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7dRvPoints":-1.38,"oneWeekIvMinus24hRvPoints":-0.5,"oneWeekIvMinus30dRvPoints":1.31},"fitQuality":{"currentObjective":0.73102383,"previousObjective":0.55041923,"currentLiveError":258.37902407,"previousLiveError":76.79551562},"coverage":{"currentListedExpiries":12,"previousListedExpiries":12,"comparedListedExpiries":11,"addedExpiries":["27OCT26"],"removedExpiries":["23OCT26"],"fixedTenors":["1W","2W","1M","3M","6M","9M"],"suppressedFixedTenors":["1Y"]},"commentary":{"source":"codex","model":"gpt-6.1-sol","headline":"Ether options show lower 1w ATM IV","executiveSummary":"The 1W ATM IV change for ETH was -3.30 volatility points over the stored comparison.\n\nNo news item was selected for this report window.","evidenceIds":["largest-standard-tenor","realised-vol","front-atm","back-atm","eth-1m-minus-1w-atm-regime-change"],"newsSummary":"No eligible news context was selected.","marketContextSummary":"","marketContext":[],"newsEvidenceIds":[],"takeaways":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 16:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 45.27%, 1.38 volatility points below seven-day realised volatility of 46.65%; 24-hour realised volatility was 45.77% and 30-day realised volatility was 43.96%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -1.81 volatility points to 47.47% across 1W, 2W and 1M."},{"id":"back-atm","label":"Long end","text":"Long-dated ATM IV decreased, averaging -0.13 volatility points to 51.98% across 6M and 1Y."},{"id":"rr25","label":"Skew","text":"RR25 was broadly unchanged, averaging +0.01 volatility points to -2.65% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"bf25","label":"Convexity","text":"BF25 was broadly unchanged, averaging -0.10 volatility points to 3.06% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"largest-standard-tenor","label":"Largest standard-tenor move","text":"The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was -3.30 volatility points at 1W, to 45.27%.","tenor":"1W","value":-3.3},{"id":"spot-index-24h","label":"24h spot-index return","text":"ETH spot-index return was +0.60% over 24 hours.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.24h"},{"id":"spot-index-7d","label":"7d spot-index return","text":"ETH spot-index return was -1.53% over seven days.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.7d"},{"id":"eth-1m-minus-1w-atm-regime-change","label":"1M-minus-1W ATM IV regime","text":"ETH 1M-minus-1W ATM IV slope changed from +0.52 to +3.18 volatility points (+2.66 points). 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target tenor falls outside the listed-expiry range at one or both snapshots; extrapolated values are suppressed.\"}],\"window_hours\":24.0}}"},"events":[]},"newsContext":{"outcome":"No sufficiently relevant context identified","highest_causal_confidence":"low","section_heading":"No sufficiently relevant context identified","events":[],"coverage_status":"healthy","coverage_basis":"monitored-source-search","summary":"No qualifying context was found in the monitored news sources for this reporting window."},"marketRead":{"text":"1W ATM IV fell 3.30 volatility points to 45.27%, a routine move at the 69th percentile among 26 comparable historical observations. At the cutoff, realised volatility measured 45.77% over 24 hours, 46.65% over seven days and 43.96% over 30 days. Front-end ATM IV averaged 47.47%, -1.81 points from the prior snapshot, while the long end averaged 51.98%, -0.13 points. 1W RR25 moved 0.50 volatility points toward puts to -4.02%, leaving puts richer than calls. 1M BF25 fell 0.24 volatility points to 3.05%. 24-hour spot-index: +0.60%; nearest eligible forward 26OCT26: +0.42% to $2,402.17. No sufficiently relevant context identified; the strongest assessed relationship has low causal confidence.","wordCount":105,"source":"deterministic structured report facts","evidenceFields":["summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove","realisedVolatility.spotMove24hPercent","realisedVolatility.rv24hPercent","realisedVolatility.rv7dPercent","realisedVolatility.rv30dPercent","summaryMetrics.frontEndAverageAtm","summaryMetrics.longEndAverageAtm","summaryMetrics.largestRr25Move","summaryMetrics.largestBf25Move","summaryMetrics.nearestEligibleForwardMove","newsContext.outcome","newsContext.highest_causal_confidence"]},"facts":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 16:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 45.27%, 1.38 volatility points below seven-day realised volatility of 46.65%; 24-hour realised volatility was 45.77% and 30-day realised volatility was 43.96%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -1.81 volatility points to 47.47% 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