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style-src 'unsafe-inline'; base-uri 'none'; img-src data:\" http-equiv=\"Content-Security-Policy\"/><title>Altcoin ATM volatility diverges as TRX eases</title><style>:root { color-scheme: light; --paper: #f7f3eb; --raised: #f0ebe1; --ink: #242824; --soft: #3d433e; --muted: #626a61; --line: #d3cec2; --strong: #b5b5a7; --teal: #315f59; --teal-pale: #e3ebe3; }\n* { box-sizing: border-box; }\nhtml { background: var(--paper); }\nbody { margin: 0; background: var(--paper); color: var(--ink); font: 16px/1.6 system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, \"Segoe UI\", sans-serif; }\na { color: var(--teal); text-underline-offset: 3px; overflow-wrap: anywhere; }\na:focus-visible, summary:focus-visible { outline: 2px solid var(--teal); outline-offset: 4px; }\n.report { width: calc(100% - 48px); max-width: 1100px; width: min(calc(100% - 48px), 1100px); margin: 0 auto; padding-bottom: 56px; }\n.hero { padding: 24px 0 32px; border-bottom: 1px solid var(--strong); }\n.brand-row { display: flex; justify-content: space-between; 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} .appendix { overflow-wrap: anywhere; } }</style><style>img.brand-mark {display:block; width:30px; height:30px; background:none;} .snapshot > div {padding-top:10px; padding-bottom:10px;} .snapshot strong {margin:2px 0;}</style></head><body><main class=\"report\"><header class=\"hero\"><div class=\"brand-row\"><img alt=\"\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"brand-mark\" src=\"data:image/svg+xml;base64,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\"/> DERIVASYS</div><p class=\"eyebrow\">Focused research note</p><h1>Altcoin ATM volatility diverges as TRX eases</h1><p class=\"standfirst\">XRP, HYPE and AVAX ATM volatility rose across matched 1W and 1M tenors while TRX eased. AVAX’s 1W volatility now exceeds its 1M level, whereas TRX’s 1W level sits below its 1M level. Directional pricing tells a different story: 1W downside asymmetry deepened in XRP and AVAX, emerged in HYPE and normalized to neutral in TRX, while matched 1M RR25 strengthened across the cohort.</p><p class=\"byline\">Derivasys Research</p><div aria-label=\"Report snapshot\" class=\"snapshot\"><div><span>Report date</span><strong>09 Nov 2026</strong></div><div><span>Current snapshot</span><strong>09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div><div><span>Coverage</span><strong>XRP, HYPE, AVAX, TRX</strong></div><div><span>Comparison snapshot</span><strong>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div></div></header><section class=\"section editorial\"><p class=\"eyebrow\">The reading</p><h2>What the evidence says</h2><p class=\"finding\">The main distinction is divergent ATM, or at-the-money, implied volatility rather than a uniform rise in altcoin uncertainty. Over the daily comparison, XRP 1W ATM IV changed by +4.28 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup> to 64.05% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup>, HYPE by +5.62 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup> to 64.84% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup>, and AVAX by +7.85 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup> to 74.35% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup>. TRX moved oppositely: its 1W ATM IV changed by -9.40 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup> to 21.23% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup>. Matched 1M changes reinforce the split: XRP changed by +4.39 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup> to 59.43% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup>, HYPE by +6.33 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup> to 60.98% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup>, AVAX by +2.67 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup> to 70.08% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup>, and TRX by -4.71 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup> to 23.28% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup>. AVAX entered a 1W-over-1M inversion, while TRX exited that ordering; HYPE’s stronger 1M increase also prevents treating the rising-volatility cohort as exclusively a 1W story. HYPE’s 1M absolute daily move has a full-captured-history magnitude rank of 98.2nd percentile <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup>, which describes that series rather than the rarity of the cross-asset configuration.</p><p class=\"finding\">RR25, the call-versus-put IV asymmetry, separates the directional adjustment from the ATM split. XRP 1W RR25 changed by -0.25 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup> to -2.19 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup>, and AVAX by -0.50 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup> to -0.78 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup>: existing downside asymmetry deepened in each. HYPE 1W RR25 crossed from positive to negative, changing by -1.41 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup> to -1.01 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup>. TRX instead normalized from negative to neutral, changing by +0.81 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup> to 0.00 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup>. The matched 1M comparison is materially different: XRP RR25 crossed into positive territory, changing by +2.86 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup> to 0.95 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup>; HYPE also crossed positive, changing by +2.11 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 28\" href=\"#source-28\">[28]</a></sup> to 1.38 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 29\" href=\"#source-29\">[29]</a></sup>. AVAX’s already positive 1M RR25 changed by +0.56 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 30\" href=\"#source-30\">[30]</a></sup> to 2.48 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 31\" href=\"#source-31\">[31]</a></sup>, while TRX changed by +3.64 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup> to 3.90 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup>. Thus the cohort shares strengthening 1M call-relative pricing despite opposing ATM changes, while XRP, HYPE and AVAX show a contrasting deterioration in 1W asymmetry.</p><p class=\"finding\">BF25 measures the average wing IV premium over ATM, and its middle-tenor comparison broadly follows the ATM divide without establishing absolute wing-IV changes. XRP 2W BF25 changed by +0.24 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup> to 2.29 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup>, HYPE by +0.31 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup> to 1.92 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 37\" href=\"#source-37\">[37]</a></sup>, and AVAX by +0.35 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 38\" href=\"#source-38\">[38]</a></sup> to 2.16 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 39\" href=\"#source-39\">[39]</a></sup>. TRX 2W BF25 instead changed by -0.28 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 40\" href=\"#source-40\">[40]</a></sup> to 1.29 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 41\" href=\"#source-41\">[41]</a></sup>, while its 1M BF25 changed by -0.09 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 42\" href=\"#source-42\">[42]</a></sup> to 1.50 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 43\" href=\"#source-43\">[43]</a></sup>. These are modest relative-premium adjustments rather than evidence of a wholesale smile repricing. TRX’s 1W BF25 change of +0.03 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 44\" href=\"#source-44\">[44]</a></sup> further qualifies its sharp 1W ATM decline: the symmetric wing premium was essentially stable, even as 1W RR25 reached neutrality.</p><p class=\"finding\">Spot and trailing realized volatility help distinguish these options adjustments. XRP’s daily spot return was -5.12% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 45\" href=\"#source-45\">[45]</a></sup>, with trailing weekly RV of 63.91% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 46\" href=\"#source-46\">[46]</a></sup> and a forward 1W IV-minus-trailing-RV spread of +0.14 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 47\" href=\"#source-47\">[47]</a></sup>. HYPE’s corresponding spot return was -1.81% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 48\" href=\"#source-48\">[48]</a></sup>, RV was 78.63% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 49\" href=\"#source-49\">[49]</a></sup>, and its 1W spread was -13.79 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 50\" href=\"#source-50\">[50]</a></sup>. AVAX’s spot return was +6.39% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 51\" href=\"#source-51\">[51]</a></sup>, RV was 83.24% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 52\" href=\"#source-52\">[52]</a></sup>, and its 1W spread was -8.89 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 53\" href=\"#source-53\">[53]</a></sup>. Its rising 1W ATM IV therefore accompanied a positive spot return, unlike XRP and HYPE; a common spot-decline explanation does not fit the cohort. TRX’s spot return was -0.89% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 54\" href=\"#source-54\">[54]</a></sup>, RV was 13.30% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 55\" href=\"#source-55\">[55]</a></sup>, and its 1W spread remained positive at +7.93 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 56\" href=\"#source-56\">[56]</a></sup> despite the ATM decline. These spreads compare forward pricing with backward-looking variation, not expected returns. Separately, <a href=\"https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/11/09/nyse-picks-avalanche-to-settle-tokenized-stocks-amid-wall-street-s-blockchain-race\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">CoinDesk</a> reported planned Avalanche settlement infrastructure within the news window. That offers prospective asset-specific context, but establishes neither live usage nor the cause of AVAX’s 1W inversion.