{
  "schemaVersion": 3,
  "reportDate": "2026-09-11",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T16:42:22+00:00",
  "currentSnapshotAt": "2026-09-11T16:29:00+00:00",
  "previousSnapshotAt": "2026-09-10T16:29:00+00:00",
  "sourceSnapshots": {
    "current": {
      "id": 336261,
      "timestamp": "2026-09-11T16:29:00+00:00"
    },
    "previous": {
      "id": 326179,
      "timestamp": "2026-09-10T16:29:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "windowHours": 24.0,
  "currency": "ETH",
  "methodology": {
    "source": "Derivasys proprietary historical SVI surface and canonical ETH index databases",
    "comparison": "Nearest successful surface snapshots approximately 24 hours apart",
    "rrConvention": "25-delta call IV minus 25-delta put IV",
    "bfConvention": "Average 25-delta wing IV minus ATM forward IV",
    "greeks": "Black forward Greeks for a normalized one-ETH ATM-forward call, zero rate, fitted SVI IV",
    "commentary": "Metrics and takeaways are deterministic. Daily headlines and introductions may be model-assisted, constrained to the same stored facts; weekly prose is deterministic.",
    "fixedTenors": "Fixed-tenor measures are published only when listed expiries bracket the target at both comparison snapshots. Targets outside either observable range are suppressed, not extrapolated; headline rankings use only supported tenors.",
    "smileReconstruction": "Listed-expiry smiles are reconstructed from stored SVI total-variance parameters on a fixed log-moneyness grid.",
    "ultraShortExpiry": "Expiries with fewer than 2 full days remaining stay in detailed tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.",
    "causalClaims": "The report describes observed surface and realised-volatility changes only and does not infer unsupported market drivers, flows or forecasts.",
    "realisedVolatility": "Annualised root-mean-square of one-minute canonical ETH-USD index log returns using a 365-day basis; all windows end at the current snapshot."
  },
  "realisedVolatility": {
    "source": "canonical/ETH-USD-INDEX (DERIBIT and OKX indexes)",
    "fallbackObservations": 48,
    "fallbackPolicy": "Missing canonical minutes use the stored Deribit index first, then the stored OKX index; canonical bars always take precedence.",
    "samplingInterval": "1 minute",
    "annualizationBasis": "365 days",
    "windowEnd": "2026-09-11T16:29:00+00:00",
    "spotWindowStart": "2026-09-10T16:29:00+00:00",
    "spotMetric": "spot-index return",
    "spotUnit": "percent",
    "spotMove24hPercent": 5.17,
    "rv24hPercent": 75.6,
    "rv7dPercent": 44.02,
    "rv30dPercent": 53.88,
    "observations": {
      "24h": 1440,
      "7d": 10080,
      "30d": 43200
    },
    "oneWeekAtmIvPercent": 51.6,
    "oneWeekIvMinus7dRvPoints": 7.58,
    "oneWeekIvMinus24hRvPoints": -24.0,
    "oneWeekIvMinus30dRvPoints": -2.28
  },
  "fitQuality": {
    "currentObjective": 0.03879196,
    "previousObjective": 0.03171064,
    "currentLiveError": 16.45329124,
    "previousLiveError": 7.71163716
  },
  "coverage": {
    "currentListedExpiries": 12,
    "previousListedExpiries": 12,
    "comparedListedExpiries": 11,
    "addedExpiries": [
      "15SEP26"
    ],
    "removedExpiries": [
      "11SEP26"
    ],
    "fixedTenors": [
      "1W",
      "2W",
      "1M",
      "3M",
      "6M",
      "9M"
    ],
    "suppressedFixedTenors": [
      "1Y"
    ]
  },
  "commentary": {
    "source": "codex",
    "model": "gpt-5.6-terra",
    "headline": "Ether call-side volatility becomes richer",
    "executiveSummary": "Ether’s one-week RR25 advanced 2.90 volatility points to 2.60%, making the front-end call-rich.",
    "evidenceIds": [
      "rr25",
      "realised-vol",
      "front-atm"
    ],
    "newsSummary": "No qualifying Ether news item was retained for this window.",
    "marketContextSummary": "No retained news evidence supports a direct explanation for Ether’s skew repricing.",
    "marketContext": [],
    "newsEvidenceIds": [],
    "takeaways": [
      {
        "id": "realised-vol",
        "label": "Implied versus realised",
        "text": "At the 16:29 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 51.60%, 7.58 volatility points above seven-day realised volatility of 44.02%; 24-hour realised volatility was 75.60% and 30-day realised volatility was 53.88%."
