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style-src 'unsafe-inline'; base-uri 'none'; img-src data:\" http-equiv=\"Content-Security-Policy\"/><title>1M butterfly premiums diverge across crypto majors</title><style>:root { color-scheme: light; --paper: #f7f3eb; --raised: #f0ebe1; --ink: #242824; --soft: #3d433e; --muted: #626a61; --line: #d3cec2; --strong: #b5b5a7; --teal: #315f59; --teal-pale: #e3ebe3; }\n* { box-sizing: border-box; }\nhtml { background: var(--paper); }\nbody { margin: 0; background: var(--paper); color: var(--ink); font: 16px/1.6 system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, \"Segoe UI\", sans-serif; }\na { color: var(--teal); text-underline-offset: 3px; overflow-wrap: anywhere; }\na:focus-visible, summary:focus-visible { outline: 2px solid var(--teal); outline-offset: 4px; }\n.report { width: calc(100% - 48px); max-width: 1100px; width: min(calc(100% - 48px), 1100px); margin: 0 auto; padding-bottom: 56px; }\n.hero { padding: 24px 0 32px; border-bottom: 1px solid var(--strong); }\n.brand-row { display: flex; 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The distinction extends across nearby tenors, but directional pricing tells a different story: matched 1M skew deepened its existing downside bias across the cohort, even as SOL 1W skew eased.</p><p class=\"byline\">Derivasys Research</p><div aria-label=\"Report snapshot\" class=\"snapshot\"><div><span>Report date</span><strong>07 Nov 2026</strong></div><div><span>Current snapshot</span><strong>07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div><div><span>Coverage</span><strong>BTC, ETH, SOL</strong></div><div><span>Comparison snapshot</span><strong>06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div></div></header><section class=\"section editorial\"><p class=\"eyebrow\">The reading</p><h2>What the evidence says</h2><p class=\"finding\">The clearest cross-asset distinction is in 1M BF25, the average wing implied-volatility premium over at-the-money volatility. Across the matched daily crypto endpoints, BTC 1M BF25 changed by +0.18 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup> to 1.13 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup>, while ETH changed by +0.07 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup> to 1.89 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup>. SOL moved in the opposite direction, changing by -0.21 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup> to 1.62 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup>. This is a divergence in wing premiums relative to ATM, rather than evidence about absolute wing volatility or directional demand. Nearby butterfly changes reinforce the distinction: BTC 1W changed by +0.16 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup> to 1.18 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup>, ETH 1W by +0.04 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup> to 2.00 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup>, and SOL 1W by -0.18 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup> to 1.42 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup>. At 2W, BTC BF25 changed by +0.04 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup> to 1.13 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup>, ETH by +0.12 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup> to 2.04 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup>, and SOL by -0.19 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup> to 1.48 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup>. BTC’s 1M BF25 absolute daily move ranked at 94.2nd percentile <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup> against its eligible full captured history, 52 observations (observed sampling; 08 Sep 2026–06 Nov 2026) <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup>; that individual magnitude rank does not establish rarity of the cross-asset configuration.</p><p class=\"finding\">ATM volatility, meaning at-the-money implied volatility, shows why the butterfly distinction should not become a claim of broad volatility expansion in BTC and ETH. BTC 1M ATM IV changed by -0.15 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup> to 37.82% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup>, ETH 1M by +0.05 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup> to 52.43% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup>, and SOL 1M by -1.11 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup> to 54.39% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup>. The corresponding 1W ATM changes were -0.07 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup> for BTC, +0.05 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup> for ETH and -1.06 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 28\" href=\"#source-28\">[28]</a></sup> for SOL. SOL’s 2W ATM change of -1.93 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 29\" href=\"#source-29\">[29]</a></sup> also rules out describing its easing as confined to 1W. Its ordered current ATM levels—1W 56.18% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 30\" href=\"#source-30\">[30]</a></sup>, 2W 54.77% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 31\" href=\"#source-31\">[31]</a></sup> and 1M 54.39% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup>—retain a downward-sloping front curve despite the declines.</p><p class=\"finding\">Directional asymmetry is more aligned at 1M than the butterfly premiums suggest. RR25 measures call-versus-put implied-volatility asymmetry; negative readings indicate higher put volatility. BTC 1M RR25 changed by -0.45 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup> to -3.54 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup>, ETH 1M by -0.45 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup> to -4.06 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup>, and SOL 1M by -0.95 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup> to -1.35 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 37\" href=\"#source-37\">[37]</a></sup>. Each deepened an existing downside bias. At 1W, BTC RR25 changed by -0.24 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 38\" href=\"#source-38\">[38]</a></sup> to -3.43 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 39\" href=\"#source-39\">[39]</a></sup>, and ETH by -0.38 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 40\" href=\"#source-40\">[40]</a></sup> to -6.04 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 41\" href=\"#source-41\">[41]</a></sup>. Thus BTC and ETH combine widening relative butterfly premiums with more negative skew across 1W and 1M, while SOL combines narrowing butterfly premiums with a tenor-dependent skew adjustment.