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style-src 'unsafe-inline'; base-uri 'none'; img-src data:\" http-equiv=\"Content-Security-Policy\"/><title>SOL leads the divergence in 1W ATM volatility</title><style>:root { color-scheme: light; --paper: #f7f3eb; --raised: #f0ebe1; --ink: #242824; --soft: #3d433e; --muted: #626a61; --line: #d3cec2; --strong: #b5b5a7; --teal: #315f59; --teal-pale: #e3ebe3; }\n* { box-sizing: border-box; }\nhtml { background: var(--paper); }\nbody { margin: 0; background: var(--paper); color: var(--ink); font: 16px/1.6 system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, \"Segoe UI\", sans-serif; }\na { color: var(--teal); text-underline-offset: 3px; overflow-wrap: anywhere; }\na:focus-visible, summary:focus-visible { outline: 2px solid var(--teal); outline-offset: 4px; }\n.report { width: calc(100% - 48px); max-width: 1100px; width: min(calc(100% - 48px), 1100px); margin: 0 auto; padding-bottom: 56px; }\n.hero { padding: 24px 0 32px; border-bottom: 1px solid var(--strong); }\n.brand-row { display: flex; justify-content: space-between; 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} .appendix { overflow-wrap: anywhere; } }</style><style>img.brand-mark {display:block; width:30px; height:30px; background:none;} .snapshot > div {padding-top:10px; padding-bottom:10px;} .snapshot strong {margin:2px 0;}</style></head><body><main class=\"report\"><header class=\"hero\"><div class=\"brand-row\"><img alt=\"\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"brand-mark\" src=\"data:image/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHdpZHRoPSIzMCIgaGVpZ2h0PSIzMCIgdmlld0JveD0iMCAwIDI0MCAyNDAiIHJvbGU9ImltZyIgYXJpYS1sYWJlbGxlZGJ5PSJ0aXRsZSBkZXNjIj4KICA8dGl0bGUgaWQ9InRpdGxlIj5EZXJpdmFzeXMgRCBtYXJrPC90aXRsZT4KICA8ZGVzYyBpZD0iZGVzYyI+U3R5bGl6ZWQgRGVyaXZhc3lzIEQgbWFyayB3aXRoIHZvbGF0aWxpdHktc3VyZmFjZSB3YXZlIGJhbmRzLjwvZGVzYz4KICAKICAgIDxkZWZzPgogICAgICA8bGluZWFyR3JhZGllbnQgaWQ9ImRHcmFkTWFyayIgeDE9IjMwIiB5MT0iMjIwIiB4Mj0iMjA1IiB5Mj0iMjAiIGdyYWRpZW50VW5pdHM9InVzZXJTcGFjZU9uVXNlIj4KICAgICAgICA8c3RvcCBvZmZzZXQ9IjAlIiBzdG9wLWNvbG9yPSIjMEU0RjcwIi8+CjxzdG9wIG9mZnNldD0iNDglIiBzdG9wLWNvbG9yPSIjMkNBRkQwIi8+CjxzdG9wIG9mZnNldD0iMTAwJSIgc3RvcC1jb2xvcj0iIzlFRUJGQSIvPgogICAgICA8L2xpbmVhckdyYWRpZW50PgogICAgICA8bGluZWFyR3JhZGllbnQgaWQ9InN0cmlwZUdyYWRNYXJrIiB4MT0iMTUiIHkxPSIyMTAiIHgyPSIyMjAiIHkyPSI3MCIgZ3JhZGllbnRVbml0cz0idXNlclNwYWNlT25Vc2UiPgogICAgICAgIDxzdG9wIG9mZnNldD0iMCUiIHN0b3AtY29sb3I9IiMwRjQ5NjciLz4KICAgICAgICA8c3RvcCBvZmZzZXQ9IjUyJSIgc3RvcC1jb2xvcj0iIzJDQjhEOCIvPgogICAgICAgIDxzdG9wIG9mZnNldD0iMTAwJSIgc3RvcC1jb2xvcj0iI0E0RjNGRiIvPgogICAgICA8L2xpbmVhckdyYWRpZW50PgogICAgICA8Y2xpcFBhdGggaWQ9ImNsaXBETWFyayI+CiAgICAgICAgPHBhdGggZD0iTTMwIDIyIEgxMDMgQzE2NiAyMiAyMTQgNzAgMjE0IDEyMCBDMjE0IDE3OCAxNjYgMjE4IDEwMyAyMTggSDMwIFoiLz4KICAgICAgPC9jbGlwUGF0aD4KICAgICAgPGZpbHRlciBpZD0ic29mdFNoYWRvd01hcmsiIHg9Ii0yMCUiIHk9Ii0yMCUiIHdpZHRoPSIxNDAlIiBoZWlnaHQ9IjE0MCUiPgogICAgICAgIDxmZURyb3BTaGFkb3cgZHg9IjAiIGR5PSI4IiBzdGREZXZpYXRpb249IjEwIiBmbG9vZC1jb2xvcj0iIzAwMTAxRiIgZmxvb2Qtb3BhY2l0eT0iMC4yMCIvPgogICAgICA8L2ZpbHRlcj4KICAgIDwvZGVmcz4KICAgIAogIAogICAgPGc+CiAgICAgIDwhLS0gdXBwZXIgRCBzaG91bGRlciAvIGxlZnQgc3BpbmUgLS0+CiAgICAgIDxwYXRoIGQ9Ik0zMCAyMiBIMTAzIEMxNTQgMjIgMTk4IDU3IDIxMiAxMDYgTDE4NCAxMDAgQzE3MiA3MCAxMzcgNTIgMTAyIDUyIEg2MiBWMTM5IEwzMCAxNTggWiIgZmlsbD0idXJsKCNkR3JhZE1hcmspIi8+CiAgICAgIDwhLS0gbG93ZXIgRCBzd2VlcCAtLT4KICAgICAgPHBhdGggZD0iTTMwIDE3OCBWMjE4IEgxMDMgQzE2NiAyMTggMjE0IDE3OCAyMTQgMTIwIEMyMTQgMTEzIDIxMyAxMDYgMjEyIDEwMCBMMTg0IDEwNSBDMTg3IDExMyAxODggMTE5IDE4OCAxMjQgQzE4OCAxNjAgMTU0IDE5MCAxMDMgMTkwIEg3OSBMNjAgMjE4IEgzMCBaIiBmaWxsPSJ1cmwoI2RHcmFkTWFyaykiLz4KICAgICAgPCEtLSB2b2xhdGlsaXR5LXN1cmZhY2Ugd2F2ZSBiYW5kcywgY2xpcHBlZCBpbnRvIHRoZSBEIHNpbGhvdWV0dGUgLS0+CiAgICAgIDxnIGNsaXAtcGF0aD0idXJsKCNjbGlwRE1hcmspIj4KICAgICAgICA8cGF0aCBkPSJNLTIgMTYwIEM1NiAxMjggOTMgOTEgMTY5IDc2IEMxODggNzIgMjA1IDcwIDIyNCA2OSIgZmlsbD0ibm9uZSIgc3Ryb2tlPSJ1cmwoI3N0cmlwZUdyYWRNYXJrKSIgc3Ryb2tlLXdpZHRoPSIyNSIgc3Ryb2tlLWxpbmVjYXA9ImJ1dHQiLz4KICAgICAgICA8cGF0aCBkPSJNLTYgMjAwIEM1OSAxNjEgMTA0IDEyMSAxODQgOTggQzE5OCA5NCAyMTEgOTEgMjI2IDg4IiBmaWxsPSJub25lIiBzdHJva2U9InVybCgjc3RyaXBlR3JhZE1hcmspIiBzdHJva2Utd2lkdGg9IjI1IiBzdHJva2UtbGluZWNhcD0iYnV0dCIvPgogICAgICA8L2c+CiAgICA8L2c+CiAgICAKPC9zdmc+Cg==\"/> DERIVASYS</div><p class=\"eyebrow\">Focused research note</p><h1>SOL leads the divergence in 1W ATM volatility</h1><p class=\"standfirst\">SOL 1W ATM volatility strengthened while BTC eased and ETH rose more modestly. The divergence concerns volatility expectations, not renewed downside asymmetry: 1W RR25 became less negative across the cohort. Firmer ETH and SOL 1M ATM volatility also qualifies a purely front-tenor interpretation.</p><p class=\"byline\">Derivasys Research</p><div aria-label=\"Report snapshot\" class=\"snapshot\"><div><span>Report date</span><strong>09 Nov 2026</strong></div><div><span>Current snapshot</span><strong>09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div><div><span>Coverage</span><strong>BTC, ETH, SOL</strong></div><div><span>Comparison snapshot</span><strong>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div></div></header><section class=\"section editorial\"><p class=\"eyebrow\">The reading</p><h2>What the evidence says</h2><p class=\"finding\">The central distinction is divergent 1W ATM, or at-the-money, implied volatility rather than a common repricing across crypto. BTC 1W ATM IV changed by -1.14 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup> to 39.22% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup>, versus ETH's +0.92 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup> to 56.54% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup> and SOL's +4.71 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup> to 61.73% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup> over their matched daily endpoints. SOL's 1W absolute move has a full-captured-history magnitude percentile of 83.3rd percentile <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup>; this describes its individual move, not the rarity of the cross-asset configuration. The matched 1M comparison supports the directional split: BTC changed by -0.36 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup> to 38.11% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup>, ETH by +0.78 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup> to 54.33% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup>, and SOL by +1.08 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup> to 57.18% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup>. SOL's larger 1W increase therefore has a broader 1M counterpart, while its 3M change of -0.18 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup> limits any claim of uniformly firmer SOL ATM volatility.