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style-src 'unsafe-inline'; base-uri 'none'; img-src data:\" http-equiv=\"Content-Security-Policy\"/><title>ETH front-end RR25 becomes less negative</title><style>:root { color-scheme: light; --paper: #f7f3eb; --raised: #f0ebe1; --ink: #242824; --soft: #3d433e; --muted: #626a61; --line: #d3cec2; --strong: #b5b5a7; --teal: #315f59; --teal-pale: #e3ebe3; }\n* { box-sizing: border-box; }\nhtml { background: var(--paper); }\nbody { margin: 0; background: var(--paper); color: var(--ink); font: 16px/1.6 system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, \"Segoe UI\", sans-serif; }\na { color: var(--teal); text-underline-offset: 3px; overflow-wrap: anywhere; }\na:focus-visible, summary:focus-visible { outline: 2px solid var(--teal); outline-offset: 4px; }\n.report { width: calc(100% - 48px); max-width: 1100px; width: min(calc(100% - 48px), 1100px); margin: 0 auto; padding-bottom: 56px; }\n.hero { padding: 24px 0 32px; border-bottom: 1px solid var(--strong); }\n.brand-row { display: flex; justify-content: space-between; 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} .appendix { overflow-wrap: anywhere; } }</style><style>img.brand-mark {display:block; width:30px; height:30px; background:none;} .snapshot > div {padding-top:10px; padding-bottom:10px;} .snapshot strong {margin:2px 0;}</style></head><body><main class=\"report\"><header class=\"hero\"><div class=\"brand-row\"><img alt=\"\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"brand-mark\" src=\"data:image/svg+xml;base64,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\"/> DERIVASYS</div><p class=\"eyebrow\">Focused research note</p><h1>ETH front-end RR25 becomes less negative</h1><p class=\"standfirst\">ETH front-end skew became less negative even as spot declined and ATM volatility rose. Relief extended through 3M, but existing downside asymmetry deepened at 6M and 9M. The evidence points to a tenor-specific adjustment in directional insurance pricing, rather than a broad retreat in volatility expectations.</p><p class=\"byline\">Derivasys Research</p><div aria-label=\"Report snapshot\" class=\"snapshot\"><div><span>Report date</span><strong>09 Nov 2026</strong></div><div><span>Current snapshot</span><strong>09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div><div><span>Coverage</span><strong>ETH</strong></div><div><span>Comparison snapshot</span><strong>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div></div></header><section class=\"section editorial\"><p class=\"eyebrow\">The reading</p><h2>What the evidence says</h2><p class=\"finding\">ETH 1W RR25, the call-versus-put IV asymmetry, changed by +2.29 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup> to -4.12 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup> over the daily comparison. That reduced an existing downside bias without crossing into a call premium. The adjustment extended beyond 1W: 2W RR25 changed by +1.65 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup> to -3.52 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup>, while 1M RR25 changed by +0.45 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup> to -2.87 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup>. The 1W absolute move had a full-captured-history magnitude rank of 85.7th percentile <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup>, measured against 56 observations (observed sampling; 10 Sep 2026–08 Nov 2026) <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup>; this describes its individual magnitude, not the rarity of the curve configuration.</p><p class=\"finding\">The RR25 relief continued into intermediate maturities: 2M changed by +0.43 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup> to -2.39 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup>, and 3M changed by +0.23 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup> to -2.09 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup>. Longer maturities moved in the opposite direction, though by smaller amounts. ETH 6M RR25 moved from -1.24 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup> to -1.37 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup>, a change of -0.13 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup>. ETH 9M RR25 moved from -0.66 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup> to -0.74 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup>, changing by -0.08 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup>. Those negative-to-more-negative changes deepen existing downside asymmetry; they qualify the breadth of relief without establishing a separate dramatic long-tenor repricing.</p><p class=\"finding\">Skew relief did not mean cheaper ATM, or at-the-money, implied volatility. ETH 1W ATM IV changed by +0.92 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup> to 56.54% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup>. The increase also reached 2W, changing by +1.05 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup>, and 1M, changing by +0.78 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup> to 54.33% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup>. Meanwhile, BF25—the average wing IV premium over ATM—narrowed at 1W, changing by -0.19 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup> to 1.97 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup>, and at 2W, changing by -0.13 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup> to 1.78 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup>. The matched 1M butterfly premium barely changed, by -0.01 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup> to 1.78 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 28\" href=\"#source-28\">[28]</a></sup>. Thus ATM increases and RR25 relief extended to 1M, while butterfly-premium narrowing was more apparent at 1W and 2W; falling BF25 does not establish falling absolute wing IV.</p><p class=\"finding\">ETH trailing realized volatility over the weekly window was 55.39% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 29\" href=\"#source-29\">[29]</a></sup>, recomputed from retained minute prices using observed minute log returns and a calendar-day annualization basis, with complete coverage under the stated policy. Forward 1W ATM IV exceeded that trailing measure by +1.15 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 30\" href=\"#source-30\">[30]</a></sup>. This supports a narrower interpretation of the 1W RR25 move: relative downside asymmetry eased while overall implied movement remained priced above the backward-looking realized measure. <a href=\"https://wublock.substack.com/p/wublockchain-weekly-outlook-us-cpi\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Wu Blockchain</a> identified prospective US consumer and producer price releases during the news window, providing event-risk context for forward volatility, but neither an observed release outcome nor an explanation for the measured tenor divergence.</p><div class=\"consolidated-limits\"><h3>Qualifications and limits</h3><ul><li>ETH spot changed by -4.47% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 31\" href=\"#source-31\">[31]</a></sup> over the aligned daily crypto window. That decline weakens a bullish reading of the less-negative 1W RR25: relative option asymmetry improved despite continuing spot weakness.