</p><p class=\"finding\">Spot and realized volatility qualify the options divergence. Over the matching daily crypto interval, BTC spot changed by -0.06% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 42\" href=\"#source-42\">[42]</a></sup>, ETH by +0.20% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 43\" href=\"#source-43\">[43]</a></sup>, and SOL by -0.61% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 44\" href=\"#source-44\">[44]</a></sup>. Over the common trailing weekly window, realized volatility recomputed from canonical minute prices was 38.51% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 45\" href=\"#source-45\">[45]</a></sup> for BTC, 49.75% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 46\" href=\"#source-46\">[46]</a></sup> for ETH and 58.66% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 47\" href=\"#source-47\">[47]</a></sup> for SOL. Forward 1W IV minus that trailing realized volatility stood at +0.17 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 48\" href=\"#source-48\">[48]</a></sup> for BTC, +2.60 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 49\" href=\"#source-49\">[49]</a></sup> for ETH and -2.48 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 50\" href=\"#source-50\">[50]</a></sup> for SOL. SOL’s negative spread accompanies its lower 1W ATM IV and narrowing 1W butterfly premium, while BTC and ETH retain positive spreads despite widening 1W butterfly premiums. BTC’s separate volatility benchmarks also differ: DS30 was 43.11 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 51\" href=\"#source-51\">[51]</a></sup>, BVIV was 41.85 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 52\" href=\"#source-52\">[52]</a></sup>, and BVIV minus DS30 was -1.26 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 53\" href=\"#source-53\">[53]</a></sup>. These are distinct benchmark constructions, not substitutes for BTC 1W ATM IV. During the crypto comparison interval, <a href=\"https://cointelegraph.com/news/us-treasury-bans-mexc-over-alleged-16b-illicit-transactions\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Cointelegraph</a> reported restrictions on transfers involving MEXC. That chronology makes payment access relevant background, but does not identify a cause for SOL’s opposing 1M butterfly move or the shared 1M skew adjustment.</p><div class=\"consolidated-limits\"><h3>Qualifications and limits</h3><ul><li>BTC’s longer maturities resist extrapolation from its declining 1W and 1M ATM readings: 6M ATM IV changed by +0.27 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 54\" href=\"#source-54\">[54]</a></sup>, and 9M by +0.24 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 55\" href=\"#source-55\">[55]</a></sup>. Its ATM repricing therefore changes direction along the curve.</li><li>SOL 1W skew eased, changing by +0.14 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 56\" href=\"#source-56\">[56]</a></sup> to -4.08 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 57\" href=\"#source-57\">[57]</a></sup>. It remained negative, but its direction opposes both SOL’s worsening 1M skew and the BTC and ETH 1W adjustments; downside-skew deepening is therefore not uniform across assets and tenors.</li><li>The historical rank uses observed eligible daily moves with gaps retained and no filling; selection and missing dates limit population coverage. DS30 and BVIV are independently timed intraday observations, and DS30’s historical ingestion clock is unavailable.</li></ul></div><details class=\"appendix\"><summary>Further qualifications</summary><ul><li>Forward 1W implied volatility and trailing weekly realized volatility cover different periods. Their spread is descriptive, not a forecast, valuation verdict or trading edge; the realized measure uses observed minute returns and a calendar-day annualization convention.</li><li>Quoted ATM, butterfly and skew changes do not establish positioning or their cause. The reported payment restriction lacks independently established implementation evidence here, and publication chronology cannot explain the cross-asset divergence by itself.</li></ul></details></section><section class=\"section market-scorecard\"><h2>Verified market snapshot</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Current levels and changes over each recorded native interval. Only receipt-matched quotes are shown; an em dash marks a missing matching quote.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset · tenor</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV change</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25 change</th><th scope=\"col\">BF25 change</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC · 1W</th><td>38.68 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 58\" href=\"#source-58\">[58]</a></sup></td><td>-0.07 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup></td><td>-3.43 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 39\" href=\"#source-39\">[39]</a></sup></td><td>-0.24 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 38\" href=\"#source-38\">[38]</a></sup></td><td>0.16 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC · 2W</th><td>37.91 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 59\" href=\"#source-59\">[59]</a></sup></td><td>-0.14 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 60\" href=\"#source-60\">[60]</a></sup></td><td>-3.76 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 61\" href=\"#source-61\">[61]</a></sup></td><td>-0.21 