</p><p class=\"finding\">Directional asymmetry moved differently from ATM volatility. RR25 measures call-versus-put IV asymmetry: BTC 1W RR25 changed by +1.72 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup> to -2.72 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup>, ETH by +2.29 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup> to -4.12 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup>, and SOL by +0.52 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup> to -2.87 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup>. Existing downside biases eased but remained negative, including where 1W ATM IV rose. Matched 1M RR25 changes of +0.73 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup> for BTC, +0.45 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup> for ETH and +0.05 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup> for SOL show that skew relief extended beyond 1W, though SOL's 1M adjustment was slight. BF25, the average wing IV premium over ATM, also needs tenor-specific interpretation. Its 1W changes were -0.24 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup> for BTC, -0.19 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup> for ETH and -0.07 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup> for SOL. At 2W, BTC BF25 changed by -0.17 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup> to 0.97 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 28\" href=\"#source-28\">[28]</a></sup>, ETH by -0.13 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 29\" href=\"#source-29\">[29]</a></sup> to 1.78 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 30\" href=\"#source-30\">[30]</a></sup>, and SOL by +0.01 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 31\" href=\"#source-31\">[31]</a></sup> to 1.60 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup>. Matched 1M BF25 changes were -0.03 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup>, -0.01 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup> and +0.12 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup>, respectively. Thus the shared 1W butterfly-premium narrowing does not describe every tenor, nor does it establish falling absolute wing IV.</p><p class=\"finding\">Spot performance further separates the ATM and skew readings. Over the crypto daily comparison, BTC spot changed by -1.12% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup>, ETH by -4.47% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 37\" href=\"#source-37\">[37]</a></sup> and SOL by -2.90% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 38\" href=\"#source-38\">[38]</a></sup>. ETH's weaker spot performance therefore coexisted with a smaller 1W ATM increase than SOL's, weakening a simple ordering of volatility repricing by spot losses. Across the common trailing realized-volatility window, BTC measured 43.16% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 39\" href=\"#source-39\">[39]</a></sup>, ETH 55.39% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 40\" href=\"#source-40\">[40]</a></sup> and SOL 62.98% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 41\" href=\"#source-41\">[41]</a></sup>. Forward 1W ATM IV minus trailing realized volatility was -3.94 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 42\" href=\"#source-42\">[42]</a></sup> for BTC, +1.15 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 43\" href=\"#source-43\">[43]</a></sup> for ETH and -1.25 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 44\" href=\"#source-44\">[44]</a></sup> for SOL. SOL's rising 1W ATM IV still sat below its trailing realized measure, while ETH's sat above its own. These describe different forward and backward windows; they do not identify cheap options or a trading edge.</p><p class=\"finding\">BTC's easing 1W and 1M ATM IV should also be distinguished from broader BTC volatility benchmarks. The fitted-surface DS30 measure was 43.11 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 45\" href=\"#source-45\">[45]</a></sup>, while the independently timed BVIV reference was 41.99 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 46\" href=\"#source-46\">[46]</a></sup>; BVIV minus DS30 was -1.12 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 47\" href=\"#source-47\">[47]</a></sup>. Their different construction prevents treating either as interchangeable with fitted 1M ATM IV. Meanwhile, <a href=\"https://wublock.substack.com/p/wublockchain-weekly-outlook-us-cpi\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Wu Blockchain</a> flagged prospective US inflation releases as potential rate catalysts. That shared event backdrop makes the divergent BTC, ETH and SOL 1W ATM responses worth monitoring, but supplies no explanation for their relative magnitudes. The relevant distinction remains firmer altcoin 1W ATM volatility alongside easing 1W downside asymmetry, with supportive but smaller altcoin 1M ATM increases.</p><div class=\"consolidated-limits\"><h3>Qualifications and limits</h3><ul><li>Historical magnitude ranks describe selected observed samples in their stated captured-history windows; missing dates and selection can bias them. They do not establish joint cross-asset rarity or statistical significance.</li><li>Trailing realized volatility uses canonical minute returns with calendar-day annualization and no gap filling; arithmetic consistency does not independently verify underlying prices. DS30 and BVIV have different constructions and independently selected native timestamps, and DS30's historical ingestion time is unknown.</li><li>News publication, market observation and retrieval clocks differ. Prospective inflation reporting supplies neither a verified surprise nor causal evidence for the tenor divergence; liquidity, positioning and event attribution remain unresolved.</li></ul></div></section><section class=\"section market-scorecard\"><h2>Verified market snapshot</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Current levels and changes over each recorded native interval. Only receipt-matched quotes are shown; an em dash marks a missing matching quote.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset · tenor</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV change</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25 change</th><th scope=\"col\">BF25 change</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC · 1W</th><td>39.22 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup></td><td>-1.14 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup></td><td>-2.72 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup></td><td>1.72 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup></td><td>-0.24 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC · 2W</th><td>38.20 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 48\" href=\"#source-48\">[48]</a></sup></td><td>-0.60 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 49\" href=\"#source-49\">[49]</a></sup></td><td>-2.85 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 50\" href=\"#source-50\">[50]</a></sup></td><td>1.46 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 51\" href=\"#source-51\">[51]</a></sup></td><td>-0.17 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC · 1M</th><td>38.11 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup></td><td>-0.36 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup></td><td>-2.90 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 52\" href=\"#source-52\">[52]</a></sup></td><td>0.73 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup></td><td>-0.03 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 1W</th><td>56.54 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup></td><td>0.92 