      },
      {
        "id": "front-atm",
        "label": "Front end",
        "text": "Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +0.56 volatility points to 51.20% across 1W, 2W and 1M."
      },
      {
        "id": "back-atm",
        "label": "Long end",
        "text": "Long-dated ATM IV decreased, averaging -0.15 volatility points to 54.27% across 6M and 1Y."
      },
      {
        "id": "rr25",
        "label": "Skew",
        "text": "RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.76 volatility points to 0.80% across the six headline tenors."
      },
      {
        "id": "bf25",
        "label": "Convexity",
        "text": "BF25 increased, averaging +0.10 volatility points to 3.02% across the six headline tenors."
      },
      {
        "id": "largest-standard-tenor",
        "label": "Largest standard-tenor move",
        "text": "The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +1.60 volatility points at 1W, to 51.60%.",
        "tenor": "1W",
        "value": 1.6
      }
    ]
  },
  "newsEvidence": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "source": "local-news-mcp",
    "collection": {
      "schemaVersion": 1,
      "basis": "monitored-source-search",
      "status": "complete",
      "requiredScopes": [
        "ETH",
        "MACRO"
      ],
      "completedScopes": [
        "ETH",
        "MACRO"
      ],
      "missingScopes": [],
      "queries": [
        {
          "arguments": {
            "assets": [
              "ETH"
            ],
            "content_kinds": [
              "catalyst",
              "reporting"
            ],
            "end": "2026-09-11T16:29:00Z",
            "limit": 50,
            "min_confidence": 0.65,
            "min_importance": 0.5,
            "start": "2026-09-10T16:29:00Z",
            "statuses": [
              "breaking",
              "developing",
              "confirmed"
            ]
          },
          "complete": true,
          "pages": [
            {
              "cursor": null,
              "status": "succeeded",
              "returnedCount": 1,
              "hasMore": false,
              "nextCursor": null,
              "resultSha256": "4a8080657f4a4fac369c78a6b10dbf4cde6ca330eece164dc96bcf47cbdde527"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "arguments": {
            "content_kinds": [
              "catalyst",
              "reporting"
            ],
            "end": "2026-09-11T16:29:00Z",
            "event_types": [
              "macro_release",
              "central_bank_decision",
              "regulatory_action",
              "legislation"
            ],
            "limit": 50,
            "min_confidence": 0.65,
            "min_importance": 0.5,
            "start": "2026-09-10T16:29:00Z",
            "statuses": [
              "breaking",
              "developing",
              "confirmed"
            ]
          },
          "complete": true,
          "pages": [
            {
              "cursor": null,
              "status": "succeeded",
              "returnedCount": 6,
              "hasMore": false,
              "nextCursor": null,
              "resultSha256": "f25fd3cfc58a4009d380278dec3bd4b995e93b05073f2bd1b4d29cd498f6bcff"
            }
          ]
        }
      ],
      "upstreamIngestionHealth": "not-exposed"
    },
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T16:29:00+00:00",
    "window": {
      "startAt": "2026-09-10T16:29:00+00:00",
      "endAt": "2026-09-11T16:29:00+00:00",
      "endExclusive": true
    },
    "coverage": {
      "configuredSources": 1,
      "successfulSources": 1,
      "failedSources": 0
    },
    "provenance": {
      "collectionArchitecture": "central-canonical-event-store",
      "mcpServersQueried": 1,
      "assetScopedQueries": 1,
      "macroQueries": 1,
      "canonicalEventsConsidered": 5,
      "publishersRepresented": 4,
      "discoveryEventsScanned": 12,
      "upstreamFeedCount": null,
      "coverageNote": "The local news MCP exposes canonical events, not its upstream feed inventory; legacy feed-count fields below describe the single MCP endpoint and are not comparable with the former RSS collector."
