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style-src 'unsafe-inline'; base-uri 'none'; img-src data:\" http-equiv=\"Content-Security-Policy\"/><title>ETH leads uneven 1W ATM volatility repricing</title><style>:root { color-scheme: light; --paper: #f7f3eb; --raised: #f0ebe1; --ink: #242824; --soft: #3d433e; --muted: #626a61; --line: #d3cec2; --strong: #b5b5a7; --teal: #315f59; --teal-pale: #e3ebe3; }\n* { box-sizing: border-box; }\nhtml { background: var(--paper); }\nbody { margin: 0; background: var(--paper); color: var(--ink); font: 16px/1.6 system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, \"Segoe UI\", sans-serif; }\na { color: var(--teal); text-underline-offset: 3px; overflow-wrap: anywhere; }\na:focus-visible, summary:focus-visible { outline: 2px solid var(--teal); outline-offset: 4px; }\n.report { width: calc(100% - 48px); max-width: 1100px; width: min(calc(100% - 48px), 1100px); margin: 0 auto; padding-bottom: 56px; }\n.hero { padding: 24px 0 32px; border-bottom: 1px solid var(--strong); }\n.brand-row { display: flex; justify-content: space-between; 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Directional pricing diverged: BTC and ETH deepened their existing 1W downside skew, whereas SOL's 1W skew eased despite weaker spot. These differences favor an asset- and tenor-specific interpretation over a uniform increase in defensive pricing.</p><p class=\"byline\">Derivasys Research</p><div aria-label=\"Report snapshot\" class=\"snapshot\"><div><span>Report date</span><strong>08 Nov 2026</strong></div><div><span>Current snapshot</span><strong>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div><div><span>Coverage</span><strong>BTC, ETH, SOL</strong></div><div><span>Comparison snapshot</span><strong>07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div></div></header><section class=\"section editorial\"><p class=\"eyebrow\">The reading</p><h2>What the evidence says</h2><p class=\"finding\">The daily comparison shows uneven increases in ATM, or at-the-money, implied volatility. ETH 1W ATM IV changed by +3.27 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup> to 55.62% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup>, compared with BTC's +1.68 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup> to 40.36% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup> and SOL's +0.84 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup> to 57.02% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup>. The matched 1M comparison changes the ordering: SOL ATM IV changed by +1.71 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup> to 56.10% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup>, ETH by +1.12 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup> to 53.55% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup>, and BTC by +0.65 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup> to 38.47% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup>. ETH and BTC therefore showed larger ATM increases at 1W than at 1M, while SOL showed the reverse. SOL's 1M absolute move ranked at 74.1st percentile <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup> within its full captured eligible history, 54 observations (observed sampling; 09 Sep 2026–07 Nov 2026) <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup>. That magnitude comparison does not establish an unusually rare cross-asset configuration.</p><p class=\"finding\">RR25, the call-versus-put IV asymmetry, separates higher ATM volatility from directional protection pricing. BTC 1W RR25 changed by -1.01 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup> to -4.44 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup>, while ETH 1W RR25 changed by -0.37 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup> to -6.41 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup>. These moves deepened existing downside biases. SOL instead showed 1W skew relief: RR25 changed by +0.69 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup> to -3.39 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup>, remaining negative. The matched 1M evidence reverses the altcoin relationship: ETH RR25 changed by +0.74 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup> to -3.32 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup>, easing its downside bias, whereas SOL changed by -0.35 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup> to -1.70 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup>, deepening its downside bias. BTC 1M RR25 changed only by -0.09 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup> to -3.63 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup>. ETH and SOL thus had opposing skew adjustments across 1W and 1M; neither weekly result describes directional pricing across its entire surface.</p><p class=\"finding\">Butterfly pricing provides a narrower supporting distinction. BF25 measures the average wing IV premium over ATM, rather than absolute wing IV or directional bias. At 1W, that premium changed by +0.04 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup> for BTC, +0.16 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup> for ETH and +0.24 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 28\" href=\"#source-28\">[28]</a></sup> for SOL. The 2W premiums stood at 1.14 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 29\" href=\"#source-29\">[29]</a></sup> for BTC, 1.91 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 30\" href=\"#source-30\">[30]</a></sup> for ETH and 1.59 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 31\" href=\"#source-31\">[31]</a></sup> for SOL, with respective changes of +0.01 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup>, -0.13 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup> and +0.11 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup>. At 1M, BTC BF25 changed by -0.01 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup>, ETH by -0.10 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup>, and SOL by +0.06 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 37\" href=\"#source-37\">[37]</a></sup> to 1.68 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 38\" href=\"#source-38\">[38]</a></sup>. SOL's butterfly premium therefore widened across these tenors, with the largest adjustment at 1W, even though its larger ATM increase occurred at 1M. ETH's butterfly premium narrowed at 2W and 1M despite widening at 1W. These modest butterfly changes support the tenor distinctions without establishing a separate broad wing repricing regime.