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup></td><td>-4.12 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup></td><td>2.29 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup></td><td>-0.19 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 2W</th><td>55.38 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 53\" href=\"#source-53\">[53]</a></sup></td><td>1.05 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 54\" href=\"#source-54\">[54]</a></sup></td><td>-3.52 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 55\" href=\"#source-55\">[55]</a></sup></td><td>1.65 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 56\" href=\"#source-56\">[56]</a></sup></td><td>-0.13 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 29\" href=\"#source-29\">[29]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 1M</th><td>54.33 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup></td><td>0.78 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup></td><td>-2.87 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 57\" href=\"#source-57\">[57]</a></sup></td><td>0.45 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup></td><td>-0.01 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL · 1W</th><td>61.73 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup></td><td>4.71 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup></td><td>-2.87 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup></td><td>0.52 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup></td><td>-0.07 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL · 2W</th><td>59.02 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 58\" href=\"#source-58\">[58]</a></sup></td><td>3.01 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 59\" href=\"#source-59\">[59]</a></sup></td><td>-2.00 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 60\" href=\"#source-60\">[60]</a></sup></td><td>0.54 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 61\" href=\"#source-61\">[61]</a></sup></td><td>0.01 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 31\" href=\"#source-31\">[31]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL · 1M</th><td>57.18 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup></td><td>1.08 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup></td><td>-1.65 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 62\" href=\"#source-62\">[62]</a></sup></td><td>0.05 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup></td><td>0.12 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL · 3M</th><td>56.01 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 63\" href=\"#source-63\">[63]</a></sup></td><td>-0.18 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup></td><td>-0.89 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 64\" href=\"#source-64\">[64]</a></sup></td><td>-0.63 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 65\" href=\"#source-65\">[65]</a></sup></td><td>0.08 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 66\" href=\"#source-66\">[66]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><section class=\"section curve-regimes\"><h2>Weekly versus monthly curve</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Matched native endpoints; inverted means monthly ATM IV is below weekly ATM IV. Regimes compare verified levels; no numerical slope is inferred.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Curve regime</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC</th><td>40.36 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 67\" href=\"#source-67\">[67]</a></sup></td><td>38.47 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 68\" href=\"#source-68\">[68]</a></sup></td><td>39.22 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup></td><td>38.11 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH</th><td>55.62 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 69\" href=\"#source-69\">[69]</a></sup></td><td>53.55 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 70\" href=\"#source-70\">[70]</a></sup></td><td>56.54 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup></td><td>54.33 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL</th><td>57.02 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 71\" href=\"#source-71\">[71]</a></sup></td><td>56.10 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 72\" href=\"#source-72\">[72]</a></sup></td><td>61.73 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup></td><td>57.18 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"section curve-history\"><summary>Recent ATM curve history</summary><p>One-month minus one-week at-the-money implied volatility. Negative values mean an inverted curve. Each row retains its native observation time; missing days are not filled.</p><table><thead><tr><th>Asset</th><th>Native observation (UTC)</th><th>1M minus 1W ATM IV</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>BTC</td><td>2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-1.11 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 73\" href=\"#source-73\">[73]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>BTC</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-1.89 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 74\" href=\"#source-74\">[74]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>BTC</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-0.86 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 75\" href=\"#source-75\">[75]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>BTC</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-0.78 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 76\" href=\"#source-76\">[76]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.21 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 77\" href=\"#source-77\">[77]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.07 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 78\" href=\"#source-78\">[78]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.08 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 79\" href=\"#source-79\">[79]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.08 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 80\" href=\"#source-80\">[80]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>SOL</td><td>2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-4.55 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 81\" href=\"#source-81\">[81]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>SOL</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-0.92 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 82\" href=\"#source-82\">[82]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>SOL</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-1.79 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 83\" href=\"#source-83\">[83]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>SOL</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-1.74 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 84\" href=\"#source-84\">[84]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></details><section class=\"semantic-charts\" data-chart-plan-sha256=\"d8f1b69a13880bd90c3c8b478d21e446bd403275b0baa16862165d51359c6ddc\" data-semantic-chart-version=\"2\"><section class=\"section semantic-figure\" data-chart-kind=\"diverging_bars\" data-chart-role=\"hero\" data-chart-spec-sha256=\"53d4878267c546212bb8020ffeabedea9b7a0d41f35eef357d7dcaa5c46caa49\" data-figure-id=\"cohort:1W:atmIv\" data-receipt-ids=\"5ac4ab645fbeb219276461116415efdbda99cebbea9d967c1d41e842612ab200 c8bf7a932795af7286fb5288f40ca9d3adbe3e8f66d2afda58466893bb2cf4fe dd982745fd473d3a12bbdb6db80f72b05c7e80bd43c0303848a22c18dc4230dc\" data-source-ids=\"69cdd0bb8864223c35ce6c581304f6d405767f8d9f6c0e362e519cd42185bcfe c722c40a27d9ea3951ec414a15e0ad9c200ba3d8cde9f839399aa2000ada7725 cde9270a1983fe70ae7433684c9192c62733cea7e25111a3544927def320e1be\"><h2>1W ATM IV change across assets</h2><figure><p class=\"semantic-chart-scroll-hint\">Scroll horizontally to see the full chart.