</li><li>Historical ranks describe eligible observed daily moves within their stated sample bounds; missing dates and selection can bias them. News publication and capture clocks differ from the aligned options comparison, and the outlook's release dates lack official calendar confirmation here. Neither chronology nor relative repricing identifies its cause or investor positioning.</li><li>Forward 1W implied volatility and trailing weekly realized volatility cover different periods. Their spread is descriptive, not a forecast or trading edge; same-series realized-volatility recomputation does not independently validate the underlying prices.</li></ul></div></section><section class=\"section market-scorecard\"><h2>Verified market snapshot</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Current levels and changes over each recorded native interval. Only receipt-matched quotes are shown; an em dash marks a missing matching quote.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset · tenor</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV change</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25 change</th><th scope=\"col\">BF25 change</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 1W</th><td>56.54 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup></td><td>0.92 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup></td><td>-4.12 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup></td><td>2.29 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup></td><td>-0.19 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 2W</th><td>55.38 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup></td><td>1.05 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup></td><td>-3.52 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup></td><td>1.65 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup></td><td>-0.13 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 1M</th><td>54.33 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup></td><td>0.78 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup></td><td>-2.87 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup></td><td>0.45 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup></td><td>-0.01 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 2M</th><td>53.63 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup></td><td>0.42 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup></td><td>-2.39 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup></td><td>0.43 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup></td><td>-0.02 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 3M</th><td>53.41 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup></td><td>0.29 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 37\" href=\"#source-37\">[37]</a></sup></td><td>-2.09 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup></td><td>0.23 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup></td><td>0.01 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 38\" href=\"#source-38\">[38]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 6M</th><td>53.72 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 39\" href=\"#source-39\">[39]</a></sup></td><td>0.16 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 40\" href=\"#source-40\">[40]</a></sup></td><td>-1.37 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup></td><td>-0.13 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup></td><td>0.04 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 41\" href=\"#source-41\">[41]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 9M</th><td>53.88 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 42\" href=\"#source-42\">[42]</a></sup></td><td>0.03 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 43\" href=\"#source-43\">[43]</a></sup></td><td>-0.74 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup></td><td>-0.08 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup></td><td>0.06 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 44\" href=\"#source-44\">[44]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><section class=\"section curve-regimes\"><h2>Weekly versus monthly curve</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Matched native endpoints; inverted means monthly ATM IV is below weekly ATM IV. Regimes compare verified levels; no numerical slope is inferred.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Curve regime</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH</th><td>55.62 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 45\" href=\"#source-45\">[45]</a></sup></td><td>53.55 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 46\" href=\"#source-46\">[46]</a></sup></td><td>56.54 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup></td><td>54.33 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"section curve-history\"><summary>Recent ATM curve history</summary><p>One-month minus one-week at-the-money implied volatility. Negative values mean an inverted curve. Each row retains its native observation time; missing days are not filled.</p><table><thead><tr><th>Asset</th><th>Native observation (UTC)</th><th>1M minus 1W ATM IV</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.21 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 47\" href=\"#source-47\">[47]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.07 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 48\" href=\"#source-48\">[48]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.08 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 49\" href=\"#source-49\">[49]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>ETH</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.08 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 50\" href=\"#source-50\">[50]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></details><section class=\"semantic-charts\" data-chart-plan-sha256=\"48cfd1f23c1f05c3d5243413ec51311268c8cf78600376d9a9add3d47bc574d3\" data-semantic-chart-version=\"2\"><section class=\"section semantic-figure\" data-chart-kind=\"term_overlay\" data-chart-role=\"hero\" data-chart-spec-sha256=\"dad2ba36124ce406b63528b29eb4bc94ab8c7443c211fc182301046bd63bfc63\" data-figure-id=\"term:ETH:rr25\" data-receipt-ids=\"01f142c8603dc0b4ec861fab09af46f89f3c02c5d4480c7538ba085e053809a8 09493beaf58e3ce231a5d9e9bafc5964c994f88d8fac153707a0512adcd55239 0c47181f127062af9fc5926685fd09d8be4f09ebc2c74b09ff9a47eca8e1d7a4 1a23933231177d8d5e6eaf63b8a73010a35acf2a948849107ca1536424325997 4ab622c91fbfbd00cee690e0dbdfeb4223e5310fd5ba8a3a02dd9e4cc45b7c23 64886407d835f837f5505af61cd26069bb0744e8fcc22ba16114e3fdb906541e 6a67555dd4ab6e87bda2f3a6799c9c911ff1074f96d7d1a2ed43638d504cf468 70a9a93d51369af8590eec832f957141597b87171ef4fa3216995b7eb567161f 74faacc435b56160dfd7292c5d85ff3f5c5fa2c1cfa8e9dd7c5209e4fe0e5e3f 80260dd38fc38785732c422e4e0ea3a2387130954b87aa38290be6ecfce9423d 80f707af6dc91fe7c4284eb1cf63f406a78a0e1dd1e591d2f3082f630023856a 87cb3863161c2e15e2281c0d4e70deede10748fe18a32270425afd9ebea3e071 d4eddfda666cf70268556e51233a699aab2a3214b4a7cafc0d798fec0e4239b9 e2d9fcd9fc94ae6c3d4f06e08fad7bad3214db8a83a40aebf655b714e726329e\" data-source-ids=\"08177bda5fae79c3d019aeaa2029588ae311fd90783ed76ffc94fa2c0cc1cff9 9ccb61a3723ca8424c1e25b5f5e2b8d372307e2cce7b07540dd9ef40a6daa5d9 a2520d1fea1b2da883d185a51db21b6806cc41c6bb2d51d7c42da83827153698 d1e94769416ca37460868aa15c80f1b232a2b1d1bc5d0424584a43f34fc5ded2 d9edf04a7073101a52ee385524dbd980dbdc59d85c211b4dd209f3f1950b56ba ef6da5e7f31eea62971ca91a0b0d31ec0f03d3ee49e62ac092b1e34e37ae3962 ff04e42fcebcecac0125352321511d19f5c1869dee45dc9eefe9f683d301ba19\"><h2>ETH RR25 term structure</h2><figure><p class=\"semantic-chart-scroll-hint\">Scroll horizontally to see the full chart.