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style-src 'unsafe-inline'; base-uri 'none'; img-src data:\" http-equiv=\"Content-Security-Policy\"/><title>AVAX leads the 2M RR25 divergence</title><style>:root { color-scheme: light; --paper: #f7f3eb; --raised: #f0ebe1; --ink: #242824; --soft: #3d433e; --muted: #626a61; --line: #d3cec2; --strong: #b5b5a7; --teal: #315f59; --teal-pale: #e3ebe3; }\n* { box-sizing: border-box; }\nhtml { background: var(--paper); }\nbody { margin: 0; background: var(--paper); color: var(--ink); font: 16px/1.6 system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, \"Segoe UI\", sans-serif; }\na { color: var(--teal); text-underline-offset: 3px; overflow-wrap: anywhere; }\na:focus-visible, summary:focus-visible { outline: 2px solid var(--teal); outline-offset: 4px; }\n.report { width: calc(100% - 48px); max-width: 1100px; width: min(calc(100% - 48px), 1100px); margin: 0 auto; padding-bottom: 56px; }\n.hero { padding: 24px 0 32px; border-bottom: 1px solid var(--strong); }\n.brand-row { display: flex; justify-content: space-between; 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XRP and TRX moved in the opposite direction. Broader increases in ATM volatility therefore coexisted with asset-specific and tenor-specific directional pricing.</p><p class=\"byline\">Derivasys Research</p><div aria-label=\"Report snapshot\" class=\"snapshot\"><div><span>Report date</span><strong>08 Nov 2026</strong></div><div><span>Current snapshot</span><strong>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div><div><span>Coverage</span><strong>XRP, HYPE, AVAX, TRX</strong></div><div><span>Comparison snapshot</span><strong>07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div></div></header><section class=\"section editorial\"><p class=\"eyebrow\">The reading</p><h2>What the evidence says</h2><p class=\"finding\">The clearest distinction was in 2M RR25, the call-versus-put IV asymmetry. AVAX changed by +2.08 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup> to 2.63 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup>, strengthening its positive call-versus-put asymmetry. HYPE changed by +1.41 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup> to -0.11 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup>: relief toward neutrality, with a slightly negative destination. XRP 2M RR25 changed by -0.25 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup> and TRX 2M RR25 by -0.09 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup>, opposing the AVAX and HYPE improvements. AVAX's 2M absolute RR25 move ranked at 93.2nd percentile <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup> within its full captured history, covering 44 observations (observed sampling; 09 Sep 2026–07 Nov 2026) <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup>. That magnitude supports leading with AVAX's 2M repricing; the rank does not establish unusualness of the joint cross-asset configuration.</p><p class=\"finding\">ATM, or at-the-money, IV increased across the cohort at 1W, even though directional pricing diverged. XRP 1W ATM IV changed by +3.44 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup> to 59.77% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup>; HYPE changed by +1.71 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup> to 59.22% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup>; AVAX changed by +1.16 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup> to 66.50% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup>; and TRX changed by +0.67 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup> to 30.63% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup>. The matched 1M comparison separates breadth from concentration: XRP 1M ATM IV changed by +1.65 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup> to 55.04% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup>, while AVAX changed by +2.03 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup> to 67.41% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup>. HYPE's 1M ATM IV changed by +0.39 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup> to 54.65% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup>, and TRX's changed by +0.08 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup> to 27.99% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup>. HYPE and TRX therefore had more front-focused ATM increases, whereas XRP and AVAX also repriced at 1M. Over the aligned crypto comparison interval, spot returns were -0.70% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup> for XRP, -1.24% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup> for HYPE, -0.90% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup> for AVAX and +0.04% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup> for TRX. Rising 1W ATM IV thus accompanied differing spot outcomes, without establishing a common directional explanation.</p><p class=\"finding\">RR25 and BF25 show why ATM concentration cannot describe the entire smile. XRP 1W RR25 changed by +0.10 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 28\" href=\"#source-28\">[28]</a></sup> to -1.94 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 29\" href=\"#source-29\">[29]</a></sup>, retaining negative asymmetry; HYPE 1W RR25 changed by +0.30 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 30\" href=\"#source-30\">[30]</a></sup> to 0.40 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 31\" href=\"#source-31\">[31]</a></sup>, retaining positive asymmetry. TRX 1W RR25 changed by -1.56 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup> to -0.81 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup>, crossing into negative territory. At 1M, XRP RR25 changed by -0.01 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup> to -1.91 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup>, leaving its existing negative asymmetry almost unchanged. HYPE 1M RR25 changed by -0.63 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup> to -0.73 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 37\" href=\"#source-37\">[37]</a></sup>, AVAX changed by +1.90 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 38\" href=\"#source-38\">[38]</a></sup> to 1.92 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 39\" href=\"#source-39\">[39]</a></sup>, and TRX changed by -0.74 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 40\" href=\"#source-40\">[40]</a></sup> to 0.26 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 41\" href=\"#source-41\">[41]</a></sup>. AVAX's positive RR25 repricing therefore extended through 1M and 2M despite its negative 1W destination; HYPE's 2M relief contrasted with a more negative 1M destination. BF25, the average wing IV premium over ATM, adds a separate distinction. XRP 1W BF25 changed by -0.36 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 42\" href=\"#source-42\">[42]</a></sup> to 1.85 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 43\" href=\"#source-43\">[43]</a></sup>, while its 1M BF25 changed by +0.30 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 44\" href=\"#source-44\">[44]</a></sup> to 2.20 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 45\" href=\"#source-45\">[45]</a></sup>. Its butterfly premium narrowed at 1W but widened at 1M. At 2W, BF25 changed by -0.11 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 46\" href=\"#source-46\">[46]</a></sup> to 2.05 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 47\" href=\"#source-47\">[47]</a></sup> for XRP, by -0.08 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 48\" href=\"#source-48\">[48]</a></sup> to 1.61 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 49\" href=\"#source-49\">[49]</a></sup> for HYPE, by +0.04 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 50\" href=\"#source-50\">[50]</a></sup> to 1.81 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 51\" href=\"#source-51\">[51]</a></sup> for AVAX, and by -0.08 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 52\" href=\"#source-52\">[52]</a></sup> to 1.57 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 53\" href=\"#source-53\">[53]</a></sup> for TRX. These smaller 2W butterfly adjustments do not erase XRP's opposing 1W and 1M premium changes, and they do not measure absolute wing IV.