</p><p class=\"finding\">Spot and realized volatility qualify the interpretation of higher 1W ATM IV. Over the daily crypto comparison, spot changed by -0.17% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 39\" href=\"#source-39\">[39]</a></sup> for BTC, -0.43% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 40\" href=\"#source-40\">[40]</a></sup> for ETH and -0.78% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 41\" href=\"#source-41\">[41]</a></sup> for SOL. Trailing realized volatility, recomputed from canonical minute prices over the common weekly horizon, was 38.37% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 42\" href=\"#source-42\">[42]</a></sup>, 49.46% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 43\" href=\"#source-43\">[43]</a></sup> and 58.31% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 44\" href=\"#source-44\">[44]</a></sup>, respectively. Forward 1W IV minus trailing realized volatility was +1.99 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 45\" href=\"#source-45\">[45]</a></sup> for BTC, +6.16 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 46\" href=\"#source-46\">[46]</a></sup> for ETH and -1.29 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 47\" href=\"#source-47\">[47]</a></sup> for SOL. SOL combined the weakest spot return with 1W skew relief and a negative IV-minus-RV spread, underscoring why higher ATM IV should not be read as uniform defensive repricing. Separately, BTC's model-free DS30 reference was 43.71 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 48\" href=\"#source-48\">[48]</a></sup>, versus BVIV at 42.63 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 49\" href=\"#source-49\">[49]</a></sup>, leaving BVIV minus DS30 at -1.08 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 50\" href=\"#source-50\">[50]</a></sup>. Those independently timed references are distinct from fixed-tenor ATM IV. During the news window, <a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/chaos-riyadh-aramco-skyscraper-hit-missile-strike\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">ZeroHedge</a> relayed Gulf attack and maritime incident reports. They provide a possible risk backdrop, but do not explain why ETH's ATM increase favored 1W while SOL's favored 1M.</p><div class=\"consolidated-limits\"><h3>Qualifications and limits</h3><ul><li>Daily surface comparisons retain their native endpoints. Historical ranks describe selected observed samples with gaps, rather than population rarity or joint statistical significance; unsupported distant tenors limit whole-curve conclusions.</li><li>Realized volatility uses adjacent observed minute returns, without interpolation, on an annualized calendar-day basis. Forward 1W IV and trailing realized volatility cover different periods, so their spread establishes neither a forecast nor a trading edge. Same-series recomputation does not independently validate the underlying prices; DS30's historical ingestion time is unverified.</li><li>The news window differs from the options comparison. Gulf incidents remain attributed secondary reporting, physical supply disruption is unverified, and no event-specific evidence establishes the cause of the tenor or cross-asset differences.</li></ul></div></section><section class=\"section market-scorecard\"><h2>Verified market snapshot</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Current levels and changes over each recorded native interval. Only receipt-matched quotes are shown; an em dash marks a missing matching quote.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset · tenor</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV change</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25 change</th><th scope=\"col\">BF25 change</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC · 1W</th><td>40.36 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup></td><td>1.68 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup></td><td>-4.44 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup></td><td>-1.01 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup></td><td>0.04 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC · 2W</th><td>38.80 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 51\" href=\"#source-51\">[51]</a></sup></td><td>0.89 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 52\" href=\"#source-52\">[52]</a></sup></td><td>-4.31 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 53\" href=\"#source-53\">[53]</a></sup></td><td>-0.55 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 54\" href=\"#source-54\">[54]</a></sup></td><td>0.01 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC · 1M</th><td>38.47 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup></td><td>0.65 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup></td><td>-3.63 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup></td><td>-0.09 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup></td><td>-0.01 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 1W</th><td>55.62 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup></td><td>3.27 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup></td><td>-6.41 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup></td><td>-0.37 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup></td><td>0.16 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 2W</th><td>54.33 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 55\" href=\"#source-55\">[55]</a></sup></td><td>2.23 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 56\" href=\"#source-56\">[56]</a></sup></td><td>-5.17 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 57\" href=\"#source-57\">[57]</a></sup></td><td>0.64 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 58\" href=\"#source-58\">[58]</a></sup></td><td>-0.13 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 1M</th><td>53.55 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup></td><td>1.12 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup></td><td>-3.32 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup></td><td>0.74 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup></td><td>-0.10 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL · 1W</th><td>57.02 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup></td><td>0.84 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup></td><td>-3.39 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup></td><td>0.69 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup></td><td>0.24 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 28\" href=\"#source-28\">[28]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL · 2W</th><td>56.01 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 59\" href=\"#source-59\">[59]</a></sup></td><td>1.24 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 