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style-src 'unsafe-inline'; base-uri 'none'; img-src data:\" http-equiv=\"Content-Security-Policy\"/><title>HYPE ATM volatility eases as XRP reprices higher</title><style>:root { color-scheme: light; --paper: #f7f3eb; --raised: #f0ebe1; --ink: #242824; --soft: #3d433e; --muted: #626a61; --line: #d3cec2; --strong: #b5b5a7; --teal: #315f59; --teal-pale: #e3ebe3; }\n* { box-sizing: border-box; }\nhtml { background: var(--paper); }\nbody { margin: 0; background: var(--paper); color: var(--ink); font: 16px/1.6 system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, \"Segoe UI\", sans-serif; }\na { color: var(--teal); text-underline-offset: 3px; overflow-wrap: anywhere; }\na:focus-visible, summary:focus-visible { outline: 2px solid var(--teal); outline-offset: 4px; }\n.report { width: calc(100% - 48px); max-width: 1100px; width: min(calc(100% - 48px), 1100px); margin: 0 auto; padding-bottom: 56px; }\n.hero { padding: 24px 0 32px; border-bottom: 1px solid var(--strong); }\n.brand-row { display: flex; justify-content: space-between; 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This is differentiated repricing across altcoins, not uniform volatility relief: HYPE's 1W premium over 1M persists, and its 1M directional skew turns marginally negative despite lower ATM volatility.</p><p class=\"byline\">Derivasys Research</p><div aria-label=\"Report snapshot\" class=\"snapshot\"><div><span>Report date</span><strong>07 Nov 2026</strong></div><div><span>Current snapshot</span><strong>07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div><div><span>Coverage</span><strong>XRP, HYPE, AVAX, TRX</strong></div><div><span>Comparison snapshot</span><strong>06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</strong></div></div></header><section class=\"section editorial\"><p class=\"eyebrow\">The reading</p><h2>What the evidence says</h2><p class=\"finding\">ATM means at-the-money implied volatility, and the matched-tenor comparison shows sharply different repricing across the cohort. Over each asset's native daily comparison, HYPE 1W ATM IV changed by -8.96 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup> to 57.51% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup>, while its 1M ATM IV changed by -6.39 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup> to 54.26% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup>. HYPE 2W ATM IV also changed by -7.64 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup>, supporting easing beyond 1W, although the current 1W level remains above 1M. XRP moved oppositely: 1W ATM IV changed by +2.12 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup> to 56.33% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup>, and 1M changed by +2.02 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup> to 53.39% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup>. AVAX 1W ATM IV changed by -2.32 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup> to 65.34% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup>, with 1M changing by -2.36 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup> to 65.38% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup>. TRX was comparatively stable: 1W changed by +0.47 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup> to 29.96% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup>, and 1M by +0.19 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup> to 27.91% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup>. HYPE's 1M absolute-move rank was 100th percentile <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup> in its rolling-window comparison, 30 observations (observed sampling; 08 Oct 2026–06 Nov 2026) <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup>; that ranks magnitude, not direction or the joint cross-asset configuration.</p><p class=\"finding\">RR25 measures call-versus-put IV asymmetry, so lower ATM IV need not mean less downside-sensitive pricing. HYPE 1M RR25 changed by -2.57 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup> to -0.10 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup>, crossing from positive to marginally negative. Its 1W RR25 changed by -0.25 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup> to 0.10 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup>, remaining marginally positive. XRP's higher ATM IV accompanied relief in an existing downside bias: 1W RR25 changed by +2.25 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup> to -2.04 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup>, while 1M changed by +1.26 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup> to -1.90 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup>. AVAX's tenor divergence was different: 1W RR25 changed by +0.47 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup> to -0.23 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 28\" href=\"#source-28\">[28]</a></sup>, remaining negative, whereas 1M changed by -2.33 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 29\" href=\"#source-29\">[29]</a></sup> to 0.02 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 30\" href=\"#source-30\">[30]</a></sup>, leaving only a marginal positive asymmetry. TRX's 1W RR25 changed by -1.42 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 31\" href=\"#source-31\">[31]</a></sup> to 0.75 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup>; its 1M changed by -0.13 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup> to 1.00 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup>, retaining positive asymmetry at each tenor. These matched 1M results separate HYPE's marginal sign crossing, XRP's downside-skew relief, AVAX's loss of positive skew and TRX's smaller adjustment.</p><p class=\"finding\">BF25 is the average wing IV premium over ATM, rather than absolute wing IV or directional bias. Its tenor pattern further qualifies HYPE's ATM easing: HYPE 1W BF25 changed by +0.26 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup> to 1.84 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 36\" href=\"#source-36\">[36]</a></sup>, and 2W changed by +0.08 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 37\" href=\"#source-37\">[37]</a></sup> to 1.69 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 38\" href=\"#source-38\">[38]</a></sup>, while 1M changed by -0.20 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 39\" href=\"#source-39\">[39]</a></sup> to 1.54 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 40\" href=\"#source-40\">[40]</a></sup>. Relative wing premiums therefore widened at 1W and 2W but narrowed at 1M. XRP also had a middle-tenor exception: its 1W BF25 changed by -0.02 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 41\" href=\"#source-41\">[41]</a></sup> to 2.21 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 42\" href=\"#source-42\">[42]</a></sup>, its 2W changed by +0.08 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 43\" href=\"#source-43\">[43]</a></sup> to 2.16 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 44\" href=\"#source-44\">[44]</a></sup>, and its 1M changed by -0.31 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 45\" href=\"#source-45\">[45]</a></sup> to 1.90 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 