</p><p class=\"finding\">The trailing realized-volatility comparison further separates the cohort. Recomputed trailing RV was 55.27% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 54\" href=\"#source-54\">[54]</a></sup> for XRP, 74.81% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 55\" href=\"#source-55\">[55]</a></sup> for HYPE, 64.65% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 56\" href=\"#source-56\">[56]</a></sup> for AVAX and 13.86% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 57\" href=\"#source-57\">[57]</a></sup> for TRX. Their forward 1W ATM IV minus trailing RV spreads were respectively +4.50 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 58\" href=\"#source-58\">[58]</a></sup>, -15.59 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 59\" href=\"#source-59\">[59]</a></sup>, +1.85 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 60\" href=\"#source-60\">[60]</a></sup> and +16.77 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 61\" href=\"#source-61\">[61]</a></sup>. HYPE's negative spread contrasts with the positive spreads elsewhere, while TRX's wider positive spread has a particularly relevant rolling-window qualification: its trailing RV declined as larger squared returns left the window. These observations distinguish backward-looking movement from forward 1W pricing; they cannot establish cheapness, expected returns or a trading edge.</p><div class=\"consolidated-limits\"><h3>Qualifications and limits</h3><ul><li>AVAX's 1W RR25 changed by -0.05 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 62\" href=\"#source-62\">[62]</a></sup> to -0.28 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 63\" href=\"#source-63\">[63]</a></sup>. Its negative 1W asymmetry qualifies any interpretation of the positive 2M destination as a uniform directional shift across maturities.</li><li>Historical ranks describe eligible observed samples with gaps retained and no filling; sample selection can limit representativeness. Options and spot changes share their native crypto interval, while trailing RV measures a different period.</li><li>Trailing RV uses adjacent canonical minute-price log returns with complete measured coverage and no interpolation. Same-series recomputation checks arithmetic, without independently verifying the underlying prices; forward 1W IV-minus-RV remains descriptive.</li></ul></div><details class=\"appendix\"><summary>Further qualifications</summary><ul><li>The cross-asset and tenor differences do not identify trades, positioning or a news catalyst. Event-specific causal attribution remains unresolved.</li></ul></details></section><section class=\"section market-scorecard\"><h2>Verified market snapshot</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Current levels and changes over each recorded native interval. Only receipt-matched quotes are shown; an em dash marks a missing matching quote.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset · tenor</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV change</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25 change</th><th scope=\"col\">BF25 change</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">AVAX · 1W</th><td>66.50 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup></td><td>1.16 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup></td><td>-0.28 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 63\" href=\"#source-63\">[63]</a></sup></td><td>-0.05 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 62\" href=\"#source-62\">[62]</a></sup></td><td>0.09 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 64\" href=\"#source-64\">[64]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">AVAX · 2W</th><td>66.65 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 65\" href=\"#source-65\">[65]</a></sup></td><td>0.83 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 66\" href=\"#source-66\">[66]</a></sup></td><td>1.04 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 67\" href=\"#source-67\">[67]</a></sup></td><td>-0.19 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 68\" href=\"#source-68\">[68]</a></sup></td><td>0.04 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 50\" href=\"#source-50\">[50]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">AVAX · 1M</th><td>67.41 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup></td><td>2.03 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup></td><td>1.92 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 39\" href=\"#source-39\">[39]</a></sup></td><td>1.90 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 38\" href=\"#source-38\">[38]</a></sup></td><td>0.15 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 69\" href=\"#source-69\">[69]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">AVAX · 2M</th><td>67.73 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 70\" href=\"#source-70\">[70]</a></sup></td><td>2.04 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 71\" href=\"#source-71\">[71]</a></sup></td><td>2.63 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup></td><td>2.08 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup></td><td>0.09 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 72\" href=\"#source-72\">[72]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">HYPE · 1W</th><td>59.22 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup></td><td>1.71 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup></td><td>0.40 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 31\" href=\"#source-31\">[31]</a></sup></td><td>0.30 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 30\" href=\"#source-30\">[30]</a></sup></td><td>-0.12 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 73\" href=\"#source-73\">[73]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">HYPE · 2W</th><td>56.88 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 74\" href=\"#source-74\">[74]</a></sup></td><td>0.80 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 75\" href=\"#source-75\">[75]</a></sup></td><td>0.36 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 76\" href=\"#source-76\">[76]</a></sup></td><td>0.81 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 77\" href=\"#source-77\">[77]</a></sup></td><td>-0.08 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 48\" href=\"#source-48\">[48]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">HYPE · 1M</th><td>54.65 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup></td><td>0.39 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup></td><td>-0.73 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 