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 62\" href=\"#source-62\">[62]</a></sup></td><td>0.04 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC · 1M</th><td>37.82 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup></td><td>-0.15 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup></td><td>-3.54 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup></td><td>-0.45 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup></td><td>0.18 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 1W</th><td>52.35 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 63\" href=\"#source-63\">[63]</a></sup></td><td>0.05 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup></td><td>-6.04 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 41\" href=\"#source-41\">[41]</a></sup></td><td>-0.38 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 40\" href=\"#source-40\">[40]</a></sup></td><td>0.04 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 2W</th><td>52.10 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 64\" href=\"#source-64\">[64]</a></sup></td><td>0.03 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 65\" href=\"#source-65\">[65]</a></sup></td><td>-5.81 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 66\" href=\"#source-66\">[66]</a></sup></td><td>-0.45 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 67\" href=\"#source-67\">[67]</a></sup></td><td>0.12 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 1M</th><td>52.43 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup></td><td>0.05 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup></td><td>-4.06 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup></td><td>-0.45 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup></td><td>0.07 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL · 1W</th><td>56.18 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 30\" href=\"#source-30\">[30]</a></sup></td><td>-1.06 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 28\" href=\"#source-28\">[28]</a></sup></td><td>-4.08 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 57\" href=\"#source-57\">[57]</a></sup></td><td>0.14 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 56\" href=\"#source-56\">[56]</a></sup></td><td>-0.18 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL · 2W</th><td>54.77 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 31\" href=\"#source-31\">[31]</a></sup></td><td>-1.93 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 29\" href=\"#source-29\">[29]</a></sup></td><td>-2.66 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 68\" href=\"#source-68\">[68]</a></sup></td><td>0.10 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 69\" href=\"#source-69\">[69]</a></sup></td><td>-0.19 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL · 1M</th><td>54.39 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup></td><td>-1.11 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup></td><td>-1.35 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 37\" href=\"#source-37\">[37]</a></sup></td><td>-0.95 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup></td><td>-0.21 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><section class=\"section curve-regimes\"><h2>Weekly versus monthly curve</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Matched native endpoints; inverted means monthly ATM IV is below weekly ATM IV. Regimes compare verified levels; no numerical slope is inferred.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Curve regime</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC</th><td>38.75 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 70\" href=\"#source-70\">[70]</a></sup></td><td>37.97 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 71\" href=\"#source-71\">[71]</a></sup></td><td>38.68 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 58\" href=\"#source-58\">[58]</a></sup></td><td>37.82 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH</th><td>52.30 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 72\" href=\"#source-72\">[72]</a></sup></td><td>52.38 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 73\" href=\"#source-73\">[73]</a></sup></td><td>52.35 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 63\" href=\"#source-63\">[63]</a></sup></td><td>52.43 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup></td><td>Remained upward sloping</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL</th><td>57.24 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 74\" href=\"#source-74\">[74]</a></sup></td><td>55.50 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 75\" href=\"#source-75\">[75]</a></sup></td><td>56.18 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 30\" href=\"#source-30\">[30]</a></sup></td><td>54.39 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"section curve-history\"><summary>Recent ATM curve history</summary><p>One-month minus one-week at-the-money implied volatility. Negative values mean an inverted curve. Each row retains its native observation time; missing days are not filled.</p><table><thead><tr><th>Asset</th><th>Native observation (UTC)</th><th>1M minus 1W ATM IV</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>BTC</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-0.86 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 76\" href=\"#source-76\">[76]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>BTC</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-0.78 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 77\" href=\"#source-77\">[77]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>BTC</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.29 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 78\" href=\"#source-78\">[78]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>BTC</td><td>2026-11-04T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+1.11 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 79\" href=\"#source-79\">[79]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.08 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 