</p><div class=\"consolidated-limits\"><h3>Qualifications and limits</h3><ul><li>Historical magnitude ranks describe selected observed daily comparisons, with gaps and selection limiting representativeness; they do not establish joint cross-asset rarity or statistical significance. News and options measurement windows differ, and reported developments do not establish causation.</li><li>Trailing weekly RV uses adjacent retained minute-price returns and elapsed-day annualization, with complete observed coverage. Same-series recomputation does not independently validate prices; forward 1W IV-minus-trailing-RV spreads are descriptive, not forecasts or trading edges.</li><li>Endpoint curve orderings establish AVAX’s inversion entry and TRX’s exit over the daily comparison, but do not establish persistence or an earlier sequence of entries and exits.</li></ul></div></section><section class=\"section market-scorecard\"><h2>Verified market snapshot</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Current levels and changes over each recorded native interval. Only receipt-matched quotes are shown; an em dash marks a missing matching quote.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset · tenor</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV change</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25 change</th><th scope=\"col\">BF25 change</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">AVAX · 1W</th><td>74.35 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup></td><td>7.85 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup></td><td>-0.78 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup></td><td>-0.50 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup></td><td>0.25 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 57\" href=\"#source-57\">[57]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">AVAX · 2W</th><td>70.88 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 58\" href=\"#source-58\">[58]</a></sup></td><td>4.23 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 59\" href=\"#source-59\">[59]</a></sup></td><td>0.93 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 60\" href=\"#source-60\">[60]</a></sup></td><td>-0.11 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 61\" href=\"#source-61\">[61]</a></sup></td><td>0.35 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 38\" href=\"#source-38\">[38]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">AVAX · 1M</th><td>70.08 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup></td><td>2.67 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup></td><td>2.48 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 31\" href=\"#source-31\">[31]</a></sup></td><td>0.56 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 30\" href=\"#source-30\">[30]</a></sup></td><td>0.24 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 62\" href=\"#source-62\">[62]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">HYPE · 1W</th><td>64.84 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup></td><td>5.62 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup></td><td>-1.01 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup></td><td>-1.41 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup></td><td>0.22 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 63\" href=\"#source-63\">[63]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">HYPE · 2W</th><td>62.39 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 64\" href=\"#source-64\">[64]</a></sup></td><td>5.51 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 65\" href=\"#source-65\">[65]</a></sup></td><td>0.07 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 66\" href=\"#source-66\">[66]</a></sup></td><td>-0.29 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 67\" href=\"#source-67\">[67]</a></sup></td><td>0.31 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">HYPE · 1M</th><td>60.98 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup></td><td>6.33 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup></td><td>1.38 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 29\" href=\"#source-29\">[29]</a></sup></td><td>2.11 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 28\" href=\"#source-28\">[28]</a></sup></td><td>0.31 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 68\" href=\"#source-68\">[68]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 1W</th><td>21.23 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup></td><td>-9.40 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup></td><td>0.00 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup></td><td>0.81 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup></td><td>0.03 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 44\" href=\"#source-44\">[44]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 2W</th><td>21.09 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 69\" href=\"#source-69\">[69]</a></sup></td><td>-7.70 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 70\" href=\"#source-70\">[70]</a></sup></td><td>2.47 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 71\" href=\"#source-71\">[71]</a></sup></td><td>2.77 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 72\" href=\"#source-72\">[72]</a></sup></td><td>-0.28 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 40\" href=\"#source-40\">[40]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 1M</th><td>23.28 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup></td><td>-4.71 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup></td><td>3.90 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup></td><td>3.64 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup></td><td>-0.09 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 42\" href=\"#source-42\">[42]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 1W</th><td>64.05 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup></td><td>4.28 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup></td><td>-2.19 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup></td><td>-0.25 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup></td><td>0.15 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 73\" href=\"#source-73\">[73]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 2W</th><td>61.13 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 74\" href=\"#source-74\">[74]</a></sup></td><td>3.35 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 75\" href=\"#source-75\">[75]</a></sup></td><td>-0.43 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 76\" href=\"#source-76\">[76]</a></sup></td><td>0.12 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 77\" href=\"#source-77\">[77]</a></sup></td><td>0.24 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 1M</th><td>59.43 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup></td><td>4.39 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup></td><td>0.95 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup></td><td>2.86 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup></td><td>0.37 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 78\" href=\"#source-78\">[78]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><section class=\"section curve-regimes\"><h2>Weekly versus monthly curve</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Matched native endpoints; inverted means monthly ATM IV is below weekly ATM IV. Regimes compare verified levels; no numerical slope is inferred.