37\" href=\"#source-37\">[37]</a></sup></td><td>-0.63 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup></td><td>-0.13 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 78\" href=\"#source-78\">[78]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">HYPE · 2M</th><td>54.84 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 79\" href=\"#source-79\">[79]</a></sup></td><td>1.41 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 80\" href=\"#source-80\">[80]</a></sup></td><td>-0.11 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup></td><td>1.41 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup></td><td>0.28 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 81\" href=\"#source-81\">[81]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 1W</th><td>30.63 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup></td><td>0.67 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup></td><td>-0.81 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup></td><td>-1.56 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup></td><td>-0.13 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 82\" href=\"#source-82\">[82]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 2W</th><td>28.79 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 83\" href=\"#source-83\">[83]</a></sup></td><td>0.17 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 84\" href=\"#source-84\">[84]</a></sup></td><td>-0.30 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 85\" href=\"#source-85\">[85]</a></sup></td><td>-1.93 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 86\" href=\"#source-86\">[86]</a></sup></td><td>-0.08 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 52\" href=\"#source-52\">[52]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 1M</th><td>27.99 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup></td><td>0.08 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup></td><td>0.26 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 41\" href=\"#source-41\">[41]</a></sup></td><td>-0.74 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 40\" href=\"#source-40\">[40]</a></sup></td><td>-0.02 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 87\" href=\"#source-87\">[87]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 2M</th><td>27.63 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 88\" href=\"#source-88\">[88]</a></sup></td><td>0.03 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 89\" href=\"#source-89\">[89]</a></sup></td><td>0.60 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 90\" href=\"#source-90\">[90]</a></sup></td><td>-0.09 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup></td><td>0.01 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 91\" href=\"#source-91\">[91]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 1W</th><td>59.77 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup></td><td>3.44 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup></td><td>-1.94 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 29\" href=\"#source-29\">[29]</a></sup></td><td>0.10 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 28\" href=\"#source-28\">[28]</a></sup></td><td>-0.36 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 42\" href=\"#source-42\">[42]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 2W</th><td>57.78 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 92\" href=\"#source-92\">[92]</a></sup></td><td>2.74 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 93\" href=\"#source-93\">[93]</a></sup></td><td>-0.55 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 94\" href=\"#source-94\">[94]</a></sup></td><td>1.13 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 95\" href=\"#source-95\">[95]</a></sup></td><td>-0.11 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 46\" href=\"#source-46\">[46]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 1M</th><td>55.04 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup></td><td>1.65 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup></td><td>-1.91 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup></td><td>-0.01 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup></td><td>0.30 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 44\" href=\"#source-44\">[44]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 2M</th><td>55.23 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 96\" href=\"#source-96\">[96]</a></sup></td><td>2.26 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 97\" href=\"#source-97\">[97]</a></sup></td><td>-1.59 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 98\" href=\"#source-98\">[98]</a></sup></td><td>-0.25 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup></td><td>0.20 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 99\" href=\"#source-99\">[99]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><section class=\"section curve-regimes\"><h2>Weekly versus monthly curve</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Matched native endpoints; inverted means monthly ATM IV is below weekly ATM IV. Regimes compare verified levels; no numerical slope is inferred.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Curve regime</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP</th><td>56.33 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 100\" href=\"#source-100\">[100]</a></sup></td><td>53.39 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 101\" href=\"#source-101\">[101]</a></sup></td><td>59.77 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup></td><td>55.04 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">HYPE</th><td>57.51 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 102\" href=\"#source-102\">[102]</a></sup></td><td>54.26 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 103\" href=\"#source-103\">[103]</a></sup></td><td>59.22 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup></td><td>54.65 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">AVAX</th><td>65.34 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 104\" href=\"#source-104\">[104]</a></sup></td><td>65.38 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 105\" href=\"#source-105\">[105]</a></sup></td><td>66.50 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup></td><td>67.41 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup></td><td>Remained upward sloping</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX</th><td>29.96 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 106\" href=\"#source-106\">[106]</a></sup></td><td>27.91 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 107\" href=\"#source-107\">[107]</a></sup></td><td>30.63 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup></td><td>27.99 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"section curve-history\"><summary>Recent ATM curve history</summary><p>One-month minus one-week at-the-money implied volatility. Negative values mean an inverted curve. Each row retains its native observation time; missing days are not filled.