</p><div aria-label=\"Scrollable ETH RR25 term structure\" class=\"semantic-chart-wrap\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg class=\"semantic-chart\" data-chart-id=\"term:ETH:rr25\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 390\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><title>ETH RR25 term structure</title><desc>Current and comparison are exact native endpoint observations. Tenors are equally spaced categories; connecting segments do not express elapsed-time slopes. Missing points remain gaps.</desc><g fill=\"#3d433e\" font-family=\"system-ui, sans-serif\" style=\"font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums\"><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"322.00\">1W</text><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"188.57\" y=\"337.00\">2W</text><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"277.14\" y=\"322.00\">1M</text><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"365.71\" y=\"337.00\">2M</text><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"454.29\" y=\"322.00\">3M</text><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"542.86\" y=\"337.00\">6M</text><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"631.43\" y=\"322.00\">9M</text><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"720.00\" y=\"337.00\">1Y</text><line stroke=\"#d3cec2\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"720.00\" y1=\"105.00\" y2=\"105.00\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"109.00\">-0.2</text><line stroke=\"#d3cec2\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"720.00\" y1=\"153.75\" y2=\"153.75\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"157.75\">-1.867</text><line stroke=\"#d3cec2\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"720.00\" y1=\"202.50\" y2=\"202.50\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"206.50\">-3.535</text><line stroke=\"#d3cec2\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"720.00\" y1=\"251.25\" y2=\"251.25\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"255.25\">-5.202</text><line stroke=\"#d3cec2\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"720.00\" y1=\"300.00\" y2=\"300.00\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"304.00\">-6.87</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"36.00\">Level (volatility points)</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"372.00\">Equally spaced categories</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"68.00\">Current</text><line stroke=\"#315f59\" x1=\"72.00\" x2=\"94.00\" y1=\"64.00\" y2=\"64.00\"></line><circle cx=\"100.00\" cy=\"219.60\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#315f59\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"188.57\" y1=\"219.60\" y2=\"202.06\"></line><circle cx=\"188.57\" cy=\"202.06\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#315f59\" x1=\"188.57\" x2=\"277.14\" y1=\"202.06\" y2=\"183.06\"></line><circle cx=\"277.14\" cy=\"183.06\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#315f59\" x1=\"277.14\" x2=\"365.71\" y1=\"183.06\" y2=\"169.03\"></line><circle cx=\"365.71\" cy=\"169.03\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#315f59\" x1=\"365.71\" x2=\"454.29\" y1=\"169.03\" y2=\"160.25\"></line><circle cx=\"454.29\" cy=\"160.25\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#315f59\" x1=\"454.29\" x2=\"542.86\" y1=\"160.25\" y2=\"139.21\"></line><circle cx=\"542.86\" cy=\"139.21\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#315f59\" x1=\"542.86\" x2=\"631.43\" y1=\"139.21\" y2=\"120.79\"></line><circle cx=\"631.43\" cy=\"120.79\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"></circle><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"350.00\" y=\"68.00\">Comparison</text><line stroke=\"#9a8260\" stroke-dasharray=\"7 5\" x1=\"322.00\" x2=\"344.00\" y1=\"64.00\" y2=\"64.00\"></line><circle cx=\"100.00\" cy=\"286.55\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#9a8260\" stroke-dasharray=\"7 5\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"188.57\" y1=\"286.55\" y2=\"250.30\"></line><circle cx=\"188.57\" cy=\"250.30\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#9a8260\" stroke-dasharray=\"7 5\" x1=\"188.57\" x2=\"277.14\" y1=\"250.30\" y2=\"196.21\"></line><circle cx=\"277.14\" cy=\"196.21\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#9a8260\" stroke-dasharray=\"7 5\" x1=\"277.14\" x2=\"365.71\" y1=\"196.21\" y2=\"181.60\"></line><circle cx=\"365.71\" cy=\"181.60\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#9a8260\" stroke-dasharray=\"7 5\" x1=\"365.71\" x2=\"454.29\" y1=\"181.60\" y2=\"166.98\"></line><circle cx=\"454.29\" cy=\"166.98\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#9a8260\" stroke-dasharray=\"7 5\" x1=\"454.29\" x2=\"542.86\" y1=\"166.98\" y2=\"135.40\"></line><circle cx=\"542.86\" cy=\"135.40\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#9a8260\" stroke-dasharray=\"7 5\" x1=\"542.86\" x2=\"631.43\" y1=\"135.40\" y2=\"118.45\"></line><circle cx=\"631.43\" cy=\"118.45\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"3\"></circle></g></svg></div><figcaption>Current and comparison are exact native endpoint observations. Tenors are equally spaced categories; connecting segments do not express elapsed-time slopes. Missing points remain gaps.</figcaption></figure></section><section class=\"section semantic-figure\" data-chart-kind=\"timeline\" data-chart-role=\"support\" data-chart-spec-sha256=\"1b2485ef6f3fdb5408b55691dad1a68c0d66ef21655e64148c7667d49daed33f\" data-figure-id=\"curve-history:ETH\" data-receipt-ids=\"276273cc218b98b93f09c205f9b75a9267a126aaba219a78ea8c2279d58a3fb6 2b2ded402427273d2433d89d68af49615c38366c60ea0077e858e643790f27fc 8dbdc8670b8e125f38ccb6a91aa5c81b1c048b1a454dd772fbc67a89bd1253f8 c3beb92961a85d77d392dfb914ab3899116faecfbdc597fb08bc4256ce61c13e\" data-source-ids=\"142e406f84295c1e9e27956bbf3fefc45169485d132110d4dad091b45337fcde 1c7444c9e7f1bce91a8d937cd28ccd65cf6c493950d6cd53ea7660398615c624 4a8b0990b60855870519a5966fd870c293eeea15973d41b2cb57e204b03f1d2a 5d0b8af62475d4c081538c01c40b7d59125016de7505b80175aeabb2dcf8b3a7 846212c1811a880e74264a45e71c8bbd1ee3579dc3257523ef469acc45903bda a7e3dc993fc85a0e6ce1e938d499ae3555eea6ed05b50c3db28e08d7d1014424 ad53d8df678540bacf16ef2268b59d720923808c9feade50a4744ce876e85b18 bfb4db502b9a48a070c149350100a327bb49d90efa214aeecf433bb4863c1e52\"><h2>ETH observed 1M minus 1W ATM IV</h2><figure><p class=\"semantic-chart-scroll-hint\">Scroll horizontally to see the full chart.</p><div aria-label=\"Scrollable ETH observed 1M minus 1W ATM IV\" class=\"semantic-chart-wrap\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg class=\"semantic-chart\" data-chart-id=\"curve-history:ETH\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 390\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><title>ETH observed 1M minus 1W ATM IV</title><desc>Observed 1M-minus-1W ATM IV copied from existing spread-calculator receipts. Native time is proportional; missing days are not filled. Negative values indicate inversion; zero is flat.