80\" href=\"#source-80\">[80]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.08 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 81\" href=\"#source-81\">[81]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-0.56 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 82\" href=\"#source-82\">[82]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-04T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+1.23 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 83\" href=\"#source-83\">[83]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>SOL</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-1.79 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 84\" href=\"#source-84\">[84]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>SOL</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-1.74 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 85\" href=\"#source-85\">[85]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>SOL</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-7.77 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 86\" href=\"#source-86\">[86]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>SOL</td><td>2026-11-04T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+2.75 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 87\" href=\"#source-87\">[87]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></details><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>Cross-asset RR25 change</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"Cross-asset RR25 change\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>Cross-asset RR25 change</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-1.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">1.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"273.75\" y=\"265\">1W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"25.20\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"201.75\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · BTC: -0.24 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"225.75\" y=\"171.20\">-0.24</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"39.90\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"249.75\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · ETH: -0.38 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"273.75\" y=\"185.90\">-0.38</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"14.70\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"297.75\" y=\"118.30\"><title>1W · SOL: 0.14 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"321.75\" y=\"114.30\">0.14</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"571.25\" y=\"265\">1M</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"47.25\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"499.25\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · BTC: -0.45 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"523.25\" y=\"193.25\">-0.45</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"47.25\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"547.25\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · ETH: -0.45 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"571.25\" y=\"193.25\">-0.45</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"99.75\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"595.25\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · SOL: -0.95 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"619.25\" y=\"245.75\">-0.95</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>BTC</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#9a8260\"></i>ETH</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#74628e\"></i>SOL</span>. Matched native endpoints, window and units; changes in volatility points.</figcaption></figure></section><p class=\"source-note\">Figure evidence: <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 38\" href=\"#source-38\">[38]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 40\" href=\"#source-40\">[40]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 56\" href=\"#source-56\">[56]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup></p><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>1M BF25 move comparison</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"1M BF25 move comparison\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>1M BF25 move comparison</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-0.30 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">0.30 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"265\">BTC</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"63.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"200.17\" y=\"70.00\"><title>BTC · Change: 0.18 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"66.00\">0.18</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"265\">ETH</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"24.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"398.50\" y=\"108.50\"><title>ETH · Change: 0.07 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"104.50\">0.07</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"265\">SOL</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"73.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"596.83\" y=\"133.00\"><title>SOL · Change: -0.21 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"219.50\">-0.21</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>Change</span>. Common recorded native interval and eligible cohort only.</figcaption></figure></section><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>BF25 change by tenor</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"BF25 change by tenor\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>BF25 change by tenor</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-0.30 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">0.30 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"265\">1W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"56.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"152.17\" y=\"77.00\"><title>1W · BTC · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.16 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"176.17\" y=\"73.00\">0.16</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"14.