    },
    "selection": {
      "feedsQueried": 1,
      "publishersQueried": 4,
      "feedEntriesScanned": 6,
      "articlesPassingTimeFilter": 6,
      "articlesPassingSourceRelevanceRules": 5,
      "articlesPassingSelectionThreshold": 0,
      "storiesSelected": 0,
      "selectedPublishers": 0,
      "maximumStories": 3,
      "maximumStoriesPerPublisher": 2,
      "minimumSelectionScore": 0,
      "lockedEventSet": true,
      "qualityThresholds": {
        "minimumConfidence": 0.65,
        "minimumImportance": 0.5,
        "minimumSourceQuality": 0.58,
        "minimumCatalystScore": 0.25
      },
      "eventsSelected": 0
    },
    "items": [],
    "events": []
  },
  "newsContext": {
    "outcome": "No sufficiently relevant context identified",
    "highest_causal_confidence": "low",
    "section_heading": "No sufficiently relevant context identified",
    "events": [],
    "coverage_status": "healthy",
    "coverage_basis": "monitored-source-search",
    "summary": "No qualifying context was found in the monitored news sources for this reporting window."
  },
  "marketRead": {
    "text": "1W RR25 moved 2.90 volatility points toward calls to 2.60%, leaving calls richer than puts; this was a notable move at the 88th percentile among 24 comparable historical observations. At the cutoff, realised volatility measured 75.60% over 24 hours, 44.02% over seven days and 53.88% over 30 days. Front-end ATM IV averaged 51.20%, +0.56 points from the prior snapshot, while the long end averaged 54.27%, -0.15 points. 1W ATM IV rose 1.60 volatility points to 51.60%. 1M BF25 rose 0.43 volatility points to 2.96%. The nearest eligible forward, 14SEP26, rose $128.21 (+5.26%) to $2,567.93. No sufficiently relevant context identified; the strongest assessed relationship has low causal confidence.",
    "wordCount": 107,
    "source": "deterministic structured report facts",
    "evidenceFields": [
      "summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove",
      "realisedVolatility.rv24hPercent",
      "realisedVolatility.rv7dPercent",
      "realisedVolatility.rv30dPercent",
      "summaryMetrics.frontEndAverageAtm",
      "summaryMetrics.longEndAverageAtm",
      "summaryMetrics.largestRr25Move",
      "summaryMetrics.largestBf25Move",
      "summaryMetrics.nearestEligibleForwardMove",
      "newsContext.outcome",
      "newsContext.highest_causal_confidence"
    ]
  },
  "facts": [
    {
      "id": "realised-vol",
      "label": "Implied versus realised",
      "text": "At the 16:29 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 51.60%, 7.58 volatility points above seven-day realised volatility of 44.02%; 24-hour realised volatility was 75.60% and 30-day realised volatility was 53.88%."
    },
    {
      "id": "front-atm",
      "label": "Front end",
      "text": "Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +0.56 volatility points to 51.20% across 1W, 2W and 1M."
    },
    {
      "id": "back-atm",
      "label": "Long end",
      "text": "Long-dated ATM IV decreased, averaging -0.15 volatility points to 54.27% across 6M and 1Y."
    },
    {
      "id": "rr25",
      "label": "Skew",
      "text": "RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.76 volatility points to 0.80% across the six headline tenors."
    },
    {
      "id": "bf25",
      "label": "Convexity",
      "text": "BF25 increased, averaging +0.10 volatility points to 3.02% across the six headline tenors."