</desc><g fill=\"#3d433e\" font-family=\"system-ui, sans-serif\" style=\"font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums\"><text font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"322.00\">2026-11-06</text><text font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"306.67\" y=\"322.00\">2026-11-07</text><text font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"513.33\" y=\"322.00\">2026-11-08</text><text font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"720.00\" y=\"322.00\">2026-11-09</text><line stroke=\"#d3cec2\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"720.00\" y1=\"105.00\" y2=\"105.00\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"109.00\">0.2632</text><line stroke=\"#d3cec2\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"720.00\" y1=\"153.75\" y2=\"153.75\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"157.75\">-0.4009</text><line stroke=\"#d3cec2\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"720.00\" y1=\"202.50\" y2=\"202.50\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"206.50\">-1.065</text><line stroke=\"#d3cec2\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"720.00\" y1=\"251.25\" y2=\"251.25\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"255.25\">-1.729</text><line stroke=\"#d3cec2\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"720.00\" y1=\"300.00\" y2=\"300.00\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"304.00\">-2.393</text><line stroke=\"#626a61\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"720.00\" y1=\"124.32\" y2=\"124.32\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"128.32\">0</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"36.00\">Observed value (volatility points)</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"372.00\">Native observation (UTC)</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"68.00\">Receipt-backed curve slope</text><line stroke=\"#315f59\" x1=\"72.00\" x2=\"94.00\" y1=\"64.00\" y2=\"64.00\"></line><circle cx=\"100.00\" cy=\"118.45\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#315f59\" x1=\"100.00\" x2=\"306.67\" y1=\"118.45\" y2=\"118.45\"></line><circle cx=\"306.67\" cy=\"118.45\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#315f59\" x1=\"306.67\" x2=\"513.33\" y1=\"118.45\" y2=\"276.27\"></line><circle cx=\"513.33\" cy=\"276.27\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"></circle><line stroke=\"#315f59\" x1=\"513.33\" x2=\"720.00\" y1=\"276.27\" y2=\"286.55\"></line><circle cx=\"720.00\" cy=\"286.55\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"></circle></g></svg></div><figcaption>Observed 1M-minus-1W ATM IV copied from existing spread-calculator receipts. Native time is proportional; missing days are not filled. Negative values indicate inversion; zero is flat.</figcaption></figure></section><section class=\"section semantic-figure\" data-chart-kind=\"diverging_bars\" data-chart-role=\"support\" data-chart-spec-sha256=\"b8e3c653d02496562b5779f41b83daf5ddd0216453b257e2895e01f0cd16df1a\" data-figure-id=\"rv-rolling:ETH\" data-receipt-ids=\"57fa7775659be46c6980dc56da3831011a21e910d065821ef7b1924e64d4eaad\" data-source-ids=\"98327582e3934457c9048e61d2e7f16a02e805120457f7d3b8f691d84ef853df\"><h2>ETH trailing 7d variance: entering and leaving returns</h2><figure><p class=\"semantic-chart-scroll-hint\">Scroll horizontally to see the full chart.</p><div aria-label=\"Scrollable ETH trailing 7d variance: entering and leaving returns\" class=\"semantic-chart-wrap\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg class=\"semantic-chart\" data-chart-id=\"rv-rolling:ETH\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 321\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><title>ETH trailing 7d variance: entering and leaving returns</title><desc>Replayed same-series squared-minute arithmetic; not independent price validation. No fill, interpolation or gap bridging. Effects add in annualized squared volatility points, not RV percentage points. Current and previous coverage: 100.0% / 100.0%. The denominator effect is explicit; Net is the sum of the three effects. Selected by largest absolute variance change within the qualified common native interval; configured asset order resolves ties.</desc><g fill=\"#3d433e\" font-family=\"system-ui, sans-serif\" style=\"font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums\"><line stroke=\"#626a61\" x1=\"268.80\" x2=\"268.80\" y1=\"97.00\" y2=\"266.00\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"122.00\">Entering</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"408.45\" x=\"268.80\" y=\"105\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"682.24\" y=\"121.00\">+898.3</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"156.00\">Leaving</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" height=\"21\" width=\"126.04\" x=\"142.76\" y=\"139\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"137.76\" y=\"155.00\">-277.2</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"190.00\">Denominator</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"0.00\" x=\"268.80\" y=\"173\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"273.80\" y=\"189.00\">0</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"224.00\">Net</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"282.41\" x=\"268.80\" y=\"207\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"556.20\" y=\"223.00\">+621.1</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"306.00\">squared volatility points (annualized) (squared volatility points (annualized))</text></g></svg></div><figcaption>Replayed same-series squared-minute arithmetic; not independent price validation. No fill, interpolation or gap bridging. Effects add in annualized squared volatility points, not RV percentage points. Current and previous coverage: 100.0% / 100.0%. The denominator effect is explicit; Net is the sum of the three effects. Selected by largest absolute variance change within the qualified common native interval; configured asset order resolves ties.</figcaption></figure></section></section><details class=\"appendix legacy-chart-detail\" data-chart-role=\"appendix\" data-legacy-chart-policy=\"daily-v1\"><summary>Full original chart detail</summary><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>ETH RR25 curve</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"ETH RR25 curve\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>ETH RR25 curve</title><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">-0.66 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"84.50\">-2.10 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">-3.54 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"189.50\">-4.97 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-6.41 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"125.00\" y=\"265\">1W</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"210.00\" y=\"265\">2W</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"295.00\" y=\"265\">1M</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"380.00\" y=\"265\">2M</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"465.00\" y=\"265\">3M</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"550.00\" y=\"265\">6M</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"635.00\" y=\"265\">9M</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"720.00\" y=\"265\">1Y</text><circle