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Curve regime</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP</th><td>59.77 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 79\" href=\"#source-79\">[79]</a></sup></td><td>55.04 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 80\" href=\"#source-80\">[80]</a></sup></td><td>64.05 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup></td><td>59.43 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">HYPE</th><td>59.22 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 81\" href=\"#source-81\">[81]</a></sup></td><td>54.65 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 82\" href=\"#source-82\">[82]</a></sup></td><td>64.84 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup></td><td>60.98 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">AVAX</th><td>66.50 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 83\" href=\"#source-83\">[83]</a></sup></td><td>67.41 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 84\" href=\"#source-84\">[84]</a></sup></td><td>74.35 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup></td><td>70.08 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup></td><td>Upward sloping → Inverted</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX</th><td>30.63 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 85\" href=\"#source-85\">[85]</a></sup></td><td>27.99 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 86\" href=\"#source-86\">[86]</a></sup></td><td>21.23 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup></td><td>23.28 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup></td><td>Inverted → Upward sloping</td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"section curve-history\"><summary>Recent ATM curve history</summary><p>One-month minus one-week at-the-money implied volatility. Negative values mean an inverted curve. Each row retains its native observation time; missing days are not filled.</p><table><thead><tr><th>Asset</th><th>Native observation (UTC)</th><th>1M minus 1W ATM IV</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>XRP</td><td>2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-4.62 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 87\" href=\"#source-87\">[87]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>XRP</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-4.73 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 88\" href=\"#source-88\">[88]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>XRP</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.94 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 89\" href=\"#source-89\">[89]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>XRP</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.84 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 90\" href=\"#source-90\">[90]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>HYPE</td><td>2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-3.86 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 91\" href=\"#source-91\">[91]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>HYPE</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-4.57 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 92\" href=\"#source-92\">[92]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>HYPE</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-3.25 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 93\" href=\"#source-93\">[93]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>HYPE</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-5.82 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 94\" href=\"#source-94\">[94]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>AVAX</td><td>2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-4.27 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 95\" href=\"#source-95\">[95]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>AVAX</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.91 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 96\" href=\"#source-96\">[96]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>AVAX</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.04 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 97\" href=\"#source-97\">[97]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>AVAX</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.08 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 98\" href=\"#source-98\">[98]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>TRX</td><td>2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+2.05 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 99\" href=\"#source-99\">[99]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>TRX</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.64 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 100\" href=\"#source-100\">[100]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>TRX</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.05 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 101\" href=\"#source-101\">[101]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>TRX</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-1.77 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 102\" href=\"#source-102\">[102]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></details><section class=\"semantic-charts\" data-chart-plan-sha256=\"181d3ddb72dc97241cc8e43ae8715266416718b2fa267600ed7023589050469b\" data-semantic-chart-version=\"2\"><section class=\"section semantic-figure\" data-chart-kind=\"diverging_bars\" data-chart-role=\"hero\" data-chart-spec-sha256=\"70daa0716e357435c935c6d0329ffe38f7c3ae9cbb0003ecf45d724941a4b342\" data-figure-id=\"cohort:1W:atmIv\" data-receipt-ids=\"35aaf3952a252c2d0e8f382892391fc723f3846e46ea8c258677aa5e2acae825 7558e8c2171823d5b41adcb5ebeec43a5b2c966df78dc76e70e966f353b18469 b5def06074dabfb2e13fae2e8079f67a9dadb2d86defa45ce31e6e88d9beb196 c7679a01a21f3369cd6b97785fe407c342c408b6b9dfa4e16fd56e08f7553f43\" data-source-ids=\"39fcc288636accdd3c0eaf2d9d960c18b526afc4143bc816a8a734ea6f42c414 8b9431815304eaaad8fcaa1f068c74990833eb1c29e8f089d5d33b9083816376 b25ec6bf70b02e082d2f7f2315120c3ffe625da837c4ca21ba143d181ce0a6c2 da70e7f1d2d7ec49214c480dac8e67130877954e0730812e456fb34038cf423b\"><h2>1W ATM IV change across assets</h2><figure><p class=\"semantic-chart-scroll-hint\">Scroll horizontally to see the full chart.</p><div aria-label=\"Scrollable 1W ATM IV change across assets\" class=\"semantic-chart-wrap\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg class=\"semantic-chart\" data-chart-id=\"cohort:1W:atmIv\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 321\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><title>1W ATM IV change across assets</title><desc>Signed change around zero. The complete configured asset cohort is shown; grey cells are missing or have an ineligible native interval, never zero. Only the stated common native interval and units are comparable.</desc><g fill=\"#3d433e\" font-family=\"system-ui, sans-serif\" style=\"font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums\"><line stroke=\"#626a61\" x1=\"434.01\" x2=\"434.01\" y1=\"97.00\" y2=\"266.00\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"122.00\">XRP</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"132.61\" x=\"434.01\" y=\"105\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"571.63\" y=\"121.00\">+4.28</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"156.00\">HYPE</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"174.13\" x=\"434.01\" y=\"139\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"613.15\" y=\"155.00\">+5.62</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"190.00\">AVAX</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"243.23\" x=\"434.01\" y=\"173\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"682.24\" y=\"189.00\">+7.85</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"224.00\">TRX</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" height=\"21\" width=\"291.25\" x=\"142.76\" y=\"207\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"137.76\" y=\"223.00\">-9.4</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"306.00\">Change (volatility points)</text></g></svg></div><figcaption>Signed change around zero. The complete configured asset cohort is shown; grey cells are missing or have an ineligible native interval, never zero. Only the stated common native interval and units are comparable.