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Points":-7.0,"oneWeekIvMinus24hRvPoints":0.63,"oneWeekIvMinus30dRvPoints":1.62},"fitQuality":{"currentObjective":0.12412675,"previousObjective":0.12249015,"currentLiveError":51.31313856,"previousLiveError":22.53930468},"coverage":{"currentListedExpiries":11,"previousListedExpiries":11,"comparedListedExpiries":10,"addedExpiries":["25OCT26"],"removedExpiries":["21OCT26"],"fixedTenors":["1W","2W","1M","3M","6M","9M"],"suppressedFixedTenors":["1Y"]},"commentary":{"source":"codex","model":"gpt-6.1-sol","headline":"Ether options show higher 1w RR25 skew","executiveSummary":"The measurement compares 2026-10-20T16:31:00+00:00 with 2026-10-21T16:31:00+00:00.","evidenceIds":["rr25","largest-standard-tenor","spot-index-24h","realised-vol"],"newsSummary":"No eligible news context was selected.","marketContextSummary":"","marketContext":[],"newsEvidenceIds":[],"takeaways":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 16:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 45.90%, 7.00 volatility points below seven-day realised volatility of 52.90%; 24-hour realised volatility was 45.27% and 30-day realised volatility was 44.28%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -0.97 volatility points to 47.86% across 1W, 2W and 1M."},{"id":"back-atm","label":"Long end","text":"Long-dated ATM IV was broadly unchanged, averaging +0.06 volatility points to 52.17% across 6M and 1Y."},{"id":"rr25","label":"Skew","text":"RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +1.33 volatility 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At the cutoff, realised volatility measured 45.27% over 24 hours, 52.90% over seven days and 44.28% over 30 days. Front-end ATM IV averaged 47.86%, -0.97 points from the prior snapshot, while the long end averaged 52.17%, +0.06 points. 1W ATM IV fell 1.56 volatility points to 45.90%. 1W BF25 fell 0.29 volatility points to 2.61%. 24-hour spot-index: +2.63%; nearest eligible forward 24OCT26: +2.80% to $2,506.88. No sufficiently relevant context identified; the strongest assessed relationship has low causal confidence.","wordCount":107,"source":"deterministic structured report facts","evidenceFields":["summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove","realisedVolatility.spotMove24hPercent","realisedVolatility.rv24hPercent","realisedVolatility.rv7dPercent","realisedVolatility.rv30dPercent","summaryMetrics.frontEndAverageAtm","summaryMetrics.longEndAverageAtm","summaryMetrics.largestRr25Move","summaryMetrics.largestBf25Move","summaryMetrics.nearestEligibleForwardMove","newsContext.outcome","newsContext.highest_causal_confidence"]},"facts":[{"id":"realised-vol","label":"Implied versus realised","text":"At the 16:31 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 45.90%, 7.00 volatility points below seven-day realised volatility of 52.90%; 24-hour realised volatility was 45.27% and 30-day realised volatility was 44.28%."},{"id":"front-atm","label":"Front end","text":"Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -0.97 volatility points to 47.86% 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