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options show lower 2w RR25 skew","executiveSummary":"The 2W RR25 skew change for ETH was -2.37 volatility points over the stored comparison.\n\nNo news item was selected for this report window.","evidenceIds":["rr25","front-atm","largest-standard-tenor","spot-index-24h","eth-1m-minus-1w-atm-regime-change"],"newsSummary":"No eligible news context was selected.","marketContextSummary":"","marketContext":[],"newsEvidenceIds":[],"takeaways":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 16:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 48.57%, 2.13 volatility points above seven-day realised volatility of 46.44%; 24-hour realised volatility was 46.49% and 30-day realised volatility was 44.05%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +1.42 volatility points to 49.28% across 1W, 2W and 1M."},{"id":"back-atm","label":"Long end","text":"Long-dated ATM IV was broadly unchanged, averaging -0.06 volatility points to 52.11% across 6M and 1Y."},{"id":"rr25","label":"Skew","text":"RR25 moved towards puts, averaging -1.54 volatility points to -2.67% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"bf25","label":"Convexity","text":"BF25 increased, averaging +0.22 volatility points to 3.15% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"largest-standard-tenor","label":"Largest standard-tenor move","text":"The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +2.67 volatility points at 1W, to 48.57%.","tenor":"1W","value":2.67},{"id":"spot-index-24h","label":"24h spot-index return","text":"ETH spot-index return was -4.70% over 24 hours.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.24h"},{"id":"spot-index-7d","label":"7d spot-index return","text":"ETH spot-index return was -1.46% over seven days.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.7d"},{"id":"eth-1m-minus-1w-atm-regime-change","label":"1M-minus-1W ATM IV regime","text":"ETH 1M-minus-1W ATM IV slope changed from +2.66 to +0.52 volatility points (-2.14 points). The slope did not cross zero."},{"id":"eth-1w-rr25-two-day-whipsaw","label":"Two-day RR25 whipsaw","text":"ETH 1W RR25 adjacent daily moves were +2.51 then -2.35 volatility points; gross movement 4.86 versus net +0.16. 0 strict zero crossings. 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target tenor falls outside the listed-expiry range at one or both snapshots; extrapolated values are suppressed.\"}],\"window_hours\":24.0}}"},"events":[]},"newsContext":{"outcome":"No sufficiently relevant context identified","highest_causal_confidence":"low","section_heading":"No sufficiently relevant context identified","events":[],"coverage_status":"healthy","coverage_basis":"monitored-source-search","summary":"No qualifying context was found in the monitored news sources for this reporting window."},"marketRead":{"text":"1W ATM IV rose 2.67 volatility points to 48.57%, a routine move at the 62nd percentile among 47 comparable historical observations. At the cutoff, realised volatility measured 46.49% over 24 hours, 46.44% over seven days and 44.05% over 30 days. Front-end ATM IV averaged 49.28%, +1.42 points from the prior snapshot, while the long end averaged 52.11%, -0.06 points. 2W RR25 moved 2.37 volatility points toward puts to -4.01%, leaving puts richer than calls. 2W BF25 rose 0.33 volatility points to 3.29%. 24-hour spot-index: -4.70%; nearest eligible forward 25OCT26: -4.61% to $2,391.65. No sufficiently relevant context identified; the strongest assessed relationship has low causal confidence.","wordCount":105,"source":"deterministic structured report facts","evidenceFields":["summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove","realisedVolatility.spotMove24hPercent","realisedVolatility.rv24hPercent","realisedVolatility.rv7dPercent","realisedVolatility.rv30dPercent","summaryMetrics.frontEndAverageAtm","summaryMetrics.longEndAverageAtm","summaryMetrics.largestRr25Move","summaryMetrics.largestBf25Move","summaryMetrics.nearestEligibleForwardMove","newsContext.outcome","newsContext.highest_causal_confidence"]},"facts":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 16:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 48.57%, 2.13 volatility points above seven-day realised volatility of 46.44%; 24-hour realised volatility was 46.49% and 30-day realised volatility was 44.05%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +1.42 volatility points to 49.28% across 1W, 2W and 1M."},{"id":"back-atm","label":"Long end","text":"Long-dated ATM IV was broadly unchanged, averaging -0.06 volatility points to 52.11% across 6M and 1Y."},{"id":"rr25","label":"Skew","text":"RR25 moved towards puts, averaging -1.54 volatility points to -2.67% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"bf25","label":"Convexity","text":"BF25 increased, averaging +0.22 volatility points to 3.15% across the six headline tenors."},{"id":"largest-standard-tenor","label":"Largest standard-tenor move","text":"The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +2.67 volatility points at 1W, to 48.57%.","tenor":"1W","value":2.67},{"id":"spot-index-24h","label":"24h spot-index return","text":"ETH spot-index return was -4.70% over 24 hours.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.24h"},{"id":"spot-index-7d","label":"7d spot-index return","text":"ETH spot-index return was -1.46% over seven days.","source":"realisedVolatility.spotReturns.windows.7d"},{"id":"eth-1w-rr25-two-day-whipsaw","label":"Two-day RR25 whipsaw","text":"ETH 1W RR25 adjacent daily moves were +2.51 then -2.35 volatility points; gross movement 4.86 versus net +0.16. 0 strict zero crossings. 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