</figcaption></figure></section><section class=\"section semantic-figure\" data-chart-kind=\"heatmap\" data-chart-role=\"support\" data-chart-spec-sha256=\"c9f6bba68b9d62c0fe8e3fd163aac77e08794146faab1d46005673964816d941\" data-figure-id=\"curve-history:cohort\" data-receipt-ids=\"0cb06416cb69f0b0769b0459c6214063e9ffb6590eddd073e470dee11469d068 21a2f685419ddd1a0c318d3a9f2ab1c916f3fb14814737d967a291efc910c6db 4d7215642f9c0f7d0916b314321ef84d95937028e3e28801da49919ee94f1f54 746b2f5c0d925e87a38e550e6cd79a69cf55b05e9561faef46f3ec9b3fe62dc4 82f9d7c1b6239e016268db6bde979539ed03c9f7171bbda8ddbe56282613c29d 8cd876ed5324dc1d599c04dd507f339f33b37d8f2b4e65a75e4a5c7981b3460c 92d934d8fef3b81a87ad58e26839969898d26972efb409c3ce41a42ae4313a4f a74512d51398d11dc0bf22a734f05941784579dbdc3a12b7941b4320c2d75fd7 b4520984b351885546e86f46b89516cdd3be16e961ad6763e39ecbd480caee46 bc693c55f9576b6ea35fc7adc9778f762e026346ae1fcb7e3b1c324fd88f1d2a c3a8973239809335f53f6ac3e10d7f8bd8769fd02e6147323d3cc362d4a42528 c76db66d49a63b4a1bb0aaed9d3adf935a4f954117cdb6221948d9877a2afcfa c93b99c8cfa2a81da2b69544927d18e1036ade6a46ad7e07f38db690898bc87b f437b1d4aa0943e61a9aa3d625e9bc2546cf66517ae80df51d34ab92c60554f0 fc45065539d50e2556c0c8aee866a458d7cda40f3134f2dbea4e74cbfd515b96 fded5cbce7ad0aee5cfbe53bf19b6862054168a1a7e22eaacfe946b4dcb11cef\" data-source-ids=\"02239b5f6a004bc91e7a4139c57b07bf41cab593e52f6873c6aa77ec9cd9ee43 0a77f7acfa08dba439e8bc0fea30f265725f2aa7bd4f600bed5d047f670b2f7b 12a789d44d27b2ec45af1a9cecc27e421d44d5835041fdb69cae663d6bc07168 1a9efafad72ed706acb8d8f99f23c7d7aa19d1914482fd56f967c5c0f6825976 1f227270ccd4d3dee189a804ccf7a1b88f296ee7b3fc0d235e51d0063544f47a 2800da75d723fb59ffa9bba63a607cc9e1bd61cb2d8607330d25c74b3aa388de 2d74756ca1171837f5402321053ddc64a9bb09703eeb9292d2d1b24d5ae5f5bf 37164cc72a325f7fc5b48567431cf53960f7ef7103f283d2d6b82ff31a5a8b30 4790b8d400d80a9a7025527777e9b5f75cafda7f7ea656b78e2947d1aeb218e4 48e6bbfab7d13b1bd3f07897bcfa969413bf6b604367a33b79f2384f29e974b9 4a273db9223ae83583eacdf05bb1f3aa4095e76194ac623a719966a9aa8500ef 5ed87bfb1afee19f49f46072c1d82ec1105b7d855ba4b3213df201e7d4a69d95 634343e6bf65ee5b8d0214da62d5a2c4737ede54a45b883ffbd2119e9c4f4c1d 6d0db1d23f1339916ee4a29275db0d6a6faa1e5c75af556b8d9d11965580f7e6 7c2c32645db9281ef722996af192fab975592cfcf71081d638cdbfabcf5f17f3 7c73667d53aab2be152e2544389208970b1e404fbb83db5dbaeda5ed99e7be8a 7dc61c37865d89ed79cf2d8a9edb96b3c994b09bb2812418552c0189ac8ef827 7fd1701ddd34df66c43d09aaa42fcd698c57548013cc113782e850ae462fab8a 801cafe93438ce13b4abb6470e945ac0af0ff6e2d644bcb484c83b8b44003890 8425d9e0acc4f08d6ed982552b8835483abc1c37269f99cec9549a85036c3bcf 9144dd9b255ffbe5e9f0877c22a5cafe178c3c146d4677b0dac8b906bc8cf1a9 96cab390649cf90ac72626a42449fd7cf5bd40b61c69472be9601167fe522072 9b17f8aa898b89aa794a806efa3189cae2fc112cf7e54f9d241d278200038e64 9eda06de84f223db1c0bc630ebcd45c5e1432e94a37d1df68048a7adc462b0a4 b3d4a797e45420cb20957a4f496fe3a90728d04095a463b69d835fc3a6bebe57 bc47e0769112652dc31d2cdea5a136d2227665117173f09a73e6106e74eca41a cc43736cb24910e642cb7c15e3ee914a50f290fe99e0ae952a84bcac790e455a ce664c6f6acf00981ee9be97d7f1b5fb1616cb69cbf91c1d8d77dd0ed1c4bc0a e73b2cc49e70a8e31924b8aaa568ca4496fc6be1615fc7e55781c9fa3c3b5f50 eaf17555650cc1ec43ef8b826a10780ab8e99d0166ce7e0fc65410f34ff73376 ecb59079e43ec75f3c375f38b9069699900c087af4a7cd728293df585dec5d91 feaea7bcaea019c92d62e0f15e20f9be497aea5e3852cec04debe1950139052f\"><h2>Observed 1M minus 1W ATM IV by asset and date</h2><figure><p class=\"semantic-chart-scroll-hint\">Scroll horizontally to see the full chart.</p><div aria-label=\"Scrollable Observed 1M minus 1W ATM IV by asset and date\" class=\"semantic-chart-wrap\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg class=\"semantic-chart\" data-chart-id=\"curve-history:cohort\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 383\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><title>Observed 1M minus 1W ATM IV by asset and date</title><desc>Exact native slope observations for the complete configured asset cohort. Negative values are inverted; zero is flat. The symmetric colour scale is centred on zero. Grey cells are uncaptured endpoints, never zero; no history is filled. Column spacing is categorical; elapsed durations are not encoded.</desc><g fill=\"#3d433e\" font-family=\"system-ui, sans-serif\" style=\"font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums\"><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"177.50\" y=\"92.00\">2026-11-06</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"332.50\" y=\"92.00\">2026-11-07</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"487.50\" y=\"92.00\">2026-11-08</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"642.50\" y=\"92.00\">2026-11-09</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"131.00\">XRP</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.437\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"105\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"177.50\" y=\"130.00\">-2.84</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.448\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"255.00\" y=\"105\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"332.50\" y=\"130.00\">-2.94</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.648\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"105\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"487.50\" y=\"130.00\">-4.73</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.636\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"565.00\" y=\"105\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"642.50\" y=\"130.00\">-4.62</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"173.00\">HYPE</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.770\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"147\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"177.50\" y=\"172.00\">-5.82</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.483\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"255.00\" y=\"147\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"332.50\" y=\"172.00\">-3.25</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.630\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"147\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"487.50\" y=\"172.00\">-4.57</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.551\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"565.00\" y=\"147\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"642.50\" y=\"172.00\">-3.86</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"215.00\">AVAX</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" fill-opacity=\"0.129\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"189\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"177.50\" y=\"214.00\">0.08</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" fill-opacity=\"0.124\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"255.00\" y=\"189\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"332.50\" y=\"214.00\">0.04</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" fill-opacity=\"0.222\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"189\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"487.50\" y=\"214.00\">0.91</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.597\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"565.00\" y=\"189\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"642.50\" y=\"214.00\">-4.27</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"257.00\">TRX</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.318\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"231\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"177.50\" y=\"256.00\">-1.77</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.349\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"255.00\" y=\"231\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"332.50\" y=\"256.00\">-2.05</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" fill-opacity=\"0.415\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"231\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"487.50\" y=\"256.00\">-2.64</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" fill-opacity=\"0.349\" height=\"38\" width=\"152.00\" x=\"565.00\" y=\"231\"></rect><text font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"642.50\" y=\"256.00\">2.05</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" height=\"12\" width=\"12\" x=\"100\" y=\"324\"></rect><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"12\" width=\"12\" x=\"114\" y=\"324\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"134.00\" y=\"335.00\">Negative −5.82  ·  0  ·  +5.82 Positive (volatility points)</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"365.00\">Native observation clocks (equally spaced columns)</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"100.00\" y=\"36.00\">1M minus 1W ATM IV (volatility points)</text></g></svg></div><figcaption>Exact native slope observations for the complete configured asset cohort. Negative values are inverted; zero is flat. The symmetric colour scale is centred on zero. Grey cells are uncaptured endpoints, never zero; no history is filled. Column spacing is categorical; elapsed durations are not encoded.</figcaption></figure></section><section class=\"section semantic-figure\" data-chart-kind=\"diverging_bars\" data-chart-role=\"support\" data-chart-spec-sha256=\"d3c83889a3b786a37930d4fe10c9ed7ff2b402dd5a25d620097ab4f47d44417a\" data-figure-id=\"rv-rolling:AVAX\" data-receipt-ids=\"30b850c3f78c975f46f64934416f8c29b1837fe725b0821ef433d3f9e54f5db0\" data-source-ids=\"82189cdc8ee5df78c176615422a8d57e2c30beeb9a60ca3cd67849a12c38acfc\"><h2>AVAX trailing 7d variance: entering and leaving returns</h2><figure><p class=\"semantic-chart-scroll-hint\">Scroll horizontally to see the full chart.