</p><div aria-label=\"Scrollable 1W ATM IV change across assets\" class=\"semantic-chart-wrap\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg class=\"semantic-chart\" data-chart-id=\"cohort:1W:atmIv\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 287\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><title>1W ATM IV change across assets</title><desc>Signed change around zero. The complete configured asset cohort is shown; grey cells are missing or have an ineligible native interval, never zero. Only the stated common native interval and units are comparable.</desc><g fill=\"#3d433e\" font-family=\"system-ui, sans-serif\" style=\"font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums\"><line stroke=\"#626a61\" x1=\"246.91\" x2=\"246.91\" y1=\"97.00\" y2=\"232.00\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"122.00\">BTC</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" height=\"21\" width=\"104.16\" x=\"142.76\" y=\"105\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"137.76\" y=\"121.00\">-1.14</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"156.00\">ETH</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"84.06\" x=\"246.91\" y=\"139\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"335.97\" y=\"155.00\">+0.92</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"190.00\">SOL</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"430.33\" x=\"246.91\" y=\"173\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"682.24\" y=\"189.00\">+4.71</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"272.00\">Change (volatility points)</text></g></svg></div><figcaption>Signed change around zero. The complete configured asset cohort is shown; grey cells are missing or have an ineligible native interval, never zero. Only the stated common native interval and units are comparable.</figcaption></figure></section><section class=\"section semantic-figure\" data-chart-kind=\"heatmap\" data-chart-role=\"support\" data-chart-spec-sha256=\"d092839022bde13170d8f277a3e90247226e07eb41ce9784edbaef4830ce8d20\" data-figure-id=\"curve-history:cohort\" data-receipt-ids=\"00746ee414f6788e45b8875f028ccd33fb678b9975a69f90322a073b3375f098 15cba4b642f1c3690bcf5e49d7d1aff8bfe29c935cd69bafb847c859f065d8c8 621c2bdc220b7b7dd4970a197744874e88c0e3b6b3cbc9223513affc52ecad48 6de2cd4ba374dbdc3e162de22c2ec40b7e6b3474076a87d33cf283878183aaa3 83b4d0392afb1155f0522ada45fd335a73cf17f3929699cb2360ccf517d335d7 8526cc70579a52a54c56e19779b92781ec5d7ef7d6d9a1a99e6325c98fc4bf35 9acc49af75afe98b92933399f3b8bbcc35a907115ef50ea0c48ca2f136f10a19 c494af8a0c01c0deccbc47e964f16c6244183db5b6d8901bb3962fbd55e932ec c987435764f601d57157480f338dc6548137c4ded93007ba07242320b2e2a29f cd43df6e4952dd50d5b695926c183fb1d768947b7e770e8bef831f0a88e8c9fe f2724800a7502e1f5f37fa2656d52d4610b09e4c7a1af9e2c82cd86b258d4646 f8aa17352ada4352a5f1caaa2dce1287b046d871e045237baf010a22f7494abe\" data-source-ids=\"11b93e3a6132a416478d6be2e1554b2a75238797f8d971f7523602b2d608fd1c 12665a786d551afc22476682405fc46e0be273734c87856505e82efc85c3705d 17addfe90e119d6b66b539192eec43450347c0bb2d24f175edfa5165211fa3cb 2435a2e1b19f64bc7d5c3aa24feaa3dedd59ec9b257c6bd4327448e2f664b4f4 38e1103f7e9f09bbdc1bb046db85997aab0d8978a212525a9e7eea10a2e06ec3 405ea0fbaa518955611c64b963130de17667aa18557150ba1a34f4dd80790e8b 4c9d2aaff47ac8f2fc8abe2e745133b00bbafc81bbbf1eed72122bd1e488da76 510496ec99a7fe20c7a3db39cc72d7c8213aae76a4a693ccd0a74f3490b5f4c8 52d8fe76aeece4f988ea70fc5435b2cb7bb6ee4e27217e0e349136f7daabf647 6cc842a6f9e327dd383f48618654fe8bef09bdb880ea7643b4f943fe20d6adf1 835f13bc5cf7de09d18fa0c4cd2505e0689489580ac5fc9154c66ba03d7e6bb2 8461428650e523bb288500f5c0d89f896e32468e8b2369ad09dc77e72d016763 8928d0d666270c3fb7e16a07efe8a50e81053a4aae5f637111d1fd2202c71fd3 a7962cc2786d339d055dac957089404c631a0927c8e6ea30a85b66aff5855e59 a8c6247c70fad5b259340e759a328bd378b8d3f8d01e9bdca0447891c22ac149 ae62320f824d4bb2f408bb90c46212072030de4ccd9b0163f2b774d486be28c3 b0b20e8d492d2455ab30b261ee299d8dbdf6059369a4d995c1f8c68b26662dd3 b10ea43cc61f9e1fe398f75e8772e30ea93b0eaf8b60ee46c9b39154b6f8ac8e c99abb6e46dc65e2db9b23747880e28595bc93f128fb7add6e2e31e77a22302d da76bbc42c407d9f52035d5648e704140a92d9c60ce0060b3130b70268dbe544 ddf8104d3c61ea31938f76555f76cc035c8f759c59c43fe0e5b238f11fead333 e281bfdcf4e56b3d40c6ba3fb8e1519ff4cbb7f0371c0959f2bb9448e7cf0ff6 f999f74610967671937fe652ea9a37a680273ab93497b2837c643e1df5bfb5c6 fae0cb6e77c26f6edbf92822b7dcd553a50de7d0f2d97f86316fcb2c108429cb\"><h2>Observed 1M minus 1W ATM IV by asset and date</h2><figure><p class=\"semantic-chart-scroll-hint\">Scroll horizontally to see the full chart.</p><div aria-label=\"Scrollable Observed 1M minus 1W ATM IV by asset and date\" class=\"semantic-chart-wrap\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg class=\"semantic-chart\" data-chart-id=\"curve-history:cohort\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 341\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><title>Observed 1M minus 1W ATM IV by asset and date</title><desc>Exact native slope observations for the complete configured asset cohort. Negative values are inverted; zero is flat. The symmetric colour scale is centred on zero. Grey cells are uncaptured endpoints, never zero; no history is filled. Column spacing is categorical; elapsed durations are not encoded.