46\" href=\"#source-46\">[46]</a></sup>. The negligible 1W change does not describe the larger 1M narrowing. AVAX's premiums narrowed across the supplied adjacent tenors: 1W changed by -0.08 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 47\" href=\"#source-47\">[47]</a></sup> to 1.82 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 48\" href=\"#source-48\">[48]</a></sup>, 2W by -0.08 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 49\" href=\"#source-49\">[49]</a></sup> to 1.77 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 50\" href=\"#source-50\">[50]</a></sup>, and 1M by -0.15 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 51\" href=\"#source-51\">[51]</a></sup> to 1.79 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 52\" href=\"#source-52\">[52]</a></sup>. TRX moved oppositely across these tenors: 1W BF25 changed by +0.29 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 53\" href=\"#source-53\">[53]</a></sup> to 1.70 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 54\" href=\"#source-54\">[54]</a></sup>, 2W by +0.18 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 55\" href=\"#source-55\">[55]</a></sup> to 1.65 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 56\" href=\"#source-56\">[56]</a></sup>, and 1M by +0.10 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 57\" href=\"#source-57\">[57]</a></sup> to 1.61 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 58\" href=\"#source-58\">[58]</a></sup>. Stable TRX ATM IV thus coexisted with broader relative-wing repricing.</p><p class=\"finding\">Spot and realized volatility show why the ATM differences should not be read as a uniform response to falling prices. XRP's native daily spot return was -2.55% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 59\" href=\"#source-59\">[59]</a></sup>, against trailing realized volatility of 54.73% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 60\" href=\"#source-60\">[60]</a></sup> and a forward 1W IV-minus-trailing-RV spread of +1.60 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 61\" href=\"#source-61\">[61]</a></sup>. HYPE's corresponding spot return was -1.14% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 62\" href=\"#source-62\">[62]</a></sup>, realized volatility 75.52% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 63\" href=\"#source-63\">[63]</a></sup>, and spread -18.01 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 64\" href=\"#source-64\">[64]</a></sup>. AVAX spot returned -2.07% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 65\" href=\"#source-65\">[65]</a></sup>, with realized volatility 66.54% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 66\" href=\"#source-66\">[66]</a></sup> and spread -1.20 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 67\" href=\"#source-67\">[67]</a></sup>. TRX spot returned +0.32% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 68\" href=\"#source-68\">[68]</a></sup>, with realized volatility 31.63% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 69\" href=\"#source-69\">[69]</a></sup> and spread -1.67 vol points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 70\" href=\"#source-70\">[70]</a></sup>. HYPE therefore combines falling spot, lower forward 1W ATM IV and a negative comparison with trailing realized volatility; XRP combines falling spot with higher forward 1W ATM IV and a positive spread. These spreads compare different periods and establish neither forecasts nor trading value. The broader market offers a similarly qualified backdrop: across the prior-to-current matched market sessions, SPX changed by +0.31% <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 71\" href=\"#source-71\">[71]</a></sup> and VIX by -2.54 index points <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 72\" href=\"#source-72\">[72]</a></sup>. That session's equity relief provides context for HYPE's 1W and 1M ATM easing, but XRP's opposite matched-tenor moves prevent a blanket relief interpretation. <a href=\"https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-price-under-75k-crypto-markets-tech-stock\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Cointelegraph</a> likewise reported crypto weakness despite a technology-stock rebound; its rates explanation remains attributed commentary and does not establish the cause of this altcoin divergence.</p><div class=\"consolidated-limits\"><h3>Qualifications and limits</h3><ul><li>Native crypto daily endpoints and the prior-to-current equity sessions use different trading clocks; the equity close precedes the crypto endpoint. Historical ranks describe selected observed samples with gaps, not population rarity or joint significance.</li><li>Trailing realized volatility is recomputed from canonical minute returns over the common trailing weekly window, with complete observed coverage and an annualized calendar-day basis. Forward 1W IV covers a different period, so its spread to trailing volatility is descriptive.</li><li>Options quotes and coincident headlines do not identify order flow, positioning or causation. Relative butterfly premiums do not establish absolute wing-IV changes.</li></ul></div></section><section class=\"section market-scorecard\"><h2>Verified market snapshot</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Current levels and changes over each recorded native interval. Only receipt-matched quotes are shown; an em dash marks a missing matching quote.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset · tenor</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV</th><th scope=\"col\">ATM IV change</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25</th><th scope=\"col\">RR25 change</th><th scope=\"col\">BF25 change</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">AVAX · 1W</th><td>65.34 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup></td><td>-2.32 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 10\" href=\"#source-10\">[10]</a></sup></td><td>-0.23 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 28\" href=\"#source-28\">[28]</a></sup></td><td>0.47 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 27\" href=\"#source-27\">[27]</a></sup></td><td>-0.08 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 47\" href=\"#source-47\">[47]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">AVAX · 2W</th><td>65.82 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 73\" href=\"#source-73\">[73]</a></sup></td><td>-1.77 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 74\" href=\"#source-74\">[74]</a></sup></td><td>1.23 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 75\" href=\"#source-75\">[75]</a></sup></td><td>-0.05 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 76\" href=\"#source-76\">[76]</a></sup></td><td>-0.08 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 49\" href=\"#source-49\">[49]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">AVAX · 1M</th><td>65.38 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup></td><td>-2.36 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 12\" href=\"#source-12\">[12]</a></sup></td><td>0.02 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 30\" href=\"#source-30\">[30]</a></sup></td><td>-2.33 