</p><div aria-label=\"Scrollable AVAX trailing 7d variance: entering and leaving returns\" class=\"semantic-chart-wrap\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg class=\"semantic-chart\" data-chart-id=\"rv-rolling:AVAX\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 321\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><title>AVAX trailing 7d variance: entering and leaving returns</title><desc>Replayed same-series squared-minute arithmetic; not independent price validation. No fill, interpolation or gap bridging. Effects add in annualized squared volatility points, not RV percentage points. Current and previous coverage: 100.0% / 100.0%. The denominator effect is explicit; Net is the sum of the three effects. Selected by largest absolute variance change within the qualified common native interval; configured asset order resolves ties.</desc><g fill=\"#3d433e\" font-family=\"system-ui, sans-serif\" style=\"font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums\"><line stroke=\"#626a61\" x1=\"209.22\" x2=\"209.22\" y1=\"97.00\" y2=\"266.00\"></line><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"122.00\">Entering</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"468.02\" x=\"209.22\" y=\"105\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"682.24\" y=\"121.00\">+3203</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"156.00\">Leaving</text><rect fill=\"#b76557\" height=\"21\" width=\"66.46\" x=\"142.76\" y=\"139\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"137.76\" y=\"155.00\">-454.9</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"190.00\">Denominator</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"0.00\" x=\"209.22\" y=\"173\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"214.22\" y=\"189.00\">0</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"90.00\" y=\"224.00\">Net</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21\" width=\"401.56\" x=\"209.22\" y=\"207\"></rect><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"615.78\" y=\"223.00\">+2749</text><text font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"410.00\" y=\"306.00\">squared volatility points (annualized) (squared volatility points (annualized))</text></g></svg></div><figcaption>Replayed same-series squared-minute arithmetic; not independent price validation. No fill, interpolation or gap bridging. Effects add in annualized squared volatility points, not RV percentage points. Current and previous coverage: 100.0% / 100.0%. The denominator effect is explicit; Net is the sum of the three effects. Selected by largest absolute variance change within the qualified common native interval; configured asset order resolves ties.</figcaption></figure></section></section><details class=\"appendix legacy-chart-detail\" data-chart-role=\"appendix\" data-legacy-chart-policy=\"daily-v1\"><summary>Full original chart detail</summary><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>1W ATM IV move comparison</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"1W ATM IV move comparison\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>1W ATM IV move comparison</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-10.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">10.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"199.38\" y=\"265\">XRP</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"44.94\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"175.38\" y=\"88.06\"><title>XRP · Change: 4.28 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"199.38\" y=\"84.06\">4.28</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"348.12\" y=\"265\">HYPE</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"59.01\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"324.12\" y=\"73.99\"><title>HYPE · Change: 5.62 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"348.12\" y=\"69.99\">5.62</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"496.88\" y=\"265\">AVAX</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"82.42\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"472.88\" y=\"50.58\"><title>AVAX · Change: 7.85 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"496.88\" y=\"46.58\">7.85</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"645.62\" y=\"265\">TRX</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"98.70\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"621.62\" y=\"133.00\"><title>TRX · Change: -9.40 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"645.62\" y=\"244.70\">-9.40</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>Change</span>. Common recorded native interval and eligible cohort only.</figcaption></figure></section><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>HYPE: size of daily changes in the 1-month at-the-money implied volatility</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"HYPE: size of daily changes in the 1-month at-the-money implied volatility ranked observed sample\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>HYPE: size of daily changes in the 1-month at-the-money implied volatility</title><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">6.39 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"84.50\">4.80 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">3.22 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"189.50\">1.63 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">0.05 vol pts</text><circle cx=\"125.00\" cy=\"238.00\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-18T17:31:00+00:00: 0.05 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"135.82\" cy=\"237.34\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-20T17:31:00+00:00: 0.07 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"146.64\" cy=\"237.01\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-17T17:31:00+00:00: 0.08 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"157.45\" cy=\"237.01\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-26T17:31:00+00:00: 0.08 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"168.27\" cy=\"236.68\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-13T17:31:00+00:00: 0.09 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"179.09\" cy=\"234.36\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-12T17:31:00+00:00: 0.16 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"189.91\" cy=\"233.36\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-27T17:31:00+00:00: 0.19 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"200.73\" cy=\"233.03\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-16T17:31:00+00:00: 0.20 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"211.55\" cy=\"232.04\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-12T17:31:00+00:00: 0.23 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"222.36\" cy=\"229.72\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-07T17:31:00+00:00: 0.30 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"233.18\" cy=\"229.72\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-31T17:31:00+00:00: 0.30 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"244.00\" cy=\"229.39\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-13T17:31:00+00:00: 0.31 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"254.82\" cy=\"228.06\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-28T17:31:00+00:00: 0.35 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"265.64\" cy=\"226.74\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-30T17:31:00+00:00: 0.39 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"276.45\" cy=\"226.74\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00: 0.39 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"287.27\" cy=\"226.08\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-05T17:31:00+00:00: 0.41 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"298.09\" cy=\"226.08\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-24T17:31:00+00:00: 0.41 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"308.91\" cy=\"224.09\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-23T17:31:00+00:00: 0.47 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"319.73\" cy=\"223.43\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-26T17:31:00+00:00: 0.49 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"330.55\" cy=\"222.43\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-19T17:31:00+00:00: 0.52 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"341.36\" cy=\"221.11\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-22T17:31:00+00:00: 0.56 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"352.18\" cy=\"219.45\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-19T17:31:00+00:00: 0.61 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"363.00\" cy=\"218.46\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-18T17:31:00+00:00: 0.64 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"373.82\" cy=\"216.80\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-04T17:31:00+00:00: 0.69 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"384.64\" cy=\"215.81\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-30T17:31:00+00:00: 