</p><table><thead><tr><th>Asset</th><th>Native observation (UTC)</th><th>1M minus 1W ATM IV</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>XRP</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-4.73 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 108\" href=\"#source-108\">[108]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>XRP</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.94 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 109\" href=\"#source-109\">[109]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>XRP</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.84 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 110\" href=\"#source-110\">[110]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>XRP</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-5.57 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 111\" href=\"#source-111\">[111]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>HYPE</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-4.57 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 112\" href=\"#source-112\">[112]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>HYPE</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-3.25 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 113\" href=\"#source-113\">[113]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>HYPE</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-5.82 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 114\" href=\"#source-114\">[114]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>HYPE</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.79 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 115\" href=\"#source-115\">[115]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>AVAX</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.91 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 116\" href=\"#source-116\">[116]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>AVAX</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.04 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 117\" href=\"#source-117\">[117]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>AVAX</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.08 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 118\" href=\"#source-118\">[118]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>AVAX</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+2.25 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 119\" href=\"#source-119\">[119]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>TRX</td><td>2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.64 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 120\" href=\"#source-120\">[120]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>TRX</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.05 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 121\" href=\"#source-121\">[121]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>TRX</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-1.77 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 122\" href=\"#source-122\">[122]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>TRX</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-3.86 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 123\" href=\"#source-123\">[123]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></details><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>1W ATM IV move comparison</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"1W ATM IV move comparison\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>1W ATM IV move comparison</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-4.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">4.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"199.38\" y=\"265\">XRP</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"90.30\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"175.38\" y=\"42.70\"><title>XRP · Change: 3.44 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"199.38\" y=\"38.70\">3.44</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"348.12\" y=\"265\">HYPE</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"44.89\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"324.12\" y=\"88.11\"><title>HYPE · Change: 1.71 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"348.12\" y=\"84.11\">1.71</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"496.88\" y=\"265\">AVAX</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"30.45\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"472.88\" y=\"102.55\"><title>AVAX · Change: 1.16 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"496.88\" y=\"98.55\">1.16</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"645.62\" y=\"265\">TRX</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"17.59\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"621.62\" y=\"115.41\"><title>TRX · Change: 0.67 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"645.62\" y=\"111.41\">0.67</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>Change</span>. Common recorded native interval and eligible cohort only.</figcaption></figure></section><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>AVAX: size of daily changes in the 2-month call-minus-put volatility premium (RR25)</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"AVAX: size of daily changes in the 2-month call-minus-put volatility premium (RR25) ranked observed sample\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>AVAX: size of daily changes in the 2-month call-minus-put volatility premium (RR25)</title><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">2.73 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"84.50\">2.05 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">1.38 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"189.50\">0.70 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">0.02 vol pts</text><circle cx=\"125.00\" cy=\"238.00\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-17T17:31:00+00:00: 0.02 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"138.84\" cy=\"236.45\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-18T17:31:00+00:00: 0.04 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"152.67\" cy=\"235.68\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-09T17:31:00+00:00: 0.05 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"166.51\" cy=\"235.68\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-16T17:31:00+00:00: 0.05 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"180.35\" cy=\"234.90\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-27T17:31:00+00:00: 0.06 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"194.19\" cy=\"232.58\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-04T17:31:00+00:00: 0.09 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"208.02\" cy=\"231.80\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-15T17:31:00+00:00: 0.10 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"221.86\" cy=\"231.03\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-20T17:31:00+00:00: 0.11 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"235.70\" cy=\"230.25\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-17T17:31:00+00:00: 0.12 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"249.53\" cy=\"230.25\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-11T17:31:00+00:00: 0.12 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"263.37\" cy=\"228.70\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-09T17:31:00+00:00: 0.14 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"277.21\" cy=\"228.70\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-15T17:31:00+00:00: 0.14 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"291.05\" cy=\"226.38\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-14T17:31:00+00:00: 