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 29\" href=\"#source-29\">[29]</a></sup></td><td>-0.15 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 51\" href=\"#source-51\">[51]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">HYPE · 1W</th><td>57.51 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup></td><td>-8.96 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 1\" href=\"#source-1\">[1]</a></sup></td><td>0.10 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 22\" href=\"#source-22\">[22]</a></sup></td><td>-0.25 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 21\" href=\"#source-21\">[21]</a></sup></td><td>0.26 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">HYPE · 2W</th><td>56.08 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 77\" href=\"#source-77\">[77]</a></sup></td><td>-7.64 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 5\" href=\"#source-5\">[5]</a></sup></td><td>-0.45 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 78\" href=\"#source-78\">[78]</a></sup></td><td>-1.71 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 79\" href=\"#source-79\">[79]</a></sup></td><td>0.08 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 37\" href=\"#source-37\">[37]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">HYPE · 1M</th><td>54.26 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup></td><td>-6.39 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 3\" href=\"#source-3\">[3]</a></sup></td><td>-0.10 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 20\" href=\"#source-20\">[20]</a></sup></td><td>-2.57 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 19\" href=\"#source-19\">[19]</a></sup></td><td>-0.20 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 39\" href=\"#source-39\">[39]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 1W</th><td>29.96 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup></td><td>0.47 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup></td><td>0.75 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 32\" href=\"#source-32\">[32]</a></sup></td><td>-1.42 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 31\" href=\"#source-31\">[31]</a></sup></td><td>0.29 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 53\" href=\"#source-53\">[53]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 2W</th><td>28.62 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 80\" href=\"#source-80\">[80]</a></sup></td><td>-0.14 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 81\" href=\"#source-81\">[81]</a></sup></td><td>1.63 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 82\" href=\"#source-82\">[82]</a></sup></td><td>0.29 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 83\" href=\"#source-83\">[83]</a></sup></td><td>0.18 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 55\" href=\"#source-55\">[55]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 1M</th><td>27.91 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup></td><td>0.19 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 16\" href=\"#source-16\">[16]</a></sup></td><td>1.00 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 34\" href=\"#source-34\">[34]</a></sup></td><td>-0.13 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 33\" href=\"#source-33\">[33]</a></sup></td><td>0.10 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 57\" href=\"#source-57\">[57]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 3M</th><td>27.38 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 84\" href=\"#source-84\">[84]</a></sup></td><td>-0.06 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 85\" href=\"#source-85\">[85]</a></sup></td><td>0.81 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 86\" href=\"#source-86\">[86]</a></sup></td><td>-0.11 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 87\" href=\"#source-87\">[87]</a></sup></td><td>0.00 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 88\" href=\"#source-88\">[88]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 1W</th><td>56.33 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup></td><td>2.12 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup></td><td>-2.04 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 24\" href=\"#source-24\">[24]</a></sup></td><td>2.25 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 23\" href=\"#source-23\">[23]</a></sup></td><td>-0.02 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 41\" href=\"#source-41\">[41]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 2W</th><td>55.04 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 89\" href=\"#source-89\">[89]</a></sup></td><td>1.53 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 90\" href=\"#source-90\">[90]</a></sup></td><td>-1.68 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 91\" href=\"#source-91\">[91]</a></sup></td><td>1.21 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 92\" href=\"#source-92\">[92]</a></sup></td><td>0.08 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 43\" href=\"#source-43\">[43]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 1M</th><td>53.39 %<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup></td><td>2.02 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup></td><td>-1.90 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 26\" href=\"#source-26\">[26]</a></sup></td><td>1.26 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 25\" href=\"#source-25\">[25]</a></sup></td><td>-0.31 vol pts<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 45\" href=\"#source-45\">[45]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><section class=\"section curve-regimes\"><h2>Weekly versus monthly curve</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Matched native endpoints; inverted means monthly ATM IV is below weekly ATM IV. Regimes compare verified levels; no numerical slope is inferred.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Asset</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Prior 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1W</th><th scope=\"col\">Current 1M</th><th scope=\"col\">Curve regime</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP</th><td>54.21 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 93\" href=\"#source-93\">[93]</a></sup></td><td>51.37 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 94\" href=\"#source-94\">[94]</a></sup></td><td>56.33 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup></td><td>53.39 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">HYPE</th><td>66.47 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 95\" href=\"#source-95\">[95]</a></sup></td><td>60.65 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 96\" href=\"#source-96\">[96]</a></sup></td><td>57.51 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 2\" href=\"#source-2\">[2]</a></sup></td><td>54.26 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 4\" href=\"#source-4\">[4]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">AVAX</th><td>67.66 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 97\" href=\"#source-97\">[97]</a></sup></td><td>67.74 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 98\" href=\"#source-98\">[98]</a></sup></td><td>65.34 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 11\" href=\"#source-11\">[11]</a></sup></td><td>65.38 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 13\" href=\"#source-13\">[13]</a></sup></td><td>Remained upward sloping</td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX</th><td>29.49 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 99\" href=\"#source-99\">[99]</a></sup></td><td>27.72 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 100\" href=\"#source-100\">[100]</a></sup></td><td>29.96 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup></td><td>27.91 % <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 17\" href=\"#source-17\">[17]</a></sup></td><td>Remained inverted</td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"section curve-history\"><summary>Recent ATM curve history</summary><p>One-month minus one-week at-the-money implied volatility. Negative values mean an inverted curve. Each row retains its native observation time; missing days are not filled.