cx=\"125.00\" cy=\"154.37\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"4\"><title>1W · Current · 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -4.12 vol pts</title></circle><path d=\"M125.00,154.37 L210.00,132.45\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#315f59\" stroke-width=\"2\"></path><circle cx=\"210.00\" cy=\"132.45\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"4\"><title>2W · Current · 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -3.52 vol pts</title></circle><path d=\"M210.00,132.45 L295.00,108.71\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#315f59\" stroke-width=\"2\"></path><circle cx=\"295.00\" cy=\"108.71\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"4\"><title>1M · Current · 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -2.87 vol pts</title></circle><path d=\"M295.00,108.71 L380.00,91.18\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#315f59\" stroke-width=\"2\"></path><circle cx=\"380.00\" cy=\"91.18\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"4\"><title>2M · Current · 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -2.39 vol pts</title></circle><path d=\"M380.00,91.18 L465.00,80.23\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#315f59\" stroke-width=\"2\"></path><circle cx=\"465.00\" cy=\"80.23\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"4\"><title>3M · Current · 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -2.09 vol pts</title></circle><path d=\"M465.00,80.23 L550.00,53.93\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#315f59\" stroke-width=\"2\"></path><circle cx=\"550.00\" cy=\"53.93\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"4\"><title>6M · Current · 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -1.37 vol pts</title></circle><path d=\"M550.00,53.93 L635.00,30.92\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#315f59\" stroke-width=\"2\"></path><circle cx=\"635.00\" cy=\"30.92\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"4\"><title>9M · Current · 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -0.74 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"125.00\" cy=\"238.00\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"4\"><title>1W · Comparison · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -6.41 vol pts</title></circle><path d=\"M125.00,238.00 L210.00,192.71\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#9a8260\" stroke-dasharray=\"7 5\" stroke-width=\"2\"></path><circle cx=\"210.00\" cy=\"192.71\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"4\"><title>2W · Comparison · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -5.17 vol pts</title></circle><path d=\"M210.00,192.71 L295.00,125.15\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#9a8260\" stroke-dasharray=\"7 5\" stroke-width=\"2\"></path><circle cx=\"295.00\" cy=\"125.15\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"4\"><title>1M · Comparison · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -3.32 vol pts</title></circle><path d=\"M295.00,125.15 L380.00,106.89\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#9a8260\" stroke-dasharray=\"7 5\" stroke-width=\"2\"></path><circle cx=\"380.00\" cy=\"106.89\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"4\"><title>2M · Comparison · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -2.82 vol pts</title></circle><path d=\"M380.00,106.89 L465.00,88.63\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#9a8260\" stroke-dasharray=\"7 5\" stroke-width=\"2\"></path><circle cx=\"465.00\" cy=\"88.63\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"4\"><title>3M · Comparison · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -2.32 vol pts</title></circle><path d=\"M465.00,88.63 L550.00,49.18\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#9a8260\" stroke-dasharray=\"7 5\" stroke-width=\"2\"></path><circle cx=\"550.00\" cy=\"49.18\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"4\"><title>6M · Comparison · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -1.24 vol pts</title></circle><path d=\"M550.00,49.18 L635.00,28.00\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#9a8260\" stroke-dasharray=\"7 5\" stroke-width=\"2\"></path><circle cx=\"635.00\" cy=\"28.00\" fill=\"#9a8260\" r=\"4\"><title>9M · Comparison · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC: -0.66 vol pts</title></circle></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>Current · 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#9a8260\"></i>Comparison · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</span>. Tenors are equally spaced categories, not elapsed time. Gaps remain unconnected.</figcaption></figure></section><p class=\"source-note\">Figure sources: <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 56\" href=\"#source-56\">[56]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 57\" href=\"#source-57\">[57]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 58\" href=\"#source-58\">[58]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 59\" href=\"#source-59\">[59]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 60\" href=\"#source-60\">[60]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 61\" href=\"#source-61\">[61]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 62\" href=\"#source-62\">[62]</a></sup></p><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>ETH: size of daily changes in the 1-week call-minus-put volatility premium (RR25)</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"ETH: size of daily changes in the 1-week call-minus-put volatility premium (RR25) ranked observed sample\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>ETH: size of daily changes in the 1-week call-minus-put volatility premium (RR25)</title><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">3.89 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"84.50\">2.92 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">1.96 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"189.50\">0.99 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">0.02 vol pts</text><circle cx=\"125.00\" cy=\"238.00\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-24T17:31:00+00:00: 0.02 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"135.82\" cy=\"236.91\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-06T17:31:00+00:00: 0.04 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"146.64\" cy=\"236.37\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-11T17:31:00+00:00: 0.05 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"157.45\" cy=\"236.37\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-17T17:31:00+00:00: 0.05 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"168.27\" cy=\"234.74\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-14T17:31:00+00:00: 0.08 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"179.09\" cy=\"232.57\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-25T17:31:00+00:00: 0.12 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"189.91\" cy=\"232.57\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-17T17:31:00+00:00: 0.12 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"200.73\" cy=\"232.57\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-23T17:31:00+00:00: 0.12 