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options show higher 1w RR25 skew","executiveSummary":"The 1W RR25 skew change for ETH was +2.32 volatility points over the stored comparison.","evidenceIds":["rr25","largest-standard-tenor","front-atm","realised-vol"],"newsSummary":"The Defiant reported in a headline excerpt (numerical details omitted): “Mercado Bitcoin Breach Wallet Sends […] ETH Onward”. This is background reporting; a direct link to the options observation is not established.","marketContextSummary":"","marketContext":[],"newsEvidenceIds":["ecf8fbcf-1c34-491b-bc98-c9f82c9354db"],"takeaways":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 17:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 50.98%, broadly in line with seven-day realised volatility of 50.59%; 24-hour realised volatility was 44.25% and 30-day realised volatility was 47.18%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -2.08 volatility points to 49.84% across 1W, 2W and 1M."},{"id":"back-atm","label":"Long end","text":"Long-dated ATM IV decreased, averaging -0.33 volatility points to 52.00% across 6M and 1Y."},{"id":"rr25","label":"Skew","text":"RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +1.46 volatility points to -2.92% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"bf25","label":"Convexity","text":"BF25 was broadly unchanged, averaging -0.07 volatility points to 1.52% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"largest-standard-tenor","label":"Largest standard-tenor move","text":"The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was -2.64 volatility points at 1W, to 50.98%.","tenor":"1W","value":-2.64},{"id":"spot-index-24h","label":"24h spot-index return","text":"ETH spot-index return was +1.84% over 24 hours.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.24h"},{"id":"spot-index-7d","label":"7d spot-index return","text":"ETH spot-index return was -2.38% over seven days.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.7d"},{"id":"eth-1m-minus-1w-atm-regime-change","label":"1M-minus-1W ATM IV regime","text":"ETH 1M-minus-1W ATM IV slope changed from -2.95 to -1.84 volatility points (+1.11 points). 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This is background reporting; a direct link to the options observation is not established.","macro":{"summary":"No qualifying macro event was retained for this report window.","events":[]},"crypto":{"summary":"Selected canonical sources are retained below as context.","events":[{"eventId":"ecf8fbcf-1c34-491b-bc98-c9f82c9354db","title":"Mercado Bitcoin Breach Wallet Sends 2,800 ETH Onward","publisher":"The Defiant","url":"https://thedefiant.io/news/hacks/mercado-bitcoin-breach-wallet-sends-2-800-eth-onward","publishedAt":"2026-11-02T19:35:40+00:00"}]}}]},"newsStatus":"context","headline":"Ether options show higher 1w RR25 skew","standfirst":"ETH 1W RR25 skew is -3.87 percent, compared with -6.19 percent at the prior cutoff.","leadChart":{"asset":"ETH","metric":"rr25","eventType":"rr25","label":"1W","current":-3.87,"previous":-6.19,"change":2.32,"currentSnapshotAt":"2026-11-03T17:31:00+00:00","previousSnapshotAt":"2026-11-02T17:31:00+00:00","evidenceRef":"summaryMetrics.largestRr25Move","provenance":{"kind":"report-event","candidateId":"eth-largestRr25Move","candidateSource":"summaryMetrics.largestRr25Move","eventRef":"events[type=rr25,label=1W]","valuesRef":"tenors[tenor=1W].rr25"},"event":{"type":"rr25","title":"Largest standard-tenor RR25 move","label":"1W","value":2.32}},"crossAssetMarketContext":{"schemaVersion":1,"source":"market-context-mcp","status":"available","asset":"ETH","sessionDate":"2026-11-02","asOfTimestamp":"2026-11-02T21:00:00+00:00","summary":"Previous session (latest completed): ETH cross-asset context for 2026-11-02 The crypto-minus-SPX realised-volatility spread was 28.35 points, at the 18.9 percentile across 265 prior observations. 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