</p><table><thead><tr><th>Asset</th><th>Native observation (UTC)</th><th>1M minus 1W ATM IV</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>XRP</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.94 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 101\" href=\"#source-101\">[101]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>XRP</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.84 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 102\" href=\"#source-102\">[102]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>XRP</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-5.57 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 103\" href=\"#source-103\">[103]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>XRP</td><td>2026-11-04T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+1.66 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 104\" href=\"#source-104\">[104]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>HYPE</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-3.25 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 105\" href=\"#source-105\">[105]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>HYPE</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-5.82 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 106\" href=\"#source-106\">[106]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>HYPE</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.79 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 107\" href=\"#source-107\">[107]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>HYPE</td><td>2026-11-04T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-4.13 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 108\" href=\"#source-108\">[108]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>AVAX</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.04 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 109\" href=\"#source-109\">[109]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>AVAX</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.08 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 110\" href=\"#source-110\">[110]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>AVAX</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+2.25 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 111\" href=\"#source-111\">[111]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>AVAX</td><td>2026-11-04T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>+0.54 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 112\" href=\"#source-112\">[112]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>TRX</td><td>2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-2.05 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 113\" href=\"#source-113\">[113]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>TRX</td><td>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-1.77 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 114\" href=\"#source-114\">[114]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>TRX</td><td>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-3.86 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 115\" href=\"#source-115\">[115]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><td>TRX</td><td>2026-11-04T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>-3.72 vol pts <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 116\" href=\"#source-116\">[116]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></details><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>1W ATM IV move comparison</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"1W ATM IV move comparison\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>1W ATM IV move comparison</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-9.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">9.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"199.38\" y=\"265\">XRP</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"24.73\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"175.38\" y=\"108.27\"><title>XRP · Change: 2.12 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"199.38\" y=\"104.27\">2.12</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"348.12\" y=\"265\">HYPE</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"104.53\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"324.12\" y=\"133.00\"><title>HYPE · Change: -8.96 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"348.12\" y=\"250.53\">-8.96</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"496.88\" y=\"265\">AVAX</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"27.07\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"472.88\" y=\"133.00\"><title>AVAX · Change: -2.32 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"496.88\" y=\"173.07\">-2.32</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"645.62\" y=\"265\">TRX</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"5.48\" width=\"48.00\" x=\"621.62\" y=\"127.52\"><title>TRX · Change: 0.47 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"645.62\" y=\"123.52\">0.47</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>Change</span>. Common recorded native interval and eligible cohort only.