</desc><g fill=\"#3d433e\" font-family=\"system-ui, sans-serif\" style=\"font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums\"><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"177.50\" y=\"92.00\">2026-11-06</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"332.50\" y=\"92.00\">2026-11-07</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"487.50\" y=\"92.00\">2026-11-08</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"642.50\" y=\"92.00\">2026-11-09</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"131.00\">BTC</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.231\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"105\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"177.50\" y=\"130.00\">-0.78</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.243\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"255.00\" y=\"105\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"332.50\" y=\"130.00\">-0.86</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.390\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"105\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"487.50\" y=\"130.00\">-1.89</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.279\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"565.00\" y=\"105\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"642.50\" y=\"130.00\">-1.11</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"173.00\">ETH</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" fill-opacity=\"0.131\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"147\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"177.50\" y=\"172.00\">0.08</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" fill-opacity=\"0.131\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"255.00\" y=\"147\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"332.50\" y=\"172.00\">0.08</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.416\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"147\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"487.50\" y=\"172.00\">-2.07</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.436\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"565.00\" y=\"147\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"642.50\" y=\"172.00\">-2.21</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"215.00\">SOL</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.369\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"189\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"177.50\" y=\"214.00\">-1.74</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.376\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"255.00\" y=\"189\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"332.50\" y=\"214.00\">-1.79</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.251\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"189\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"487.50\" y=\"214.00\">-0.92</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.770\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"565.00\" y=\"189\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"642.50\" y=\"214.00\">-4.55</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" height=\"12\" width=\"12\" x=\"100\" y=\"282\"></rect><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"12\" width=\"12\" x=\"114\" y=\"282\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"134.00\" y=\"293.00\">Negative −4.55  ·  0  ·  +4.55 Positive (volatility points)</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"323.00\">Native observation clocks (equally spaced columns)</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"36.00\">1M minus 1W ATM IV (volatility points)</text></g></svg></div><figcaption>Exact native slope observations for the complete configured asset cohort. Negative values are inverted; zero is flat. The symmetric colour scale is centred on zero. Grey cells are uncaptured endpoints, never zero; no history is filled. Column spacing is categorical; elapsed durations are not encoded.</figcaption></figure></section><section class=\"section semantic-figure\" data-chart-kind=\"diverging_bars\" data-chart-role=\"support\" data-chart-spec-sha256=\"7f810d6da0d71cc20472b72e2d073c0b6eb022178dec57f3e4a2dfad25055006\" data-figure-id=\"rv-rolling:ETH\" data-receipt-ids=\"f7b281c2654eae784e989f6f20c51b0d1e79c77a579fb22086bc5cadd0d34f34\" data-source-ids=\"98327582e3934457c9048e61d2e7f16a02e805120457f7d3b8f691d84ef853df\"><h2>ETH trailing 7d variance: entering and leaving returns</h2><figure><p class=\"semantic-chart-scroll-hint\">Scroll horizontally to see the full chart.</p><div aria-label=\"Scrollable ETH trailing 7d variance: entering and leaving returns\" class=\"semantic-chart-wrap\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg class=\"semantic-chart\" data-chart-id=\"rv-rolling:ETH\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 321\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><title>ETH trailing 7d variance: entering and leaving returns</title><desc>Replayed same-series squared-minute arithmetic; not independent price validation. No fill, interpolation or gap bridging. Effects add in annualized squared volatility points, not RV percentage points. Current and previous coverage: 100.0% / 100.0%. The denominator effect is explicit; Net is the sum of the three effects. Selected by largest absolute variance change within the qualified common native interval; configured asset order resolves ties.</desc><g fill=\"#3d433e\" font-family=\"system-ui, sans-serif\" style=\"font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums\"><line stroke=\"#626a61\" x1=\"268.80\" x2=\"268.80\" y1=\"97.00\" y2=\"266.00\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"122.00\">Entering</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"408.45\" x=\"268.80\" y=\"105\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"682.24\" y=\"121.00\">+898.3</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"156.00\">Leaving</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" height=\"21\" width=\"126.04\" x=\"142.76\" y=\"139\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"137.76\" y=\"155.00\">-277.2</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"190.00\">Denominator</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"0.00\" x=\"268.80\" y=\"173\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"273.80\" y=\"189.00\">0</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"224.00\">Net</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"282.41\" x=\"268.80\" y=\"207\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"556.20\" y=\"223.00\">+621.1</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"306.00\">squared volatility points (annualized) (squared volatility points (annualized))</text></g></svg></div><figcaption>Replayed same-series squared-minute arithmetic; not independent price validation. No fill, interpolation or gap bridging. Effects add in annualized squared volatility points, not RV percentage points. Current and previous coverage: 100.0% / 100.0%. The denominator effect is explicit; Net is the sum of the three effects. Selected by largest absolute variance change within the qualified common native interval; configured asset order resolves ties.</figcaption></figure></section></section><details class=\"appendix legacy-chart-detail\" data-chart-role=\"appendix\" data-legacy-chart-policy=\"daily-v1\"><summary>Full original chart detail</summary><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>Cross-asset RR25 change</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"Cross-asset RR25 change\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>Cross-asset RR25 change</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-3.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">3.