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"211.55\" cy=\"232.57\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-28T17:31:00+00:00: 0.12 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"222.36\" cy=\"228.23\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00: 0.20 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"233.18\" cy=\"226.60\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-26T17:31:00+00:00: 0.23 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"244.00\" cy=\"226.60\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-11T17:31:00+00:00: 0.23 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"254.82\" cy=\"224.98\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-03T17:31:00+00:00: 0.26 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"265.64\" cy=\"222.81\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-26T17:31:00+00:00: 0.30 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"276.45\" cy=\"219.01\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00: 0.37 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"287.27\" cy=\"218.47\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-13T17:31:00+00:00: 0.38 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"298.09\" cy=\"218.47\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00: 0.38 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"308.91\" cy=\"209.24\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-01T17:31:00+00:00: 0.55 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"319.73\" cy=\"207.61\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-31T17:31:00+00:00: 0.58 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"330.55\" cy=\"206.53\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-13T17:31:00+00:00: 0.60 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"341.36\" cy=\"206.53\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-04T17:31:00+00:00: 0.60 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"352.18\" cy=\"205.98\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-12T17:31:00+00:00: 0.61 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"363.00\" cy=\"203.81\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-09T17:31:00+00:00: 0.65 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"373.82\" cy=\"198.39\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-30T17:31:00+00:00: 0.75 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"384.64\" cy=\"197.30\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-05T17:31:00+00:00: 0.77 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"395.45\" cy=\"196.22\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-15T17:31:00+00:00: 0.79 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"406.27\" cy=\"186.45\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-29T17:31:00+00:00: 0.97 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"417.09\" cy=\"186.45\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-02T17:31:00+00:00: 0.97 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"427.91\" cy=\"179.94\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-27T17:31:00+00:00: 1.09 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"438.73\" cy=\"177.77\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-16T17:31:00+00:00: 1.13 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"449.55\" cy=\"177.22\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-04T17:31:00+00:00: 1.14 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"460.36\" cy=\"173.97\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-27T17:31:00+00:00: 1.20 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"471.18\" cy=\"168.00\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-08T17:31:00+00:00: 1.31 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"482.00\" cy=\"168.00\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-20T17:31:00+00:00: 1.31 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"492.82\" cy=\"163.66\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-16T17:31:00+00:00: 1.39 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"503.64\" cy=\"162.57\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-24T17:31:00+00:00: 1.41 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"514.45\" cy=\"162.03\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-19T17:31:00+00:00: 1.42 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"525.27\" cy=\"161.49\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-01T17:31:00+00:00: 1.43 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"536.09\" cy=\"156.60\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-02T17:31:00+00:00: 1.52 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"546.91\" cy=\"154.98\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-10T17:31:00+00:00: 1.55 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"557.73\" cy=\"149.55\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-12T17:31:00+00:00: 1.65 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"568.55\" cy=\"147.92\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-20T17:31:00+00:00: 1.68 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"579.36\" cy=\"145.75\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-10T17:31:00+00:00: 1.72 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"590.18\" cy=\"143.04\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-14T17:31:00+00:00: 1.77 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"601.00\" cy=\"142.50\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-23T17:31:00+00:00: 1.78 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"611.82\" cy=\"140.33\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-18T17:31:00+00:00: 1.82 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"622.64\" cy=\"133.27\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-25T17:31:00+00:00: 1.95 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"633.45\" cy=\"130.02\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-21T17:31:00+00:00: 2.01 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"644.27\" cy=\"113.19\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-03T17:31:00+00:00: 2.32 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"655.09\" cy=\"98.54\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00: 2.59 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"665.91\" cy=\"94.20\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-19T17:31:00+00:00: 2.67 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"676.73\" cy=\"92.03\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-18T17:31:00+00:00: 2.71 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"687.55\" cy=\"89.86\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-22T17:31:00+00:00: 2.75 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"698.36\" cy=\"81.18\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-15T17:31:00+00:00: 2.91 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"709.18\" cy=\"67.61\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-07T17:31:00+00:00: 3.16 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"720.00\" cy=\"28.00\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-30T17:31:00+00:00: 3.89 vol pts</title></circle><circle class=\"current-statistic\" cx=\"644.27\" cy=\"114.82\" fill=\"#ac6353\" r=\"6\"><title>Current statistic: 2.29 vol pts</title></circle><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.5\" y=\"265\">Sample rank (ordered by value)</text></svg></div><figcaption>Observed samples in teal. Current statistic: 2.29 vol pts (red). Change sizes ignore direction: increases and decreases of the same size are ranked together. RR25 is 25-delta call implied volatility minus 25-delta put implied volatility. n=56; 2026-09-10 to 2026-11-08; source-selected observed sample, no fill.