60\" href=\"#source-60\">[60]</a></sup></td><td>-2.54 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 61\" href=\"#source-61\">[61]</a></sup></td><td>0.12 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 62\" href=\"#source-62\">[62]</a></sup></td><td>0.11 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL · 1M</th><td>56.10 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup></td><td>1.71 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup></td><td>-1.70 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup></td><td>-0.35 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup></td><td>0.06 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 37\" href=\"#source-37\">[37]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><section class=\"section curve-regimes\"><h2>Weekly versus monthly curve</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Matched native endpoints; inverted means monthly ATM IV is below weekly ATM IV. Regimes compare verified levels; no numerical slope is inferred.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Curve regime</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC</th><td>38.68 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 63\" href=\"#source-63\">[63]</a></sup></td><td>37.82 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 64\" href=\"#source-64\">[64]</a></sup></td><td>40.36 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup></td><td>38.47 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH</th><td>52.35 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 65\" href=\"#source-65\">[65]</a></sup></td><td>52.43 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 66\" href=\"#source-66\">[66]</a></sup></td><td>55.62 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup></td><td>53.55 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup></td><td>Upward sloping → Inverted</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL</th><td>56.18 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 67\" href=\"#source-67\">[67]</a></sup></td><td>54.39 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 68\" href=\"#source-68\">[68]</a></sup></td><td>57.02 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup></td><td>56.10 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"section curve-history\"><summary>Recent ATM curve history</summary><p>One-month minus one-week at-the-money implied volatility. Negative values mean an inverted curve. Each row retains its native observation time; missing days are not filled.</p><table><thead><tr><th>Asset</th><th>Native observation (UTC)</th><th>1M minus 1W ATM IV</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>BTC</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-1.89 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 69\" href=\"#source-69\">[69]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>BTC</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-0.86 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 70\" href=\"#source-70\">[70]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>BTC</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-0.78 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 71\" href=\"#source-71\">[71]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>BTC</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.29 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 72\" href=\"#source-72\">[72]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.07 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 73\" href=\"#source-73\">[73]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.08 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 74\" href=\"#source-74\">[74]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.08 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 75\" href=\"#source-75\">[75]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-0.56 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 76\" href=\"#source-76\">[76]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>SOL</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-0.92 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 77\" href=\"#source-77\">[77]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>SOL</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-1.79 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 78\" href=\"#source-78\">[78]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>SOL</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-1.74 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 79\" href=\"#source-79\">[79]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>SOL</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-7.77 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 80\" href=\"#source-80\">[80]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></details><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>Cross-asset RR25 change</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"Cross-asset RR25 change\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>Cross-asset RR25 change</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-2.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">2.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"273.75\" y=\"265\">1W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"53.03\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"201.75\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · BTC: -1.01 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"225.75\" y=\"199.03\">-1.01</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"19.43\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"249.75\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · ETH: -0.37 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"273.75\" y=\"165.43\">-0.37</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"36.22\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"297.75\" y=\"96.78\"><title>1W · SOL: 0.69 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"321.75\" y=\"92.78\">0.69</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"571.25\" y=\"265\">1M</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"4.72\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"499.25\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · BTC: -0.09 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"523.25\" y=\"150.72\">-0.09</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"38.85\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"547.25\" y=\"94.15\"><title>1M · ETH: 0.74 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"571.25\" y=\"90.15\">0.74</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"18.38\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"595.25\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · SOL: -0.35 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"619.25\" y=\"164.38\">-0.35</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>BTC</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#9a8260\"></i>ETH</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#74628e\"></i>SOL</span>. Matched native endpoints, window and units; changes in volatility points.