0.17 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"304.88\" cy=\"226.38\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-10T17:31:00+00:00: 0.17 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"318.72\" cy=\"225.60\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-12T17:31:00+00:00: 0.18 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"332.56\" cy=\"224.83\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-23T17:31:00+00:00: 0.19 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"346.40\" cy=\"220.18\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-18T17:31:00+00:00: 0.25 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"360.23\" cy=\"215.53\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-10T17:31:00+00:00: 0.31 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"374.07\" cy=\"214.75\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-13T17:31:00+00:00: 0.32 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"387.91\" cy=\"209.33\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-26T17:31:00+00:00: 0.39 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"401.74\" cy=\"207.78\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-30T17:31:00+00:00: 0.41 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"415.58\" cy=\"204.68\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-06T17:31:00+00:00: 0.45 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"429.42\" cy=\"200.80\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-25T17:31:00+00:00: 0.50 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"443.26\" cy=\"195.38\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-19T17:31:00+00:00: 0.57 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"457.09\" cy=\"194.61\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-11T17:31:00+00:00: 0.58 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"470.93\" cy=\"187.63\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-03T17:31:00+00:00: 0.67 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"484.77\" cy=\"187.63\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-05T17:31:00+00:00: 0.67 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"498.60\" cy=\"185.31\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-13T17:31:00+00:00: 0.70 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"512.44\" cy=\"174.46\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-22T17:31:00+00:00: 0.84 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"526.28\" cy=\"171.36\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-19T17:31:00+00:00: 0.88 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"540.12\" cy=\"169.03\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-16T17:31:00+00:00: 0.91 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"553.95\" cy=\"165.93\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-24T17:31:00+00:00: 0.95 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"567.79\" cy=\"160.51\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-12T17:31:00+00:00: 1.02 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"581.63\" cy=\"158.18\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-02T17:31:00+00:00: 1.05 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"595.47\" cy=\"148.89\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-08T17:31:00+00:00: 1.17 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"609.30\" cy=\"143.46\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-23T17:31:00+00:00: 1.24 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"623.14\" cy=\"135.71\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-24T17:31:00+00:00: 1.34 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"636.98\" cy=\"130.29\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-01T17:31:00+00:00: 1.41 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"650.81\" cy=\"114.01\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-07T17:31:00+00:00: 1.62 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"664.65\" cy=\"103.94\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-14T17:31:00+00:00: 1.75 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"678.49\" cy=\"94.64\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-09-20T17:31:00+00:00: 1.87 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"692.33\" cy=\"74.49\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-21T17:31:00+00:00: 2.13 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"706.16\" cy=\"38.85\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00: 2.59 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"720.00\" cy=\"28.00\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00: 2.73 vol pts</title></circle><circle class=\"current-statistic\" cx=\"692.33\" cy=\"78.37\" fill=\"#ac6353\" r=\"6\"><title>Current statistic: 2.08 vol pts</title></circle><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.5\" y=\"265\">Sample rank (ordered by value)</text></svg></div><figcaption>Observed samples in teal. Current statistic: 2.08 vol pts (red). Change sizes ignore direction: increases and decreases of the same size are ranked together. RR25 is 25-delta call implied volatility minus 25-delta put implied volatility. n=44; 2026-09-09 to 2026-11-07; source-selected observed sample, no fill.</figcaption></figure></section><p><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup></p><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>BF25 change by tenor</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"BF25 change by tenor\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>BF25 change by tenor</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-0.40 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">0.40 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"265\">1W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"94.50\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"149.79\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · XRP · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.36 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"168.39\" y=\"240.50\">-0.36</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"31.50\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"186.98\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · HYPE · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.12 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"205.57\" y=\"177.50\">-0.12</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"23.62\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"109.38\"><title>1W · AVAX · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.09 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"242.76\" y=\"105.38\">0.09</text><rect fill=\"#ac6353\" height=\"34.12\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"261.35\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · TRX · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.13 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"279.95\" y=\"180.12\">-0.13</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"265\">2W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"28.88\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"348.12\" y=\"133.00\"><title>2W · XRP · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.11 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"366.72\" y=\"174.88\">-0.11</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"21.00\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"385.31\" y=\"133.00\"><title>2W · HYPE · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.08 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"403.91\" y=\"167.00\">-0.08</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"10.50\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"122.50\"><title>2W · AVAX · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.04 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"441.09\" y=\"118.50\">0.04</text><rect fill=\"#ac6353\" height=\"21.00\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"459.69\" y=\"133.00\"><title>2W · TRX · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.08 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"478.28\" y=\"167.00\">-0.08</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"265\">1M</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"78.75\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"546.46\" y=\"54.25\"><title>1M · XRP · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.30 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"565.05\" y=\"50.25\">0.30</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"34.12\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"583.65\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · HYPE · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.13 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"602.24\" y=\"180.12\">-0.13</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"39.38\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"93.62\"><title>1M · AVAX · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.15 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"639.43\" y=\"89.62\">0.15</text><rect fill=\"#ac6353\" height=\"5.25\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"658.02\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · TRX · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.02 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"676.61\" y=\"151.25\">-0.02</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>XRP · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#9a8260\"></i>HYPE · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#74628e\"></i>AVAX · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#ac6353\"></i>TRX · 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span>. Own-run receipt-matched changes; missing or ambiguous points remain gaps.</figcaption></figure></section><p class=\"source-note\">Figure evidence: <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 42\" href=\"#source-42\">[42]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 46\" href=\"#source-46\">[46]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 44\" href=\"#source-44\">[44]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 73\" href=\"#source-73\">[73]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 48\" href=\"#source-48\">[48]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 78\" href=\"#source-78\">[78]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 64\" href=\"#source-64\">[64]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 50\" href=\"#source-50\">[50]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 69\" href=\"#source-69\">[69]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 82\" href=\"#source-82\">[82]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 52\" href=\"#source-52\">[52]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 87\" href=\"#source-87\">[87]</a></sup></p><section class=\"section research-panel\"><h2>What to watch next</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Each monitor describes a verified component or central counterexample of the selected story; observation tests, not a joint forecast.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Story component</th><th scope=\"col\">Next snapshot</th><th scope=\"col\">Observed condition</th><th scope=\"col\">Comparison period</th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 1W ATM implied volatility</th><td>09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above 59.77 % (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below 59.77 % and strictly above 56.33 %.<br/>Prior level: at or below 56.33 % (prior level).</td><td>07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 100\" href=\"#source-100\">[100]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 1W ATM implied volatility</th><td>09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above 30.63 % (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below 30.63 % and strictly above 29.96 %.<br/>Prior level: at or below 29.96 % (prior level).</td><td>07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 106\" href=\"#source-106\">[106]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 1M ATM implied volatility</th><td>09 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above 55.04 % (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below 55.04 % and strictly above 53.39 %.<br/>Prior level: at or below 53.39 % (prior level).</td><td>07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 101\" href=\"#source-101\">[101]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"appendix sampling-methodology\"><summary>Historical sampling methodology</summary><p>Each rank describes its supplied population. Exact consecutive daily endpoints use fixed UTC anchors and 24 elapsed hours, including across daylight-saving changes. Missing pairs are omitted without interpolation; their absence does not establish why the provider omitted them. Full captured history is bounded by this run. Different captures and windows can have different denominators even when their ranks agree.</p><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><thead><tr><th>Measure</th><th>Population</th><th>Observed pairs or levels</th><th>Requested window</th><th>Excluded pair or level endpoints</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>AVAX 2M.rr25.absolute_move<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup></td><td>full captured history</td><td>44</td><td>2026-09-08T17:31:00+00:00 to 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>2026-09-21T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-22T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-28T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-09-29T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-10-25T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-10-26T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-10-27T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-10-28T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-10-29T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-10-30T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-10-31T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-11-01T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-11-02T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-11-03T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-11-04T17:31:00+00:00, 2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td></tr></tbody></table></div></details><p class=\"clock-note bf-definition\">BF25 = (25-delta call IV + 25-delta put IV) / 2 − ATM IV. Levels and changes are measured in volatility points.</p><p>Retrospective report: native market dates are distinct from later retrieval and run clocks. Later capture does not establish availability at the original cutoff.