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"200.17\" y=\"119.00\"><title>1W · ETH · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.04 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"115.00\">0.04</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"63.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"248.17\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · SOL · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.18 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"272.17\" y=\"209.00\">-0.18</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"265\">2W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"14.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"350.50\" y=\"119.00\"><title>2W · BTC · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.04 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"374.50\" y=\"115.00\">0.04</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"42.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"398.50\" y=\"91.00\"><title>2W · ETH · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.12 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"87.00\">0.12</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"66.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"446.50\" y=\"133.00\"><title>2W · SOL · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.19 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"470.50\" y=\"212.50\">-0.19</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"265\">1M</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"63.00\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"548.83\" y=\"70.00\"><title>1M · BTC · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.18 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"572.83\" y=\"66.00\">0.18</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"24.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"596.83\" y=\"108.50\"><title>1M · ETH · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.07 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"104.50\">0.07</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"73.50\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"644.83\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · SOL · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.21 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"668.83\" y=\"219.50\">-0.21</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>BTC · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#9a8260\"></i>ETH · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#74628e\"></i>SOL · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span>. Own-run receipt-matched changes; missing or ambiguous points remain gaps.</figcaption></figure></section><p class=\"source-note\">Figure evidence: <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup></p><section class=\"section research-panel\"><h2>What to watch next</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Each monitor describes a verified component or central counterexample of the selected story; observation tests, not a joint forecast.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Story component</th><th scope=\"col\">Next snapshot</th><th scope=\"col\">Observed condition</th><th scope=\"col\">Comparison period</th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 1W 25-delta risk reversal</th><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or below -6.04 vol pts (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly above -6.04 vol pts and strictly below -5.66 vol pts.<br/>Prior level: at or above -5.66 vol pts (prior level).</td><td>06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 41\" href=\"#source-41\">[41]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 129\" href=\"#source-129\">[129]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 40\" href=\"#source-40\">[40]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">BTC · 1W 25-delta risk reversal</th><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or below -3.43 vol pts (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly above -3.43 vol pts and strictly below -3.19 vol pts.<br/>Prior level: at or above -3.19 vol pts (prior level).</td><td>06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 39\" href=\"#source-39\">[39]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 88\" href=\"#source-88\">[88]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 38\" href=\"#source-38\">[38]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">SOL · 1W 25-delta risk reversal</th><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above -4.08 vol pts (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below -4.08 vol pts and strictly above -4.22 vol pts.<br/>Prior level: at or below -4.22 vol pts (prior level).</td><td>06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 57\" href=\"#source-57\">[57]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 169\" href=\"#source-169\">[169]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 56\" href=\"#source-56\">[56]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"appendix sampling-methodology\"><summary>Historical sampling methodology</summary><p>Each rank describes its supplied population. Exact consecutive daily endpoints use fixed UTC anchors and 24 elapsed hours, including across daylight-saving changes. Missing pairs are omitted without interpolation; their absence does not establish why the provider omitted them. Full captured history is bounded by this run. Different captures and windows can have different denominators even when their ranks agree.