</figcaption></figure></section><p class=\"source-note\">Figure evidence: <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup></p><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>1W ATM IV move comparison</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"1W ATM IV move comparison\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>1W ATM IV move comparison</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-4.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">4.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"265\">BTC</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"44.10\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"200.17\" y=\"88.90\"><title>BTC · Change: 1.68 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"84.90\">1.68</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"265\">ETH</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"85.84\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"398.50\" y=\"47.16\"><title>ETH · Change: 3.27 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"43.16\">3.27</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"265\">SOL</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"22.05\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"596.83\" y=\"110.95\"><title>SOL · Change: 0.84 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"106.95\">0.84</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>Change</span>. Common recorded native interval and eligible cohort only.</figcaption></figure></section><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>BF25 change by tenor</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"BF25 change by tenor\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>BF25 change by tenor</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-0.30 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">0.30 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"265\">1W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"14.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"152.17\" y=\"119.00\"><title>1W · BTC · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.04 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"176.17\" y=\"115.00\">0.04</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"56.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"200.17\" y=\"77.00\"><title>1W · ETH · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.16 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"73.00\">0.16</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"84.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"248.17\" y=\"49.00\"><title>1W · SOL · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.24 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"272.17\" y=\"45.00\">0.24</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"265\">2W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"3.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"350.50\" y=\"129.50\"><title>2W · BTC · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.01 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"374.50\" y=\"125.50\">0.01</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"45.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"398.50\" y=\"133.00\"><title>2W · ETH · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.13 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"191.50\">-0.13</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"38.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"446.50\" y=\"94.50\"><title>2W · SOL · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.11 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"470.50\" y=\"90.50\">0.11</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"265\">1M</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"3.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"548.83\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · BTC · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.01 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"572.83\" y=\"149.50\">-0.01</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"35.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"596.83\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · ETH · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.10 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"181.00\">-0.10</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"21.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"644.83\" y=\"112.00\"><title>1M · SOL · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.06 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"668.83\" y=\"108.00\">0.06</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>BTC · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#9a8260\"></i>ETH · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#74628e\"></i>SOL · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span>. Own-run receipt-matched changes; missing or ambiguous points remain gaps.</figcaption></figure></section><p class=\"source-note\">Figure evidence: <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 28\" href=\"#source-28\">[28]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 37\" href=\"#source-37\">[37]</a></sup></p><section class=\"section research-panel\"><h2>What to watch next</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Each monitor describes a verified component or central counterexample of the selected story; observation tests, not a joint forecast.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Story component</th><th scope=\"col\">Next snapshot</th><th scope=\"col\">Observed condition</th><th scope=\"col\">Comparison period</th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 1W 25-delta risk reversal</th><td>09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or below -6.41 vol pts (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly above -6.41 vol pts and strictly below -6.04 vol pts.<br/>Prior level: at or above -6.04 vol pts (prior level).</td><td>07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 126\" href=\"#source-126\">[126]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC · 1W 25-delta risk reversal</th><td>09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or below -4.44 vol pts (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly above -4.44 vol pts and strictly below -3.43 vol pts.