</p><details class=\"section source-notes\"><summary>Source notes</summary><article id=\"source-1\"><h3>[1] AVAX 2M RR25 difference</h3><p>2.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-2\"><h3>[2] AVAX 2M RR25</h3><p>2.63 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-3\"><h3>[3] HYPE 2M RR25 difference</h3><p>1.41 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-4\"><h3>[4] HYPE 2M RR25</h3><p>-0.11 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-5\"><h3>[5] XRP 2M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.25 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-6\"><h3>[6] TRX 2M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.09 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-7\"><h3>[7] AVAX 2M RR25 absolute move percentile</h3><p>93.18 percentile</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-8\"><h3>[8] XRP 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>3.44 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-9\"><h3>[9] XRP 1W ATM IV</h3><p>59.77 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-10\"><h3>[10] HYPE 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>1.71 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-11\"><h3>[11] HYPE 1W ATM IV</h3><p>59.22 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-12\"><h3>[12] AVAX 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>1.16 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-13\"><h3>[13] AVAX 1W ATM IV</h3><p>66.50 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-14\"><h3>[14] TRX 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.67 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-15\"><h3>[15] TRX 1W ATM IV</h3><p>30.63 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-16\"><h3>[16] XRP 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>1.65 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-17\"><h3>[17] XRP 1M ATM IV</h3><p>55.04 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-18\"><h3>[18] AVAX 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>2.03 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-19\"><h3>[19] AVAX 1M ATM IV</h3><p>67.41 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-20\"><h3>[20] HYPE 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.39 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-21\"><h3>[21] HYPE 1M ATM IV</h3><p>54.65 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-22\"><h3>[22] TRX 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-23\"><h3>[23] TRX 1M ATM IV</h3><p>27.99 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-24\"><h3>[24] XRP spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-0.70 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-25\"><h3>[25] HYPE spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-1.24 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-26\"><h3>[26] AVAX spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-0.90 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-27\"><h3>[27] TRX spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>0.04 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-28\"><h3>[28] XRP 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.10 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-29\"><h3>[29] XRP 1W RR25</h3><p>-1.94 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-30\"><h3>[30] HYPE 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.30 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-31\"><h3>[31] HYPE 1W RR25</h3><p>0.40 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-32\"><h3>[32] TRX 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>-1.56 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-33\"><h3>[33] TRX 1W RR25</h3><p>-0.81 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-34\"><h3>[34] XRP 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.01 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-35\"><h3>[35] XRP 1M RR25</h3><p>-1.91 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-36\"><h3>[36] HYPE 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.63 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-37\"><h3>[37] HYPE 1M RR25</h3><p>-0.73 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-38\"><h3>[38] AVAX 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>1.90 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-39\"><h3>[39] AVAX 1M RR25</h3><p>1.92 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-40\"><h3>[40] TRX 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.74 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-41\"><h3>[41] TRX 1M RR25</h3><p>0.26 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-42\"><h3>[42] XRP 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.36 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-43\"><h3>[43] XRP 1W BF25</h3><p>1.85 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-44\"><h3>[44] XRP 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.30 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-45\"><h3>[45] XRP 1M BF25</h3><p>2.20 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-46\"><h3>[46] XRP 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.11 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-47\"><h3>[47] XRP 2W BF25</h3><p>2.05 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-48\"><h3>[48] HYPE 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-49\"><h3>[49] HYPE 2W BF25</h3><p>1.61 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-50\"><h3>[50] AVAX 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-51\"><h3>[51] AVAX 2W BF25</h3><p>1.81 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-52\"><h3>[52] TRX 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-53\"><h3>[53] TRX 2W BF25</h3><p>1.57 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-54\"><h3>[54] XRP rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>55.27 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-55\"><h3>[55] HYPE rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>74.81 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-56\"><h3>[56] AVAX rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>64.65 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-57\"><h3>[57] TRX rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>13.86 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-58\"><h3>[58] XRP 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>4.50 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-59\"><h3>[59] HYPE 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>-15.59 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-60\"><h3>[60] AVAX 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>1.85 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-61\"><h3>[61] TRX 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>16.77 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-62\"><h3>[62] AVAX 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.05 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-63\"><h3>[63] AVAX 1W RR25</h3><p>-0.28 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-64\"><h3>[64] AVAX 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.09 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-65\"><h3>[65] AVAX 2W ATM IV</h3><p>66.65 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-66\"><h3>[66] AVAX 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.83 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-67\"><h3>[67] AVAX 2W RR25</h3><p>1.