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"273.75\" y=\"265\">1W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"60.20\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"201.75\" y=\"72.80\"><title>1W · BTC: 1.72 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"225.75\" y=\"68.80\">1.72</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"80.15\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"249.75\" y=\"52.85\"><title>1W · ETH: 2.29 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"273.75\" y=\"48.85\">2.29</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"18.20\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"297.75\" y=\"114.80\"><title>1W · SOL: 0.52 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"321.75\" y=\"110.80\">0.52</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"571.25\" y=\"265\">1M</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"25.55\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"499.25\" y=\"107.45\"><title>1M · BTC: 0.73 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"523.25\" y=\"103.45\">0.73</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"15.75\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"547.25\" y=\"117.25\"><title>1M · ETH: 0.45 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"571.25\" y=\"113.25\">0.45</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"1.75\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"595.25\" y=\"131.25\"><title>1M · SOL: 0.05 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"619.25\" y=\"127.25\">0.05</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>BTC</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#9a8260\"></i>ETH</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#74628e\"></i>SOL</span>. Matched native endpoints, window and units; changes in volatility points.</figcaption></figure></section><p class=\"source-note\">Figure evidence: <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup></p><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>1W ATM IV move comparison</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"1W ATM IV move comparison\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>1W ATM IV move comparison</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-5.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">5.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"265\">BTC</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"23.94\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"200.17\" y=\"133.00\"><title>BTC · Change: -1.14 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"169.94\">-1.14</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"265\">ETH</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"19.32\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"398.50\" y=\"113.68\"><title>ETH · Change: 0.92 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"109.68\">0.92</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"265\">SOL</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"98.91\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"596.83\" y=\"34.09\"><title>SOL · Change: 4.71 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"30.09\">4.71</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>Change</span>. Common recorded native interval and eligible cohort only.</figcaption></figure></section><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>BF25 change by tenor</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"BF25 change by tenor\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>BF25 change by tenor</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-0.30 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">0.30 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"265\">1W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"84.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"152.17\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · BTC · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.24 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"176.17\" y=\"230.00\">-0.24</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"66.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"200.17\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · ETH · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.19 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"212.50\">-0.19</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"24.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"248.17\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · SOL · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.07 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"272.17\" y=\"170.50\">-0.07</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"265\">2W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"59.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"350.50\" y=\"133.00\"><title>2W · BTC · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.17 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"374.50\" y=\"205.50\">-0.17</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"45.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"398.50\" y=\"133.00\"><title>2W · ETH · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.13 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"191.50\">-0.13</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"3.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"446.50\" y=\"129.50\"><title>2W · SOL · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.01 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"470.50\" y=\"125.50\">0.01</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"265\">1M</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"10.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"548.83\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · BTC · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.03 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"572.83\" y=\"156.50\">-0.03</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"3.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"596.83\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · ETH · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.01 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"149.50\">-0.01</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"42.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"644.83\" y=\"91.00\"><title>1M · SOL · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.12 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"668.83\" y=\"87.00\">0.12</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>BTC · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#9a8260\"></i>ETH · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#74628e\"></i>SOL · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span>. Own-run receipt-matched changes; missing or ambiguous points remain gaps.</figcaption></figure></section><p class=\"source-note\">Figure evidence: <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 29\" href=\"#source-29\">[29]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 31\" href=\"#source-31\">[31]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup></p></details><section class=\"section research-panel\"><h2>What to watch next</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Each monitor describes a verified component or central counterexample of the selected story; observation tests, not a joint forecast.