</figcaption></figure></section><p><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup></p><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>BF25 change by tenor</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"BF25 change by tenor\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>BF25 change by tenor</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-0.20 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">0.20 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"265\">1W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"99.75\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"200.17\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · ETH · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.19 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"245.75\">-0.19</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"265\">2W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"68.25\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"398.50\" y=\"133.00\"><title>2W · ETH · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.13 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"214.25\">-0.13</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"265\">1M</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"5.25\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"596.83\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · ETH · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.01 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"151.25\">-0.01</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>ETH · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span>. Own-run receipt-matched changes; missing or ambiguous points remain gaps.</figcaption></figure></section><p class=\"source-note\">Figure evidence: <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup></p></details><section class=\"section research-panel\"><h2>What to watch next</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Each monitor describes a verified component or central counterexample of the selected story; observation tests, not a joint forecast.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Story component</th><th scope=\"col\">Next snapshot</th><th scope=\"col\">Observed condition</th><th scope=\"col\">Comparison period</th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 1W 25-delta risk reversal</th><td>10 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above -4.12 vol pts (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below -4.12 vol pts and strictly above -6.41 vol pts.<br/>Prior level: at or below -6.41 vol pts (prior level).</td><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 51\" href=\"#source-51\">[51]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 2W 25-delta risk reversal</th><td>10 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above -3.52 vol pts (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below -3.52 vol pts and strictly above -5.17 vol pts.<br/>Prior level: at or below -5.17 vol pts (prior level).</td><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 52\" href=\"#source-52\">[52]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">ETH · 1M 25-delta risk reversal</th><td>10 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above -2.87 vol pts (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below -2.87 vol pts and strictly above -3.32 vol pts.<br/>Prior level: at or below -3.32 vol pts (prior level).</td><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 53\" href=\"#source-53\">[53]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"appendix sampling-methodology\"><summary>Historical sampling methodology</summary><p>Each rank describes its supplied population. Exact consecutive daily endpoints use fixed UTC anchors and 24 elapsed hours, including across daylight-saving changes. Missing pairs are omitted without interpolation; their absence does not establish why the provider omitted them. Full captured history is bounded by this run. Different captures and windows can have different denominators even when their ranks agree.</p><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><thead><tr><th>Measure</th><th>Population</th><th>Observed pairs or levels</th><th>Requested window</th><th>Excluded pair or level endpoints</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>ETH 1W.rr25.absolute_move<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup></td><td>full captured history</td><td>56</td><td>2026-09-09T17:31:00+00:00 to 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>2026-09-21T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-22T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-28T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-29T17:31:00+00:00</td></tr></tbody></table></div></details><section class=\"section news-sources\"><h2>Source reporting</h2><ul><li><a href=\"https://wublock.substack.com/p/wublockchain-weekly-outlook-us-cpi\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. CPI and PPI Test Rate Expectations as CoreWeave and AI Infrastructure Firms Report</a> · Published 2026-11-09T11:47:50+00:00</li><li><a href=\"https://wublock.substack.com/p/wublockchain-weekly-outlook-us-cpi\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. CPI and PPI Test Rate Expectations as CoreWeave and AI Infrastructure Firms Report</a> · Published 2026-11-09T11:47:50+00:00</li></ul></section><p class=\"clock-note bf-definition\">BF25 = (25-delta call IV + 25-delta put IV) / 2 − ATM IV. Levels and changes are measured in volatility points.</p><p>Retrospective report: native market dates are distinct from later retrieval and run clocks. Later capture does not establish availability at the original cutoff.</p><details class=\"section source-notes\"><summary>Source notes</summary><article id=\"source-1\"><h3>[1] ETH 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>2.29 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-2\"><h3>[2] ETH 1W RR25</h3><p>-4.12 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-3\"><h3>[3] ETH 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>1.65 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-4\"><h3>[4] ETH 2W RR25</h3><p>-3.52 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-5\"><h3>[5] ETH 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>0.45 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-6\"><h3>[6] ETH 1M RR25</h3><p>-2.87 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-7\"><h3>[7] ETH 1W RR25 absolute move percentile</h3><p>85.71 percentile</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-8\"><h3>[8] ETH 2M RR25 difference</h3><p>0.43 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-9\"><h3>[9] ETH 2M RR25</h3><p>-2.39 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-10\"><h3>[10] ETH 3M RR25 difference</h3><p>0.23 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-11\"><h3>[11] ETH 3M RR25</h3><p>-2.09 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-12\"><h3>[12] ETH 6M RR25</h3><p>-1.24 