</p><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><thead><tr><th>Measure</th><th>Population</th><th>Observed pairs or levels</th><th>Requested window</th><th>Excluded pair or level endpoints</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>BTC 1M.bf25.absolute_move<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup></td><td>full captured history</td><td>52</td><td>2026-09-07T17:31:00+00:00 to 2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>2026-09-21T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-22T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-28T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-29T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-10-10T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-10-11T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-10-22T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-10-23T17:31:00+00:00</td></tr></tbody></table></div></details><section class=\"section news-sources\"><h2>Source reporting</h2><ul><li><a href=\"https://cointelegraph.com/news/us-treasury-bans-mexc-over-alleged-16b-illicit-transactions\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">US Treasury cuts off MEXC over alleged $16B in illicit transactions</a> · Published 2026-11-06T21:05:25+00:00</li></ul></section><p class=\"clock-note bf-definition\">BF25 = (25-delta call IV + 25-delta put IV) / 2 − ATM IV. Levels and changes are measured in volatility points.</p><p>Retrospective report: native market dates are distinct from later retrieval and run clocks. Later capture does not establish availability at the original cutoff.</p><details class=\"section source-notes\"><summary>Source notes</summary><article id=\"source-1\"><h3>[1] BTC 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.18 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-2\"><h3>[2] BTC 1M BF25</h3><p>1.13 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-3\"><h3>[3] ETH 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.07 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-4\"><h3>[4] ETH 1M BF25</h3><p>1.89 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-5\"><h3>[5] SOL 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.21 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-6\"><h3>[6] SOL 1M BF25</h3><p>1.62 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-7\"><h3>[7] BTC 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.16 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-8\"><h3>[8] BTC 1W BF25</h3><p>1.18 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-9\"><h3>[9] ETH 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-10\"><h3>[10] ETH 1W BF25</h3><p>2.00 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-11\"><h3>[11] SOL 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.18 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-12\"><h3>[12] SOL 1W BF25</h3><p>1.42 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-13\"><h3>[13] BTC 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-14\"><h3>[14] BTC 2W BF25</h3><p>1.13 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-15\"><h3>[15] ETH 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.12 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-16\"><h3>[16] ETH 2W BF25</h3><p>2.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-17\"><h3>[17] SOL 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.19 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-18\"><h3>[18] SOL 2W BF25</h3><p>1.48 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-19\"><h3>[19] BTC 1M BF25 absolute move percentile</h3><p>94.23 percentile</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-20\"><h3>[20] BTC 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>-0.15 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-21\"><h3>[21] BTC 1M ATM IV</h3><p>37.82 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-22\"><h3>[22] ETH 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.05 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-23\"><h3>[23] ETH 1M ATM IV</h3><p>52.43 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-24\"><h3>[24] SOL 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>-1.11 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-25\"><h3>[25] SOL 1M ATM IV</h3><p>54.39 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-26\"><h3>[26] BTC 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>-0.07 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-27\"><h3>[27] ETH 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.05 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-28\"><h3>[28] SOL 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>-1.06 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-29\"><h3>[29] SOL 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>-1.93 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-30\"><h3>[30] SOL 1W ATM IV</h3><p>56.18 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-31\"><h3>[31] SOL 2W ATM IV</h3><p>54.77 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-32\"><h3>[32] BTC 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.45 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-33\"><h3>[33] BTC 1M RR25</h3><p>-3.54 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-34\"><h3>[34] ETH 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.45 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-35\"><h3>[35] ETH 1M RR25</h3><p>-4.06 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-36\"><h3>[36] SOL 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.95 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-37\"><h3>[37] SOL 1M RR25</h3><p>-1.35 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-38\"><h3>[38] BTC 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.24 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-39\"><h3>[39] BTC 1W RR25</h3><p>-3.43 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-40\"><h3>[40] ETH 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.38 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-41\"><h3>[41] ETH 1W RR25</h3><p>-6.