</figcaption></figure></section><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>HYPE: size of daily changes in the 1-month at-the-money implied volatility</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"HYPE: size of daily changes in the 1-month at-the-money implied volatility ranked observed sample\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>HYPE: size of daily changes in the 1-month at-the-money implied volatility</title><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">6.39 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"84.50\">4.80 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">3.22 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"189.50\">1.63 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">0.05 vol pts</text><circle cx=\"125.00\" cy=\"238.00\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-18T17:31:00+00:00: 0.05 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"145.52\" cy=\"237.01\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-26T17:31:00+00:00: 0.08 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"166.03\" cy=\"236.68\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-13T17:31:00+00:00: 0.09 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"186.55\" cy=\"234.36\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-12T17:31:00+00:00: 0.16 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"207.07\" cy=\"229.72\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-31T17:31:00+00:00: 0.30 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"227.59\" cy=\"228.06\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-28T17:31:00+00:00: 0.35 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"248.10\" cy=\"226.74\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-30T17:31:00+00:00: 0.39 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"268.62\" cy=\"226.08\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-24T17:31:00+00:00: 0.41 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"289.14\" cy=\"224.09\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-23T17:31:00+00:00: 0.47 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"309.66\" cy=\"222.43\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-19T17:31:00+00:00: 0.52 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"330.17\" cy=\"221.11\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-22T17:31:00+00:00: 0.56 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"350.69\" cy=\"213.16\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-14T17:31:00+00:00: 0.80 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"371.21\" cy=\"207.86\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-16T17:31:00+00:00: 0.96 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"391.72\" cy=\"205.87\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-08T17:31:00+00:00: 1.02 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"412.24\" cy=\"205.21\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-20T17:31:00+00:00: 1.04 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"432.76\" cy=\"192.95\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-15T17:31:00+00:00: 1.41 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"453.28\" cy=\"189.64\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-27T17:31:00+00:00: 1.51 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"473.79\" cy=\"189.31\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-25T17:31:00+00:00: 1.52 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"494.31\" cy=\"186.00\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-17T17:31:00+00:00: 1.62 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"514.83\" cy=\"185.33\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-10T17:31:00+00:00: 1.64 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"535.34\" cy=\"184.01\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-09T17:31:00+00:00: 1.68 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"555.86\" cy=\"177.38\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-21T17:31:00+00:00: 1.88 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"576.38\" cy=\"174.40\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-11T17:31:00+00:00: 1.97 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"596.90\" cy=\"166.45\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-03T17:31:00+00:00: 2.21 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"617.41\" cy=\"163.80\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00: 2.29 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"637.93\" cy=\"149.56\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-01T17:31:00+00:00: 2.72 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"658.45\" cy=\"149.56\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-02T17:31:00+00:00: 2.72 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"678.97\" cy=\"146.91\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-10-29T17:31:00+00:00: 2.80 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"699.48\" cy=\"134.99\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-04T17:31:00+00:00: 3.16 vol pts</title></circle><circle cx=\"720.00\" cy=\"95.57\" fill=\"#315f59\" r=\"3\"><title>2026-11-05T17:31:00+00:00: 4.35 vol pts</title></circle><circle class=\"current-statistic\" cx=\"720.00\" cy=\"28.00\" fill=\"#ac6353\" r=\"6\"><title>Current statistic: 6.39 vol pts</title></circle><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.5\" y=\"265\">Sample rank (ordered by value)</text></svg></div><figcaption>Observed samples in teal. Current statistic: 6.39 vol pts (red). Change sizes ignore direction: increases and decreases of the same size are ranked together.  n=30; 2026-10-08 to 2026-11-06; source-selected observed sample, no fill.</figcaption></figure></section><p><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup></p><section class=\"section chart-section thesis-figure\"><h2>BF25 change by tenor</h2><figure><div aria-label=\"Scrollable figure\" class=\"chart-scroll\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg aria-label=\"BF25 change by tenor\" role=\"img\" viewbox=\"0 0 760 285\"><title>BF25 change by tenor</title><line stroke=\"#333\" x1=\"125\" x2=\"720\" y1=\"133.0\" y2=\"133.0\"></line><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"242.00\">-0.40 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"137.00\">0.00 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"117\" y=\"32.00\">0.40 vol pts</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"265\">1W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"5.25\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"149.79\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · XRP · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.02 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"168.39\" y=\"151.25\">-0.02</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"68.25\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"186.98\" y=\"64.75\"><title>1W · HYPE · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.26 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"205.57\" y=\"60.75\">0.26</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"21.00\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"224.17\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1W · AVAX · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.08 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"242.76\" y=\"167.00\">-0.08</text><rect fill=\"#ac6353\" height=\"76.12\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"261.35\" y=\"56.88\"><title>1W · TRX · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.29 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"279.95\" y=\"52.88\">0.29</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"265\">2W</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"21.00\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"348.12\" y=\"112.00\"><title>2W · XRP · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.08 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"366.72\" y=\"108.00\">0.08</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"21.00\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"385.31\" y=\"112.00\"><title>2W · HYPE · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.08 