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-68\"><h3>[68] AVAX 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.19 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-69\"><h3>[69] AVAX 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.15 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-70\"><h3>[70] AVAX 2M ATM IV</h3><p>67.73 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-71\"><h3>[71] AVAX 2M ATM IV difference</h3><p>2.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-72\"><h3>[72] AVAX 2M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.09 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-73\"><h3>[73] HYPE 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.12 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-74\"><h3>[74] HYPE 2W ATM IV</h3><p>56.88 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-75\"><h3>[75] HYPE 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.80 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-76\"><h3>[76] HYPE 2W RR25</h3><p>0.36 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-77\"><h3>[77] HYPE 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.81 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-78\"><h3>[78] HYPE 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.13 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-79\"><h3>[79] HYPE 2M ATM IV</h3><p>54.84 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-80\"><h3>[80] HYPE 2M ATM IV difference</h3><p>1.41 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-81\"><h3>[81] HYPE 2M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.28 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-82\"><h3>[82] TRX 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.13 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-83\"><h3>[83] TRX 2W ATM IV</h3><p>28.79 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-84\"><h3>[84] TRX 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.17 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-85\"><h3>[85] TRX 2W RR25</h3><p>-0.30 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-86\"><h3>[86] TRX 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>-1.93 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-87\"><h3>[87] TRX 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.02 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-88\"><h3>[88] TRX 2M ATM IV</h3><p>27.63 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-89\"><h3>[89] TRX 2M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.03 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-90\"><h3>[90] TRX 2M RR25</h3><p>0.60 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-91\"><h3>[91] TRX 2M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.01 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-92\"><h3>[92] XRP 2W ATM IV</h3><p>57.78 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-93\"><h3>[93] XRP 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>2.74 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-94\"><h3>[94] XRP 2W RR25</h3><p>-0.55 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-95\"><h3>[95] XRP 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>1.13 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-96\"><h3>[96] XRP 2M ATM IV</h3><p>55.23 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-97\"><h3>[97] XRP 2M ATM IV difference</h3><p>2.26 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-98\"><h3>[98] XRP 2M RR25</h3><p>-1.59 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-99\"><h3>[99] XRP 2M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.20 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-100\"><h3>[100] XRP 1W ATM IV</h3><p>56.33 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-101\"><h3>[101] XRP 1M ATM IV</h3><p>53.39 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-102\"><h3>[102] HYPE 1W ATM IV</h3><p>57.51 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-103\"><h3>[103] HYPE 1M ATM IV</h3><p>54.26 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-104\"><h3>[104] AVAX 1W ATM IV</h3><p>65.34 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-105\"><h3>[105] AVAX 1M ATM IV</h3><p>65.38 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-106\"><h3>[106] TRX 1W ATM IV</h3><p>29.96 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-107\"><h3>[107] TRX 1M ATM IV</h3><p>27.91 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-108\"><h3>[108] XRP 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-4.73 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-109\"><h3>[109] XRP 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.94 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-110\"><h3>[110] XRP 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.84 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-111\"><h3>[111] XRP 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-5.57 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-112\"><h3>[112] HYPE 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-4.57 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-113\"><h3>[113] HYPE 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-3.25 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-114\"><h3>[114] HYPE 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-5.82 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-115\"><h3>[115] HYPE 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.79 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-116\"><h3>[116] AVAX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.91 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-117\"><h3>[117] AVAX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-118\"><h3>[118] AVAX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-119\"><h3>[119] AVAX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>2.25 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-120\"><h3>[120] TRX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.64 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-121\"><h3>[121] TRX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.05 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-122\"><h3>[122] TRX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-1.77 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-123\"><h3>[123] TRX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-3.86 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-08T17:40:18.103193+00:00</p></article></details></main></body></html>","provenance":{"canonicalReportSha256":"55c98dc714a1eedc7e42cc0470a1654822ffa9652e84c974e5f307ee0976bcc6","presentationSha256":"c1d9ae62fcc3cfa16e8711dc126402da2952b0aa6b9563450fda02235b08758d","reviewedReportSha256":"55c98dc714a1eedc7e42cc0470a1654822ffa9652e84c974e5f307ee0976bcc6","sourceHtmlSha256":"4c9a2235a7ff71024172b7c9c0f3ed17e5c4ac7c49514c9ebd4b98d2544ab6fa","sourceJournalSha256":"2501206f39f3a13233334c81c0971286fa03d4fe0a1b51fdadc784db825d7390"},"reportDate":"2026-11-08","schemaVersion":1,"snapshotUtc":"2026-11-08T17:31:00+00:00","summary":"AVAX and HYPE showed the strongest improvement in 2M call-versus-put IV asymmetry, but their destinations differed: AVAX reached a positive RR25 while HYPE remained slightly negative. XRP and TRX moved in the opposite direction. Broader increases in ATM volatility therefore coexisted with asset-specific and tenor-specific directional pricing.","title":"AVAX leads the 2M RR25 divergence"}