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Story component</th><th scope=\"col\">Next snapshot</th><th scope=\"col\">Observed condition</th><th scope=\"col\">Comparison period</th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 1W 25-delta risk reversal</th><td>10 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above -4.12 vol pts (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below -4.12 vol pts and strictly above -6.41 vol pts.<br/>Prior level: at or below -6.41 vol pts (prior level).</td><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 127\" href=\"#source-127\">[127]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC · 1W 25-delta risk reversal</th><td>10 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above -2.72 vol pts (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below -2.72 vol pts and strictly above -4.44 vol pts.<br/>Prior level: at or below -4.44 vol pts (prior level).</td><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 85\" href=\"#source-85\">[85]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL · 1W 25-delta risk reversal</th><td>10 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above -2.87 vol pts (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below -2.87 vol pts and strictly above -3.39 vol pts.<br/>Prior level: at or below -3.39 vol pts (prior level).</td><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 172\" href=\"#source-172\">[172]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"appendix sampling-methodology\"><summary>Historical sampling methodology</summary><p>Each rank describes its supplied population. Exact consecutive daily endpoints use fixed UTC anchors and 24 elapsed hours, including across daylight-saving changes. Missing pairs are omitted without interpolation; their absence does not establish why the provider omitted them. Full captured history is bounded by this run. Different captures and windows can have different denominators even when their ranks agree.</p><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><thead><tr><th>Measure</th><th>Population</th><th>Observed pairs or levels</th><th>Requested window</th><th>Excluded pair or level endpoints</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>SOL 1W.atmIv.absolute_move<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup></td><td>full captured history</td><td>54</td><td>2026-09-09T17:31:00+00:00 to 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>2026-09-12T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-13T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-21T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-22T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-28T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-29T17:31:00+00:00</td></tr></tbody></table></div></details><section class=\"section news-sources\"><h2>Source reporting</h2><ul><li><a href=\"https://wublock.substack.com/p/wublockchain-weekly-outlook-us-cpi\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. CPI and PPI Test Rate Expectations as CoreWeave and AI Infrastructure Firms Report</a> · Published 2026-11-09T11:47:50+00:00</li><li><a href=\"https://wublock.substack.com/p/wublockchain-weekly-outlook-us-cpi\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. CPI and PPI Test Rate Expectations as CoreWeave and AI Infrastructure Firms Report</a> · Published 2026-11-09T11:47:50+00:00</li></ul></section><p class=\"clock-note bf-definition\">BF25 = (25-delta call IV + 25-delta put IV) / 2 − ATM IV. Levels and changes are measured in volatility points.</p><p>Retrospective report: native market dates are distinct from later retrieval and run clocks. Later capture does not establish availability at the original cutoff.</p><details class=\"section source-notes\"><summary>Source notes</summary><article id=\"source-1\"><h3>[1] BTC 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>-1.14 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-2\"><h3>[2] BTC 1W ATM IV</h3><p>39.22 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-3\"><h3>[3] ETH 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.92 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-4\"><h3>[4] ETH 1W ATM IV</h3><p>56.54 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-5\"><h3>[5] SOL 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>4.71 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-6\"><h3>[6] SOL 1W ATM IV</h3><p>61.73 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-7\"><h3>[7] SOL 1W ATM IV absolute move percentile</h3><p>83.33 percentile</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-8\"><h3>[8] BTC 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>-0.36 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-9\"><h3>[9] BTC 1M ATM IV</h3><p>38.11 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-10\"><h3>[10] ETH 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.78 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-11\"><h3>[11] ETH 1M ATM IV</h3><p>54.33 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-12\"><h3>[12] SOL 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>1.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-13\"><h3>[13] SOL 1M ATM IV</h3><p>57.18 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-14\"><h3>[14] SOL 3M ATM IV difference</h3><p>-0.18 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-15\"><h3>[15] BTC 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>1.72 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-16\"><h3>[16] BTC 1W RR25</h3><p>-2.72 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-17\"><h3>[17] ETH 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>2.29 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-18\"><h3>[18] ETH 1W RR25</h3><p>-4.12 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-19\"><h3>[19] SOL 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.52 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-20\"><h3>[20] SOL 1W RR25</h3><p>-2.87 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-21\"><h3>[21] BTC 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>0.73 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-22\"><h3>[22] ETH 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>0.45 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-23\"><h3>[23] SOL 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>0.05 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-24\"><h3>[24] BTC 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.24 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-25\"><h3>[25] ETH 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.19 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-26\"><h3>[26] SOL 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.07 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-27\"><h3>[27] BTC 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.17 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-28\"><h3>[28] BTC 2W BF25</h3><p>0.97 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-29\"><h3>[29] ETH 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.13 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-30\"><h3>[30] ETH 2W BF25</h3><p>1.78 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-31\"><h3>[31] SOL 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.01 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-32\"><h3>[32] SOL 