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"403.91\" y=\"108.00\">0.08</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"21.00\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"422.50\" y=\"133.00\"><title>2W · AVAX · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.08 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"441.09\" y=\"167.00\">-0.08</text><rect fill=\"#ac6353\" height=\"47.25\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"459.69\" y=\"85.75\"><title>2W · TRX · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.18 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"478.28\" y=\"81.75\">0.18</text><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"265\">1M</text><rect fill=\"#315f59\" height=\"81.38\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"546.46\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · XRP · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.31 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"565.05\" y=\"227.38\">-0.31</text><rect fill=\"#9a8260\" height=\"52.50\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"583.65\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · HYPE · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.20 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"602.24\" y=\"198.50\">-0.20</text><rect fill=\"#74628e\" height=\"39.38\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"620.83\" y=\"133.00\"><title>1M · AVAX · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: -0.15 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"639.43\" y=\"185.38\">-0.15</text><rect fill=\"#ac6353\" height=\"26.25\" width=\"37.19\" x=\"658.02\" y=\"106.75\"><title>1M · TRX · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h: 0.10 vol pts</title></rect><text class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"676.61\" y=\"102.75\">0.10</text></svg></div><figcaption><span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#315f59\"></i>XRP · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#9a8260\"></i>HYPE · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#74628e\"></i>AVAX · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span> · <span><i class=\"series-key\" style=\"background:#ac6353\"></i>TRX · 06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC · 24h</span>. Own-run receipt-matched changes; missing or ambiguous points remain gaps.</figcaption></figure></section><p class=\"source-note\">Figure evidence: <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 41\" href=\"#source-41\">[41]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 43\" href=\"#source-43\">[43]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 45\" href=\"#source-45\">[45]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 35\" href=\"#source-35\">[35]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 37\" href=\"#source-37\">[37]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 39\" href=\"#source-39\">[39]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 47\" href=\"#source-47\">[47]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 49\" href=\"#source-49\">[49]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 51\" href=\"#source-51\">[51]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 53\" href=\"#source-53\">[53]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 55\" href=\"#source-55\">[55]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 57\" href=\"#source-57\">[57]</a></sup></p><section class=\"section research-panel\"><h2>What to watch next</h2><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><caption>Each monitor describes a verified component or central counterexample of the selected story; observation tests, not a joint forecast.</caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Story component</th><th scope=\"col\">Next snapshot</th><th scope=\"col\">Observed condition</th><th scope=\"col\">Comparison period</th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 1W ATM implied volatility</th><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above 56.33 % (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below 56.33 % and strictly above 54.21 %.<br/>Prior level: at or below 54.21 % (prior level).</td><td>06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 7\" href=\"#source-7\">[7]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 93\" href=\"#source-93\">[93]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 6\" href=\"#source-6\">[6]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">TRX · 1W ATM implied volatility</th><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above 29.96 % (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below 29.96 % and strictly above 29.49 %.<br/>Prior level: at or below 29.49 % (prior level).</td><td>06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 15\" href=\"#source-15\">[15]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 99\" href=\"#source-99\">[99]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 14\" href=\"#source-14\">[14]</a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">XRP · 1M ATM implied volatility</th><td>08 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td>Current level: at or above 53.39 % (current level).<br/>Between current and prior: strictly below 53.39 % and strictly above 51.37 %.<br/>Prior level: at or below 51.37 % (prior level).</td><td>06 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC → 07 Nov 2026 · 17:31 UTC</td><td><sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 9\" href=\"#source-9\">[9]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 94\" href=\"#source-94\">[94]</a></sup> <sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 8\" href=\"#source-8\">[8]</a></sup></td></tr></tbody></table></div></section><details class=\"appendix sampling-methodology\"><summary>Historical sampling methodology</summary><p>Each rank describes its supplied population. Exact consecutive daily endpoints use fixed UTC anchors and 24 elapsed hours, including across daylight-saving changes. Missing pairs are omitted without interpolation; their absence does not establish why the provider omitted them. Full captured history is bounded by this run. Different captures and windows can have different denominators even when their ranks agree.</p><div class=\"table-wrap\"><table><thead><tr><th>Measure</th><th>Population</th><th>Observed pairs or levels</th><th>Requested window</th><th>Excluded pair or level endpoints</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>HYPE 1M.atmIv.absolute_move<sup class=\"source-mark\"><a aria-label=\"Source 18\" href=\"#source-18\">[18]</a></sup></td><td>rolling 30 calendar days (UTC)</td><td>30</td><td>2026-10-07T17:31:00+00:00 to 2026-11-06T17:31:00+00:00</td><td>None</td></tr></tbody></table></div></details><section class=\"section news-sources\"><h2>Source reporting</h2><ul><li><a href=\"https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-price-under-75k-crypto-markets-tech-stock\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Bitcoin price dips under $75K as crypto markets miss tech-stock rebound</a> · Published 2026-11-06T17:49:33+00:00</li><li><a href=\"https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-price-under-75k-crypto-markets-tech-stock\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Bitcoin price dips under $75K as crypto markets miss tech-stock rebound</a> · Published 2026-11-06T17:49:33+00:00</li></ul></section><p class=\"clock-note bf-definition\">BF25 = (25-delta call IV + 25-delta put IV) / 2 − ATM IV. Levels and changes are measured in volatility points.