp":"2026-10-23T20:00:00+00:00","summary":"Previous session (latest completed): SOL cross-asset context for 2026-10-23 The crypto-minus-SPX realised-volatility spread was 37.25 points, at the 30.9 percentile across 256 prior observations. 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IV","dailyWindowHours":{"minimum":23,"maximum":25},"samplingClockToleranceSeconds":0,"minimumHistoryObservations":20,"crossingDefinition":"strictly negative to strictly positive, or strictly positive to strictly negative","zeroHandling":"an exactly zero endpoint is a zero touch, not a genuine sign crossing","rarityBasis":"absolute slope changes in compatible prior daily observations of this asset and these tenors","causality":"not assessed","materialDeadbandVolPoints":0.5,"materialCrossingDefinition":"both endpoints clear opposite sides of +/-0.5 volatility points; equality included","materialPolicyStatus":"provisional; not fit-calibrated; not a rarity claim"},"statement":"SOL 1M-minus-1W ATM IV slope changed from +3.01 to -3.41 volatility points (-6.42 points). 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