<br/>Prior level: at or above -3.43 vol pts (prior level).</td><td>07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 81\" href=\"#source-81\">[81]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL · 1W 25-delta risk reversal</th><td>09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above -3.39 vol pts (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below -3.39 vol pts and strictly above -4.08 vol pts.<br/>Prior level: at or below -4.08 vol pts (prior level).</td><td>07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 171\" href=\"#source-171\">[171]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"appendix sampling-methodology\"><summary>Historical sampling methodology</summary><p>Each rank describes its supplied population. Exact consecutive daily endpoints use fixed UTC anchors and 24 elapsed hours, including across daylight-saving changes. Missing pairs are omitted without interpolation; their absence does not establish why the provider omitted them. Full captured history is bounded by this run. Different captures and windows can have different denominators even when their ranks agree.</p><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><thead><tr><th>Measure</th><th>Population</th><th>Observed pairs or levels</th><th>Requested window</th><th>Excluded pair or level endpoints</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>SOL 1M.atmIv.absolute_move<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup></td><td>full captured history</td><td>54</td><td>2026-09-08T17:31:00+00:00 to 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>2026-09-12T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-13T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-21T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-22T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-28T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-29T17:31:00+00:00</td></tr></tbody></table></div></details><section class=\"section news-sources\"><h2>Source reporting</h2><ul><li><a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/chaos-riyadh-aramco-skyscraper-hit-missile-strike\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Chaos In Riyadh: Aramco Skyscraper Hit By Missile Strike</a> · Published 2026-11-08T12:27:30+00:00</li><li><a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/chaos-riyadh-aramco-skyscraper-hit-missile-strike\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Chaos In Riyadh: Aramco Skyscraper Hit By Missile Strike</a> · Published 2026-11-08T12:27:30+00:00</li></ul></section><p class=\"clock-note bf-definition\">BF25 = (25-delta call IV + 25-delta put IV) / 2 − ATM IV. Levels and changes are measured in volatility points.</p><p>Retrospective report: native market dates are distinct from later retrieval and run clocks. Later capture does not establish availability at the original cutoff.</p><details class=\"section source-notes\"><summary>Source notes</summary><article id=\"source-1\"><h3>[1] ETH 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>3.27 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-2\"><h3>[2] ETH 1W ATM IV</h3><p>55.62 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-3\"><h3>[3] BTC 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>1.68 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-4\"><h3>[4] BTC 1W ATM IV</h3><p>40.36 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-5\"><h3>[5] SOL 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.84 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-6\"><h3>[6] SOL 1W ATM IV</h3><p>57.02 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-7\"><h3>[7] SOL 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>1.71 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-8\"><h3>[8] SOL 1M ATM IV</h3><p>56.10 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-9\"><h3>[9] ETH 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>1.12 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-10\"><h3>[10] ETH 1M ATM IV</h3><p>53.55 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-11\"><h3>[11] BTC 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.65 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-12\"><h3>[12] BTC 1M ATM IV</h3><p>38.47 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-13\"><h3>[13] SOL 1M ATM IV absolute move percentile</h3><p>74.07 percentile</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-14\"><h3>[14] BTC 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>-1.01 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-15\"><h3>[15] BTC 1W RR25</h3><p>-4.44 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-16\"><h3>[16] ETH 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.37 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-17\"><h3>[17] ETH 1W RR25</h3><p>-6.41 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-18\"><h3>[18] SOL 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.69 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-19\"><h3>[19] SOL 1W RR25</h3><p>-3.39 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-20\"><h3>[20] ETH 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>0.74 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-21\"><h3>[21] ETH 1M RR25</h3><p>-3.32 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-22\"><h3>[22] SOL 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.35 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-23\"><h3>[23] SOL 1M RR25</h3><p>-1.70 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-24\"><h3>[24] BTC 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.09 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-25\"><h3>[25] BTC 1M RR25</h3><p>-3.63 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-26\"><h3>[26] BTC 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-27\"><h3>[27] ETH 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.16 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-28\"><h3>[28] SOL 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.24 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-29\"><h3>[29] BTC 2W BF25</h3><p>1.14 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-30\"><h3>[30] ETH 2W BF25</h3><p>1.91 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-31\"><h3>[31] SOL 2W BF25</h3><p>1.59 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-32\"><h3>[32] BTC 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.01 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-33\"><h3>[33] ETH 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.13 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-34\"><h3>[34] SOL 