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-42\"><h3>[42] BTC spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-0.06 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-43\"><h3>[43] ETH spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>0.20 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-44\"><h3>[44] SOL spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-0.61 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-45\"><h3>[45] BTC rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>38.51 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-46\"><h3>[46] ETH rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>49.75 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-47\"><h3>[47] SOL rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>58.66 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-48\"><h3>[48] BTC 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>0.17 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-49\"><h3>[49] ETH 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>2.60 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-50\"><h3>[50] SOL 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>-2.48 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-51\"><h3>[51] BTC btcVol.ds30</h3><p>43.11 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-52\"><h3>[52] BTC btcVol.bviv</h3><p>41.85 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-53\"><h3>[53] BTC btcVol.bvivMinusDs30</h3><p>-1.26 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-54\"><h3>[54] BTC 6M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.27 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-55\"><h3>[55] BTC 9M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.24 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-56\"><h3>[56] SOL 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.14 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-57\"><h3>[57] SOL 1W RR25</h3><p>-4.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-58\"><h3>[58] BTC 1W ATM IV</h3><p>38.68 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-59\"><h3>[59] BTC 2W ATM IV</h3><p>37.91 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-60\"><h3>[60] BTC 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>-0.14 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-61\"><h3>[61] BTC 2W RR25</h3><p>-3.76 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-62\"><h3>[62] BTC 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.21 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-63\"><h3>[63] ETH 1W ATM IV</h3><p>52.35 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-64\"><h3>[64] ETH 2W ATM IV</h3><p>52.10 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-65\"><h3>[65] ETH 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.03 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-66\"><h3>[66] ETH 2W RR25</h3><p>-5.81 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-67\"><h3>[67] ETH 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.45 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-68\"><h3>[68] SOL 2W RR25</h3><p>-2.66 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-69\"><h3>[69] SOL 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.10 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-70\"><h3>[70] BTC 1W ATM IV</h3><p>38.75 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-71\"><h3>[71] BTC 1M ATM IV</h3><p>37.97 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-72\"><h3>[72] ETH 1W ATM IV</h3><p>52.30 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-73\"><h3>[73] ETH 1M ATM IV</h3><p>52.38 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-74\"><h3>[74] SOL 1W ATM IV</h3><p>57.24 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-75\"><h3>[75] SOL 1M ATM IV</h3><p>55.50 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-76\"><h3>[76] BTC 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-0.86 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-77\"><h3>[77] BTC 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-0.78 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-78\"><h3>[78] BTC 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.29 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-79\"><h3>[79] BTC 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>1.11 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-80\"><h3>[80] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-81\"><h3>[81] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-82\"><h3>[82] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-0.56 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-83\"><h3>[83] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>1.23 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-84\"><h3>[84] SOL 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-1.79 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-85\"><h3>[85] SOL 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-1.74 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-86\"><h3>[86] SOL 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-7.77 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-87\"><h3>[87] SOL 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>2.75 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-88\"><h3>[88] BTC 1W RR25</h3><p>-3.19 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-129\"><h3>[129] ETH 1W RR25</h3><p>-5.66 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-169\"><h3>[169] SOL 1W RR25</h3><p>-4.22 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article></details></main></body></html>","provenance":{"canonicalReportSha256":"519793ff2c40719acf49d8ee9cbade7e18ae20b50dacfe9822828e61176b17ec","presentationSha256":"361131137de9e65dc28c131f446864e08e33abc436c3778a17ddb45b635952e2","reviewedReportSha256":"519793ff2c40719acf49d8ee9cbade7e18ae20b50dacfe9822828e61176b17ec","sourceHtmlSha256":"044df49d8ebe853831e7b28abcedfbe2147487068314be1b42dbd48315d61cda","sourceJournalSha256":"9ab7afa725e772c52f2a9e99dfaa52ba21e7e077299e5781fb5b17af7f65f78a"},"reportDate":"2026-11-07","schemaVersion":1,"snapshotUtc":"2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00","summary":"BTC and ETH 1M butterfly premiums widened while SOL’s narrowed, separating relative wing protection from a shared volatility story. The distinction extends across nearby tenors, but directional pricing tells a different story: matched 1M skew deepened its existing downside bias across the cohort, even as SOL 1W skew eased.","title":"1M butterfly premiums diverge across crypto majors"}