0.72 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"395.45\" cy=\"215.48\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-11T17:31:00+00:00: 0.73 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"406.27\" cy=\"214.15\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-10T17:31:00+00:00: 0.77 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"417.09\" cy=\"213.82\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-15T17:31:00+00:00: 0.78 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"427.91\" cy=\"213.82\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-02T17:31:00+00:00: 0.78 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"438.73\" cy=\"213.16\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-14T17:31:00+00:00: 0.80 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"449.55\" cy=\"212.50\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-24T17:31:00+00:00: 0.82 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"460.36\" cy=\"208.85\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-25T17:31:00+00:00: 0.93 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"471.18\" cy=\"207.86\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-16T17:31:00+00:00: 0.96 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"482.00\" cy=\"205.87\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-08T17:31:00+00:00: 1.02 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"492.82\" cy=\"205.21\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-20T17:31:00+00:00: 1.04 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"503.64\" cy=\"192.95\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-15T17:31:00+00:00: 1.41 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"514.45\" cy=\"191.30\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-14T17:31:00+00:00: 1.46 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"525.27\" cy=\"189.64\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-27T17:31:00+00:00: 1.51 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"536.09\" cy=\"189.31\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-25T17:31:00+00:00: 1.52 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"546.91\" cy=\"186.00\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-17T17:31:00+00:00: 1.62 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"557.73\" cy=\"185.33\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-10T17:31:00+00:00: 1.64 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"568.55\" cy=\"184.01\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-09T17:31:00+00:00: 1.68 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"579.36\" cy=\"181.03\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-06T17:31:00+00:00: 1.77 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"590.18\" cy=\"177.38\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-21T17:31:00+00:00: 1.88 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"601.00\" cy=\"174.40\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-23T17:31:00+00:00: 1.97 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"611.82\" cy=\"174.40\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-11T17:31:00+00:00: 1.97 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"622.64\" cy=\"173.41\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-01T17:31:00+00:00: 2.00 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"633.45\" cy=\"166.45\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-03T17:31:00+00:00: 2.21 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"644.27\" cy=\"165.13\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-03T17:31:00+00:00: 2.25 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"655.09\" cy=\"163.80\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00: 2.29 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"665.91\" cy=\"149.56\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-01T17:31:00+00:00: 2.72 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"676.73\" cy=\"149.56\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-02T17:31:00+00:00: 2.72 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"687.55\" cy=\"146.91\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-29T17:31:00+00:00: 2.80 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"698.36\" cy=\"134.99\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-04T17:31:00+00:00: 3.16 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"709.18\" cy=\"95.57\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00: 4.35 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"720.00\" cy=\"28.00\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00: 6.39 vol pts</title></circle><circle class=\"current-statistic\" cx=\"720.00\" cy=\"29.99\" fill=\"#ac6353\" r=\"6\"><title>Current statistic: 6.33 vol pts</title></circle><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.5\" y=\"265\">Sample rank (ordered by value)</text></svg></div><figcaption>Observed samples in teal. Current statistic: 6.33 vol pts (red). Change sizes ignore direction: increases and decreases of the same size are ranked together.  n=56; 2026-09-10 to 2026-11-08; source-selected observed sample, no fill.</figcaption></figure></section><p><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup></p><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>BF25 change by tenor</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"BF25 change by tenor\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>BF25 change by tenor</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-0.40 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">0.40 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"265\">1W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"39.38\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"149.79\" y=\"93.62\"><title>1W · XRP · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.15 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"168.39\" y=\"89.62\">0.15</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"57.75\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"186.98\" y=\"75.25\"><title>1W · HYPE · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.22 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"205.57\" y=\"71.25\">0.22</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"65.62\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"67.38\"><title>1W · AVAX · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.25 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"242.76\" y=\"63.38\">0.25</text><rect fill=\"#ac6353\" height=\"7.88\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"261.35\" y=\"125.12\"><title>1W · TRX · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.03 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"279.95\" y=\"121.12\">0.03</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"265\">2W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"63.00\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"348.12\" y=\"70.00\"><title>2W · XRP · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.24 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"366.72\" y=\"66.00\">0.24</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"81.37\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"385.31\" y=\"51.63\"><title>2W · HYPE · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.31 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"403.91\" y=\"47.63\">0.31</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"91.87\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"41.13\"><title>2W · AVAX · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.35 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"441.09\" y=\"37.13\">0.35</text><rect fill=\"#ac6353\" height=\"73.50\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"459.69\" y=\"133.00\"><title>2W · TRX · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.28 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"478.28\" y=\"219.50\">-0.28</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"265\">1M</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"97.12\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"546.46\" y=\"35.88\"><title>1M · XRP · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.37 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"565.05\" y=\"31.88\">0.37</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"81.37\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"583.65\" y=\"51.63\"><title>1M · HYPE · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.31 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"602.24\" y=\"47.63\">0.31</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"63.00\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"70.00\"><title>1M · AVAX · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.24 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"639.43\" y=\"66.00\">0.24</text><rect fill=\"#ac6353\" height=\"23.62\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"658.02\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · TRX · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.09 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"676.61\" y=\"169.62\">-0.09</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>XRP · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#9a8260\"></i>HYPE · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#74628e\"></i>AVAX · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#ac6353\"></i>TRX · 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span>. Own-run receipt-matched changes; missing or ambiguous points remain gaps.