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.11 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-35\"><h3>[35] BTC 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.01 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-36\"><h3>[36] ETH 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.10 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-37\"><h3>[37] SOL 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.06 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-38\"><h3>[38] SOL 1M BF25</h3><p>1.68 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-39\"><h3>[39] BTC spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-0.17 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-40\"><h3>[40] ETH spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-0.43 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-41\"><h3>[41] SOL spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-0.78 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-42\"><h3>[42] BTC rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>38.37 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-43\"><h3>[43] ETH rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>49.46 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-44\"><h3>[44] SOL rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>58.31 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-45\"><h3>[45] BTC 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>1.99 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-46\"><h3>[46] ETH 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>6.16 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-47\"><h3>[47] SOL 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>-1.29 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-48\"><h3>[48] BTC btcVol.ds30</h3><p>43.71 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-49\"><h3>[49] BTC btcVol.bviv</h3><p>42.63 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-50\"><h3>[50] BTC btcVol.bvivMinusDs30</h3><p>-1.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-51\"><h3>[51] BTC 2W ATM IV</h3><p>38.80 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-52\"><h3>[52] BTC 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.89 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-53\"><h3>[53] BTC 2W RR25</h3><p>-4.31 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-54\"><h3>[54] BTC 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.55 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-55\"><h3>[55] ETH 2W ATM IV</h3><p>54.33 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-56\"><h3>[56] ETH 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>2.23 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-57\"><h3>[57] ETH 2W RR25</h3><p>-5.17 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-58\"><h3>[58] ETH 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.64 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-59\"><h3>[59] SOL 2W ATM IV</h3><p>56.01 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-60\"><h3>[60] SOL 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>1.24 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-61\"><h3>[61] SOL 2W RR25</h3><p>-2.54 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-62\"><h3>[62] SOL 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.12 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-63\"><h3>[63] BTC 1W ATM IV</h3><p>38.68 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-64\"><h3>[64] BTC 1M ATM IV</h3><p>37.82 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-65\"><h3>[65] ETH 1W ATM IV</h3><p>52.35 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-66\"><h3>[66] ETH 1M ATM IV</h3><p>52.43 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-67\"><h3>[67] SOL 1W ATM IV</h3><p>56.18 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-68\"><h3>[68] SOL 1M ATM IV</h3><p>54.39 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-69\"><h3>[69] BTC 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-1.89 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-70\"><h3>[70] BTC 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-0.86 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-71\"><h3>[71] BTC 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-0.78 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-72\"><h3>[72] BTC 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.29 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-73\"><h3>[73] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.07 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-74\"><h3>[74] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-75\"><h3>[75] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-76\"><h3>[76] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-0.56 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-77\"><h3>[77] SOL 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-0.92 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-78\"><h3>[78] SOL 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-1.79 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-79\"><h3>[79] SOL 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-1.74 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-80\"><h3>[80] SOL 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-7.77 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-81\"><h3>[81] BTC 1W RR25</h3><p>-3.43 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-126\"><h3>[126] ETH 1W RR25</h3><p>-6.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-171\"><h3>[171] SOL 1W RR25</h3><p>-4.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article></details></main></body></html>","provenance":{"canonicalReportSha256":"45dfd4b15dbc9761d474121405e0e918e53b931d6db6589087ed467ee282cb0a","presentationSha256":"928f106705f06026d9926e3720e89da7128b4f8e9dfa9726d3a9ff40b9d816f8","reviewedReportSha256":"45dfd4b15dbc9761d474121405e0e918e53b931d6db6589087ed467ee282cb0a","sourceHtmlSha256":"774e102fa98e11516ec1e6e450e478998718b685d97204c862e6ee95f30281c0","sourceJournalSha256":"a42f1f45d1b58dccca9536bb91ef04845b21ebb9cee9351ca6e0fe76bc909bf8"},"reportDate":"2026-11-08","schemaVersion":1,"snapshotUtc":"2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00","summary":"ETH led the rise in 1W at-the-money implied volatility, while SOL's larger ATM adjustment occurred at 1M. Directional pricing diverged: BTC and ETH deepened their existing 1W downside skew, whereas SOL's 1W skew eased despite weaker spot. These differences favor an asset- and tenor-specific interpretation over a uniform increase in defensive pricing.","title":"ETH leads uneven 1W ATM volatility repricing"}