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-13\"><h3>[13] ETH 6M RR25</h3><p>-1.37 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-14\"><h3>[14] ETH 6M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.13 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-15\"><h3>[15] ETH 9M RR25</h3><p>-0.66 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-16\"><h3>[16] ETH 9M RR25</h3><p>-0.74 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-17\"><h3>[17] ETH 9M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-18\"><h3>[18] ETH 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.92 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-19\"><h3>[19] ETH 1W ATM IV</h3><p>56.54 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-20\"><h3>[20] ETH 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>1.05 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-21\"><h3>[21] ETH 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.78 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-22\"><h3>[22] ETH 1M ATM IV</h3><p>54.33 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-23\"><h3>[23] ETH 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.19 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-24\"><h3>[24] ETH 1W BF25</h3><p>1.97 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-25\"><h3>[25] ETH 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.13 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-26\"><h3>[26] ETH 2W BF25</h3><p>1.78 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-27\"><h3>[27] ETH 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.01 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-28\"><h3>[28] ETH 1M BF25</h3><p>1.78 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-29\"><h3>[29] ETH rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>55.39 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-30\"><h3>[30] ETH 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>1.15 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-31\"><h3>[31] ETH spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-4.47 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-32\"><h3>[32] ETH 2W ATM IV</h3><p>55.38 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-33\"><h3>[33] ETH 2M ATM IV</h3><p>53.63 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-34\"><h3>[34] ETH 2M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.42 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-35\"><h3>[35] ETH 2M BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.02 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-36\"><h3>[36] ETH 3M ATM IV</h3><p>53.41 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-37\"><h3>[37] ETH 3M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.29 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-38\"><h3>[38] ETH 3M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.01 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-39\"><h3>[39] ETH 6M ATM IV</h3><p>53.72 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-40\"><h3>[40] ETH 6M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.16 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-41\"><h3>[41] ETH 6M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-42\"><h3>[42] ETH 9M ATM IV</h3><p>53.88 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-43\"><h3>[43] ETH 9M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.03 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-44\"><h3>[44] ETH 9M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.06 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-45\"><h3>[45] ETH 1W ATM IV</h3><p>55.62 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-46\"><h3>[46] ETH 1M ATM IV</h3><p>53.55 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-47\"><h3>[47] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.21 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-48\"><h3>[48] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.07 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-49\"><h3>[49] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-50\"><h3>[50] ETH 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-51\"><h3>[51] ETH 1W RR25</h3><p>-6.41 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-52\"><h3>[52] ETH 2W RR25</h3><p>-5.17 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-53\"><h3>[53] ETH 1M RR25</h3><p>-3.32 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-56\"><h3>[56] Source</h3><p>Source type: options-observations</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p><a href=\"https://api.derivasys.com/api/v1/history/snapshot\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Open cited source</a></article><article id=\"source-57\"><h3>[57] Source</h3><p>Source type: options-observations</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p><a href=\"https://api.derivasys.com/api/v1/history/snapshot\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Open cited source</a></article><article id=\"source-58\"><h3>[58] Source</h3><p>Source type: options-observations</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p><a href=\"https://api.derivasys.com/api/v1/history/snapshot\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Open cited source</a></article><article id=\"source-59\"><h3>[59] Source</h3><p>Source type: options-observations</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p><a href=\"https://api.derivasys.com/api/v1/history/snapshot\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Open cited source</a></article><article id=\"source-60\"><h3>[60] Source</h3><p>Source type: options-observations</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p><a href=\"https://api.derivasys.com/api/v1/history/snapshot\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Open cited source</a></article><article id=\"source-61\"><h3>[61] Source</h3><p>Source type: options-observations</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p><a href=\"https://api.derivasys.com/api/v1/history/snapshot\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Open cited source</a></article><article id=\"source-62\"><h3>[62] Source</h3><p>Source type: options-observations</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p><a href=\"https://api.derivasys.com/api/v1/history/snapshot\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Open cited source</a></article></details></main></body></html>","provenance":{"canonicalReportSha256":"531c7a5b8eeaabc5f0cea3b79b8dd176ef96cc0a6befb38d8768ff7314d53bda","presentationSha256":"e85b41600809ac49be8aa8e0cf2249c45f9fe0aaa8e86e2be307f7a1aedac50f","reviewedReportSha256":"531c7a5b8eeaabc5f0cea3b79b8dd176ef96cc0a6befb38d8768ff7314d53bda","sourceHtmlSha256":"40f442c942f061f8ced6f01d1ba058948bcd3741c6af3d4b6a6a38cb40d574bd","sourceJournalSha256":"8f79f89590b3b35ca2b59d0442889be46c97819fb3652b7498aa478207a1c7df"},"reportDate":"2026-11-09","schemaVersion":1,"snapshotUtc":"2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00","summary":"ETH front-end skew became less negative even as spot declined and ATM volatility rose. Relief extended through 3M, but existing downside asymmetry deepened at 6M and 9M. The evidence points to a tenor-specific adjustment in directional insurance pricing, rather than a broad retreat in volatility expectations.","title":"ETH front-end RR25 becomes less negative"}