</figcaption></figure></section><p class=\"source-note\">Figure evidence: <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 73\" href=\"#source-73\">[73]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 78\" href=\"#source-78\">[78]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 63\" href=\"#source-63\">[63]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 68\" href=\"#source-68\">[68]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 57\" href=\"#source-57\">[57]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 38\" href=\"#source-38\">[38]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 62\" href=\"#source-62\">[62]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 44\" href=\"#source-44\">[44]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 40\" href=\"#source-40\">[40]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 42\" href=\"#source-42\">[42]</a></sup></p></details><section class=\"section research-panel\"><h2>What to watch next</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Each monitor describes a verified component or central counterexample of the selected story; observation tests, not a joint forecast.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Story component</th><th scope=\"col\">Next snapshot</th><th scope=\"col\">Observed condition</th><th scope=\"col\">Comparison period</th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 1W ATM implied volatility</th><td>10 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above 64.05 % (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below 64.05 % and strictly above 59.77 %.<br/>Prior level: at or below 59.77 % (prior level).</td><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 79\" href=\"#source-79\">[79]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 1W ATM implied volatility</th><td>10 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or below 21.23 % (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly above 21.23 % and strictly below 30.63 %.<br/>Prior level: at or above 30.63 % (prior level).</td><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 85\" href=\"#source-85\">[85]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 1M ATM implied volatility</th><td>10 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above 59.43 % (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below 59.43 % and strictly above 55.04 %.<br/>Prior level: at or below 55.04 % (prior level).</td><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 80\" href=\"#source-80\">[80]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"appendix sampling-methodology\"><summary>Historical sampling methodology</summary><p>Each rank describes its supplied population. Exact consecutive daily endpoints use fixed UTC anchors and 24 elapsed hours, including across daylight-saving changes. Missing pairs are omitted without interpolation; their absence does not establish why the provider omitted them. Full captured history is bounded by this run. Different captures and windows can have different denominators even when their ranks agree.</p><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><thead><tr><th>Measure</th><th>Population</th><th>Observed pairs or levels</th><th>Requested window</th><th>Excluded pair or level endpoints</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>HYPE 1M.atmIv.absolute_move<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup></td><td>full captured history</td><td>56</td><td>2026-09-09T17:31:00+00:00 to 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>2026-09-21T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-22T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-28T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-29T17:31:00+00:00</td></tr></tbody></table></div></details><section class=\"section news-sources\"><h2>Source reporting</h2><ul><li><a href=\"https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/11/09/nyse-picks-avalanche-to-settle-tokenized-stocks-amid-wall-street-s-blockchain-race\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">NYSE picks Avalanche to settle tokenized stocks amid Wall Street's blockchain race</a> · Published 2026-11-09T13:40:06+00:00</li></ul></section><p class=\"clock-note bf-definition\">BF25 = (25-delta call IV + 25-delta put IV) / 2 − ATM IV. Levels and changes are measured in volatility points.</p><p>Retrospective report: native market dates are distinct from later retrieval and run clocks. Later capture does not establish availability at the original cutoff.</p><details class=\"section source-notes\"><summary>Source notes</summary><article id=\"source-1\"><h3>[1] XRP 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>4.28 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-2\"><h3>[2] XRP 1W ATM IV</h3><p>64.05 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-3\"><h3>[3] HYPE 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>5.62 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-4\"><h3>[4] HYPE 1W ATM IV</h3><p>64.84 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-5\"><h3>[5] AVAX 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>7.85 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-6\"><h3>[6] AVAX 1W ATM IV</h3><p>74.35 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-7\"><h3>[7] TRX 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>-9.40 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-8\"><h3>[8] TRX 1W ATM IV</h3><p>21.23 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-9\"><h3>[9] XRP 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>4.39 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-10\"><h3>[10] XRP 1M ATM IV</h3><p>59.43 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-11\"><h3>[11] HYPE 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>6.33 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-12\"><h3>[12] HYPE 1M ATM IV</h3><p>60.98 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-13\"><h3>[13] AVAX 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>2.67 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-14\"><h3>[14] AVAX 1M ATM IV</h3><p>70.08 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-15\"><h3>[15] TRX 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>-4.71 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-16\"><h3>[16] TRX 1M ATM IV</h3><p>23.28 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-17\"><h3>[17] HYPE 1M ATM IV absolute move percentile</h3><p>98.21 percentile</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-18\"><h3>[18] XRP 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.25 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-19\"><h3>[19] XRP 1W RR25</h3><p>-2.19 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-20\"><h3>[20] AVAX 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.50 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-21\"><h3>[21] AVAX 1W RR25</h3><p>-0.78 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-22\"><h3>[22] HYPE 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>-1.41 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-23\"><h3>[23] HYPE 1W RR25</h3><p>-1.01 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-24\"><h3>[24] TRX 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.81 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-25\"><h3>[25] TRX 1W RR25</h3><p>0.00 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-26\"><h3>[26] XRP 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>2.86 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-27\"><h3>[27] XRP 1M RR25</h3><p>0.95 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-28\"><h3>[28] HYPE 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>2.11 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-29\"><h3>[29] HYPE 1M RR25</h3><p>1.38 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-30\"><h3>[30] AVAX 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>0.56 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-31\"><h3>[31] AVAX 1M RR25</h3><p>2.48 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-32\"><h3>[32] TRX 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>3.64 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-33\"><h3>[33] TRX 1M RR25</h3><p>3.90 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-34\"><h3>[34] XRP 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.24 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-35\"><h3>[35] XRP 