</p><p>Retrospective report: native market dates are distinct from later retrieval and run clocks. Later capture does not establish availability at the original cutoff.</p><details class=\"section source-notes\"><summary>Source notes</summary><article id=\"source-1\"><h3>[1] HYPE 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>-8.96 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-2\"><h3>[2] HYPE 1W ATM IV</h3><p>57.51 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-3\"><h3>[3] HYPE 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>-6.39 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-4\"><h3>[4] HYPE 1M ATM IV</h3><p>54.26 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-5\"><h3>[5] HYPE 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>-7.64 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-6\"><h3>[6] XRP 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>2.12 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-7\"><h3>[7] XRP 1W ATM IV</h3><p>56.33 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-8\"><h3>[8] XRP 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>2.02 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-9\"><h3>[9] XRP 1M ATM IV</h3><p>53.39 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-10\"><h3>[10] AVAX 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>-2.32 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-11\"><h3>[11] AVAX 1W ATM IV</h3><p>65.34 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-12\"><h3>[12] AVAX 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>-2.36 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-13\"><h3>[13] AVAX 1M ATM IV</h3><p>65.38 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-14\"><h3>[14] TRX 1W ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.47 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-15\"><h3>[15] TRX 1W ATM IV</h3><p>29.96 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-16\"><h3>[16] TRX 1M ATM IV difference</h3><p>0.19 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-17\"><h3>[17] TRX 1M ATM IV</h3><p>27.91 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-18\"><h3>[18] HYPE 1M ATM IV absolute move percentile</h3><p>100.00 percentile</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-19\"><h3>[19] HYPE 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>-2.57 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-20\"><h3>[20] HYPE 1M RR25</h3><p>-0.10 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-21\"><h3>[21] HYPE 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.25 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-22\"><h3>[22] HYPE 1W RR25</h3><p>0.10 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-23\"><h3>[23] XRP 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>2.25 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-24\"><h3>[24] XRP 1W RR25</h3><p>-2.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-25\"><h3>[25] XRP 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>1.26 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-26\"><h3>[26] XRP 1M RR25</h3><p>-1.90 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-27\"><h3>[27] AVAX 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.47 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-28\"><h3>[28] AVAX 1W RR25</h3><p>-0.23 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-29\"><h3>[29] AVAX 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>-2.33 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-30\"><h3>[30] AVAX 1M RR25</h3><p>0.02 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-31\"><h3>[31] TRX 1W RR25 difference</h3><p>-1.42 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-32\"><h3>[32] TRX 1W RR25</h3><p>0.75 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-33\"><h3>[33] TRX 1M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.13 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-34\"><h3>[34] TRX 1M RR25</h3><p>1.00 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-35\"><h3>[35] HYPE 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.26 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-36\"><h3>[36] HYPE 1W BF25</h3><p>1.84 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-37\"><h3>[37] HYPE 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-38\"><h3>[38] HYPE 2W BF25</h3><p>1.69 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-39\"><h3>[39] HYPE 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.20 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-40\"><h3>[40] HYPE 1M BF25</h3><p>1.54 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-41\"><h3>[41] XRP 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.02 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-42\"><h3>[42] XRP 1W BF25</h3><p>2.21 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-43\"><h3>[43] XRP 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-44\"><h3>[44] XRP 2W BF25</h3><p>2.16 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-45\"><h3>[45] XRP 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.31 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-46\"><h3>[46] XRP 1M BF25</h3><p>1.90 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-47\"><h3>[47] AVAX 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-48\"><h3>[48] AVAX 1W BF25</h3><p>1.82 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-49\"><h3>[49] AVAX 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-50\"><h3>[50] AVAX 2W BF25</h3><p>1.77 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-51\"><h3>[51] AVAX 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>-0.15 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-52\"><h3>[52] AVAX 1M BF25</h3><p>1.79 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-53\"><h3>[53] TRX 1W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.29 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-54\"><h3>[54] TRX 1W BF25</h3><p>1.70 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-55\"><h3>[55] TRX 2W BF25 difference</h3><p>0.18 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-56\"><h3>[56] TRX 2W BF25</h3><p>1.65 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-57\"><h3>[57] TRX 1M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.10 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-58\"><h3>[58] TRX 1M BF25</h3><p>1.61 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-59\"><h3>[59] XRP spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-2.55 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-60\"><h3>[60] XRP rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>54.73 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-61\"><h3>[61] XRP 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>1.60 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-62\"><h3>[62] HYPE spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-1.14 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-63\"><h3>[63] HYPE rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>75.52 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-64\"><h3>[64] HYPE 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>-18.01 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-65\"><h3>[65] AVAX spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>-2.07 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-66\"><h3>[66] AVAX rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>66.54 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-67\"><h3>[67] AVAX 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>-1.20 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-68\"><h3>[68] TRX spotPrice percentage change</h3><p>0.32 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-69\"><h3>[69] TRX rv7d.recomputed</h3><p>31.63 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-70\"><h3>[70] TRX 1W atmIv-rv7d spread</h3><p>-1.67 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-71\"><h3>[71] SPX close percentage change</h3><p>0.31 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:47.776998+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-72\"><h3>[72] VIX close difference</h3><p>-2.54 index points</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:47.776998+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-73\"><h3>[73] AVAX 2W ATM IV</h3><p>65.82 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-74\"><h3>[74] AVAX 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>-1.77 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-75\"><h3>[75] AVAX 2W RR25</h3><p>1.23 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-76\"><h3>[76] AVAX 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.05 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-77\"><h3>[77] HYPE 2W ATM IV</h3><p>56.08 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-78\"><h3>[78] HYPE 2W RR25</h3><p>-0.45 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-79\"><h3>[79] HYPE 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>-1.71 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-80\"><h3>[80] TRX 2W ATM IV</h3><p>28.62 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-81\"><h3>[81] TRX 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>-0.14 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-82\"><h3>[82] TRX 2W RR25</h3><p>1.63 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-83\"><h3>[83] TRX 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>0.29 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-84\"><h3>[84] TRX 3M ATM IV</h3><p>27.38 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-85\"><h3>[85] TRX 3M ATM IV difference</h3><p>-0.06 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-86\"><h3>[86] TRX 3M RR25</h3><p>0.81 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-87\"><h3>[87] TRX 3M RR25 difference</h3><p>-0.11 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-88\"><h3>[88] TRX 3M BF25 difference</h3><p>0.00 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-89\"><h3>[89] XRP 2W ATM IV</h3><p>55.04 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-90\"><h3>[90] XRP 2W ATM IV difference</h3><p>1.53 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-91\"><h3>[91] XRP 2W RR25</h3><p>-1.68 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-92\"><h3>[92] XRP 2W RR25 difference</h3><p>1.21 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-93\"><h3>[93] XRP 1W ATM IV</h3><p>54.21 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-94\"><h3>[94] XRP 1M ATM IV</h3><p>51.37 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-95\"><h3>[95] HYPE 1W ATM IV</h3><p>66.47 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-96\"><h3>[96] HYPE 1M ATM IV</h3><p>60.65 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-97\"><h3>[97] AVAX 1W ATM IV</h3><p>67.66 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-98\"><h3>[98] AVAX 1M ATM IV</h3><p>67.74 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-99\"><h3>[99] TRX 1W ATM IV</h3><p>29.49 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-100\"><h3>[100] TRX 1M ATM IV</h3><p>27.72 %</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-101\"><h3>[101] XRP 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.94 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-102\"><h3>[102] XRP 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.84 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-103\"><h3>[103] XRP 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-5.57 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-104\"><h3>[104] XRP 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>1.66 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-105\"><h3>[105] HYPE 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-3.25 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-106\"><h3>[106] HYPE 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-5.82 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-107\"><h3>[107] HYPE 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.79 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-108\"><h3>[108] HYPE 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-4.13 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-109\"><h3>[109] AVAX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.04 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-110\"><h3>[110] AVAX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.08 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-111\"><h3>[111] AVAX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>2.25 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-112\"><h3>[112] AVAX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>0.54 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-113\"><h3>[113] TRX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-2.05 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-114\"><h3>[114] TRX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-1.77 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-115\"><h3>[115] TRX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-3.86 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article><article id=\"source-116\"><h3>[116] TRX 1M atmIv-1W.atmIv spread</h3><p>-3.72 vol pts</p><p>Source type: calculation</p><p>Observed: 2026-11-07T18:11:49.388450+00:00</p></article></details></main></body></html>","provenance":{"canonicalReportSha256":"7c515adc87c00bc0ee8930e848e14a8c1afb50bc3382056bcbc3a1e4d80e978f","presentationSha256":"b8a60612343077090f6c7d084196d34fb4520e353dc09649b62ef42b5f535a01","reviewedReportSha256":"7c515adc87c00bc0ee8930e848e14a8c1afb50bc3382056bcbc3a1e4d80e978f","sourceHtmlSha256":"1e8a093b4e79c1eb6a362aff52f47d45924f3c26267b7520fc290ca84fd73a2d","sourceJournalSha256":"00aafaaf3ffe93b2ac774eecbf0165c1fe65d92c883d3454c91195608987d0e4"},"reportDate":"2026-11-07","schemaVersion":1,"snapshotUtc":"2026-11-07T17:31:00+00:00","summary":"HYPE's ATM volatility decline contrasts with XRP's increase at both 1W and 1M, while AVAX eases and TRX barely changes. This is differentiated repricing across altcoins, not uniform volatility relief: HYPE's 1W premium over 1M persists, and its 1M directional skew turns marginally negative despite lower ATM volatility.","title":"HYPE ATM volatility eases as XRP reprices higher"}