2W BF25</h3><p>1.60 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-33\"><h3>[33] BTC 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.03 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-34\"><h3>[34] ETH 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.01 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-35\"><h3>[35] SOL 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.12 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-36\"><h3>[36] BTC spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-1.12 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-37\"><h3>[37] ETH spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-4.47 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-38\"><h3>[38] SOL spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-2.90 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-39\"><h3>[39] BTC rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>43.16 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-40\"><h3>[40] ETH rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>55.39 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-41\"><h3>[41] SOL rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>62.98 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-42\"><h3>[42] BTC 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>-3.94 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-43\"><h3>[43] ETH 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>1.15 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-44\"><h3>[44] SOL 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>-1.25 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-45\"><h3>[45] BTC btcVol.ds30</h3><p>43.11 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-46\"><h3>[46] BTC btcVol.bviv</h3><p>41.99 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-47\"><h3>[47] BTC btcVol.bvivMinusDs30</h3><p>-1.12 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-48\"><h3>[48] BTC 2W ATM IV</h3><p>38.20 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-49\"><h3>[49] BTC 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>-0.60 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-50\"><h3>[50] BTC 2W RR25</h3><p>-2.85 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-51\"><h3>[51] BTC 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>1.46 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-52\"><h3>[52] BTC 1M RR25</h3><p>-2.90 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-53\"><h3>[53] ETH 2W ATM IV</h3><p>55.38 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-54\"><h3>[54] ETH 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>1.05 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-55\"><h3>[55] ETH 2W RR25</h3><p>-3.52 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-56\"><h3>[56] ETH 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>1.65 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-57\"><h3>[57] ETH 1M RR25</h3><p>-2.87 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-58\"><h3>[58] SOL 2W ATM IV</h3><p>59.02 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-59\"><h3>[59] SOL 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>3.01 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-60\"><h3>[60] SOL 2W RR25</h3><p>-2.00 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-61\"><h3>[61] SOL 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.54 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-62\"><h3>[62] SOL 1M RR25</h3><p>-1.65 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-63\"><h3>[63] SOL 3M ATM IV</h3><p>56.01 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-64\"><h3>[64] SOL 3M RR25</h3><p>-0.89 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-65\"><h3>[65] SOL 3M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.63 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-66\"><h3>[66] SOL 3M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-67\"><h3>[67] BTC 1W ATM IV</h3><p>40.36 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-68\"><h3>[68] BTC 1M ATM IV</h3><p>38.47 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-69\"><h3>[69] ETH 1W ATM IV</h3><p>55.62 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-70\"><h3>[70] ETH 1M ATM IV</h3><p>53.55 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-71\"><h3>[71] SOL 1W ATM IV</h3><p>57.02 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-72\"><h3>[72] SOL 1M ATM IV</h3><p>56.10 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-73\"><h3>[73] BTC 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-1.11 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-74\"><h3>[74] BTC 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-1.89 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-75\"><h3>[75] BTC 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-0.86 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-76\"><h3>[76] BTC 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-0.78 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-77\"><h3>[77] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.21 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-78\"><h3>[78] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.07 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-79\"><h3>[79] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-80\"><h3>[80] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-81\"><h3>[81] SOL 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-4.55 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-82\"><h3>[82] SOL 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-0.92 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-83\"><h3>[83] SOL 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-1.79 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-84\"><h3>[84] SOL 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-1.74 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-85\"><h3>[85] BTC 1W RR25</h3><p>-4.44 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-127\"><h3>[127] ETH 1W RR25</h3><p>-6.41 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-172\"><h3>[172] SOL 1W RR25</h3><p>-3.39 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article></details></main></body></html>","provenance":{"canonicalReportSha256":"08ad6d5a8b0a206d0e4b40b75a2cd36c64aa667e755059217052de69c6667ddf","presentationSha256":"39b4fd2fffb4aa274b9da3f1b574d24fc372174428db80f42b5507d2fd251598","reviewedReportSha256":"08ad6d5a8b0a206d0e4b40b75a2cd36c64aa667e755059217052de69c6667ddf","sourceHtmlSha256":"7f1669e452e97aeabd07f317ffe53e6418600e7b260f1c13e75397206d26d70c","sourceJournalSha256":"73ab54b13397884d662f01391d63aad851bec88d080bb58341d07e1b92981566"},"reportDate":"2026-11-09","schemaVersion":1,"snapshotUtc":"2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00","summary":"SOL 1W ATM volatility strengthened while BTC eased and ETH rose more modestly. The divergence concerns volatility expectations, not renewed downside asymmetry: 1W RR25 became less negative across the cohort. Firmer ETH and SOL 1M ATM volatility also qualifies a purely front-tenor interpretation.","title":"SOL leads the divergence in 1W ATM volatility"}