2W BF25</h3><p>2.29 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-36\"><h3>[36] HYPE 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.31 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-37\"><h3>[37] HYPE 2W BF25</h3><p>1.92 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-38\"><h3>[38] AVAX 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.35 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-39\"><h3>[39] AVAX 2W BF25</h3><p>2.16 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-40\"><h3>[40] TRX 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.28 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-41\"><h3>[41] TRX 2W BF25</h3><p>1.29 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-42\"><h3>[42] TRX 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.09 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-43\"><h3>[43] TRX 1M BF25</h3><p>1.50 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-44\"><h3>[44] TRX 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.03 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-45\"><h3>[45] XRP spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-5.12 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-46\"><h3>[46] XRP rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>63.91 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-47\"><h3>[47] XRP 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>0.14 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-48\"><h3>[48] HYPE spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-1.81 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-49\"><h3>[49] HYPE rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>78.63 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-50\"><h3>[50] HYPE 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>-13.79 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-51\"><h3>[51] AVAX spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>6.39 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-52\"><h3>[52] AVAX rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>83.24 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-53\"><h3>[53] AVAX 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>-8.89 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-54\"><h3>[54] TRX spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-0.89 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-55\"><h3>[55] TRX rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>13.30 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-56\"><h3>[56] TRX 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>7.93 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-57\"><h3>[57] AVAX 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.25 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-58\"><h3>[58] AVAX 2W ATM IV</h3><p>70.88 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-59\"><h3>[59] AVAX 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>4.23 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-60\"><h3>[60] AVAX 2W RR25</h3><p>0.93 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-61\"><h3>[61] AVAX 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.11 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-62\"><h3>[62] AVAX 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.24 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-63\"><h3>[63] HYPE 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.22 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-64\"><h3>[64] HYPE 2W ATM IV</h3><p>62.39 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-65\"><h3>[65] HYPE 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>5.51 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-66\"><h3>[66] HYPE 2W RR25</h3><p>0.07 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-67\"><h3>[67] HYPE 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.29 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-68\"><h3>[68] HYPE 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.31 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-69\"><h3>[69] TRX 2W ATM IV</h3><p>21.09 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-70\"><h3>[70] TRX 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>-7.70 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-71\"><h3>[71] TRX 2W RR25</h3><p>2.47 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-72\"><h3>[72] TRX 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>2.77 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-73\"><h3>[73] XRP 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.15 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-74\"><h3>[74] XRP 2W ATM IV</h3><p>61.13 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-75\"><h3>[75] XRP 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>3.35 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-76\"><h3>[76] XRP 2W RR25</h3><p>-0.43 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-77\"><h3>[77] XRP 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.12 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-78\"><h3>[78] XRP 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.37 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-79\"><h3>[79] XRP 1W ATM IV</h3><p>59.77 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-80\"><h3>[80] XRP 1M ATM IV</h3><p>55.04 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-81\"><h3>[81] HYPE 1W ATM IV</h3><p>59.22 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-82\"><h3>[82] HYPE 1M ATM IV</h3><p>54.65 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-83\"><h3>[83] AVAX 1W ATM IV</h3><p>66.50 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-84\"><h3>[84] AVAX 1M ATM IV</h3><p>67.41 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-85\"><h3>[85] TRX 1W ATM IV</h3><p>30.63 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-86\"><h3>[86] TRX 1M ATM IV</h3><p>27.99 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-87\"><h3>[87] XRP 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-4.62 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-88\"><h3>[88] XRP 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-4.73 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-89\"><h3>[89] XRP 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.94 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-90\"><h3>[90] XRP 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.84 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-91\"><h3>[91] HYPE 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-3.86 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-92\"><h3>[92] HYPE 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-4.57 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-93\"><h3>[93] HYPE 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-3.25 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-94\"><h3>[94] HYPE 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-5.82 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-95\"><h3>[95] AVAX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-4.27 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-96\"><h3>[96] AVAX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.91 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-97\"><h3>[97] AVAX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-98\"><h3>[98] AVAX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-99\"><h3>[99] TRX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>2.05 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-100\"><h3>[100] TRX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.64 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-101\"><h3>[101] TRX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.05 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-102\"><h3>[102] TRX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-1.77 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-09T17:59:36.855967+00:00</p></article></details></main></body></html>","provenance":{"canonicalReportSha256":"9933986947d141917d1b24bb7907f8baafe87caa2b512e69217ea2ac9bb2db3d","presentationSha256":"26730a5fb8863d33b44458fc960e6ec1cec7360693c702a18d3293a9ce6eee63","reviewedReportSha256":"9933986947d141917d1b24bb7907f8baafe87caa2b512e69217ea2ac9bb2db3d","sourceHtmlSha256":"a052746f141948958b5751664d2c2f6ed3d58d1caf76bb1651e6f81d6a3e747c","sourceJournalSha256":"fd71f6dfe646a1bd81dcb3c81467c9018347b75d293291a8894bcad8dae4559e"},"reportDate":"2026-11-09","schemaVersion":1,"snapshotUtc":"2026-11-09T17:31:00+00:00","summary":"XRP, HYPE and AVAX ATM volatility rose across matched 1W and 1M tenors while TRX eased. AVAX’s 1W volatility now exceeds its 1M level, whereas TRX’s 1W level sits below its 1M level. Directional pricing tells a different story: 1W downside asymmetry deepened in XRP and AVAX, emerged in HYPE and normalized to neutral in TRX, while matched 1M RR25 strengthened across the cohort.","title":"Altcoin ATM volatility diverges as TRX eases"}