    },
    {
      "id": "largest-standard-tenor",
      "label": "Largest standard-tenor move",
      "text": "The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +1.60 volatility points at 1W, to 51.60%.",
      "tenor": "1W",
      "value": 1.6
    }
  ],
  "summaryMetrics": {
    "basis": "Fixed-tenor endpoint comparison",
    "unit": "volatility points",
    "atmIvChange": 0.3,
    "rr25Change": 0.76,
    "bf25Change": 0.1,
    "largestAtmMove": {
      "tenor": "1W",
      "current": 51.6,
      "previous": 50.0,
      "change": 1.6,
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "absoluteMove": 1.6,
        "movePercentile30d": 30.0,
        "movePercentileFullHistory": 33.3,
        "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 77.8,
        "classificationPercentile": 33.3,
        "label": "routine",
        "observations30d": 20,
        "observationsFullHistory": 24,
        "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
      }
    },
    "frontEndAverageAtm": {
      "current": 51.2,
      "previous": 50.64,
      "change": 0.56
    },
    "longEndAverageAtm": {
      "current": 54.27,
      "previous": 54.42,
      "change": -0.15
    },
    "oneYearMinusOneWeekAtmSlope": {
      "current": null,
      "previous": null,
      "change": null
    },
    "largestRr25Move": {
      "tenor": "1W",
      "current": 2.6,
      "previous": -0.3,
      "change": 2.9,
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "absoluteMove": 2.9,
        "movePercentile30d": 85.0,
        "movePercentileFullHistory": 87.5,
        "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 74.1,
        "classificationPercentile": 87.5,
        "label": "notable",
        "observations30d": 20,
        "observationsFullHistory": 24,
        "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
      },
      "direction": "toward calls",
      "currentSign": "call-rich"
    },
    "largestBf25Move": {
      "tenor": "1M",
      "current": 2.96,
      "previous": 2.53,
      "change": 0.43,
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "absoluteMove": 0.43,
        "movePercentile30d": 85.0,
        "movePercentileFullHistory": 79.2,
        "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 66.7,
        "classificationPercentile": 85.0,
        "label": "notable",
        "observations30d": 20,
        "observationsFullHistory": 24,
        "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
      }
    },
    "nearestEligibleForwardMove": {
      "label": "14SEP26",
      "daysToExpiry": 2.647,
      "current": 2567.93,
      "previous": 2439.72,
      "change": 128.21,
      "percentChange": 5.26
    }
  },
  "tenors": [
    {
      "tenor": "1W",
      "targetExpiry": 1789748940743,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 51.6,
        "previous": 50.0,
        "change": 1.6,
        "percentChange": 3.2
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 2.6,
        "previous": -0.3,
        "change": 2.9,
        "percentChange": 966.67
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 3.12,
        "previous": 3.04,
        "change": 0.08,
        "percentChange": 2.63
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 1.6,
          "movePercentile30d": 30.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 33.3,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 77.8,
          "classificationPercentile": 33.3,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 2.9,
          "movePercentile30d": 85.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 87.5,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 74.1,
          "classificationPercentile": 87.5,
          "label": "notable",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.08,
          "movePercentile30d": 10.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 12.5,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 70.4,
          "classificationPercentile": 12.5,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "2W",
      "targetExpiry": 1790353740743,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 50.99,
        "previous": 50.64,
        "change": 0.35,
        "percentChange": 0.69
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 0.41,
        "previous": -0.48,
        "change": 0.89,
        "percentChange": 185.42
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.51,
        "previous": 2.68,
        "change": -0.17,
        "percentChange": -6.34
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.35,
          "movePercentile30d": 20.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 25.0,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 70.4,
          "classificationPercentile": 25.0,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.89,
          "movePercentile30d": 45.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 54.2,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 48.1,
          "classificationPercentile": 54.2,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.17,
          "movePercentile30d": 30.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 29.2,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 25.9,
          "classificationPercentile": 30.0,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "1M",
      "targetExpiry": 1791736140743,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 51.0,
        "previous": 51.27,
        "change": -0.27,
        "percentChange": -0.53
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 0.92,
        "previous": 0.59,
        "change": 0.33,
        "percentChange": 55.93
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.96,
        "previous": 2.53,
        "change": 0.43,
        "percentChange": 17.0
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.27,
          "movePercentile30d": 15.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 20.8,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 40.7,
          "classificationPercentile": 20.8,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.33,
          "movePercentile30d": 30.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 33.3,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 59.3,
          "classificationPercentile": 33.3,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.43,
          "movePercentile30d": 85.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 79.2,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 66.7,
          "classificationPercentile": 85.0,
          "label": "notable",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "3M",
      "targetExpiry": 1797006540743,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 52.91,
        "previous": 52.92,
        "change": -0.01,
        "percentChange": -0.02
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": -0.06,
        "previous": 0.35,
        "change": -0.41,
        "percentChange": -117.14
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 3.26,
        "previous": 3.19,
        "change": 0.07,
        "percentChange": 2.19
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.01,
          "movePercentile30d": 10.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 12.5,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 48.1,
          "classificationPercentile": 12.5,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.41,
          "movePercentile30d": 50.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 50.0,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 37.0,
          "classificationPercentile": 50.0,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.07,
          "movePercentile30d": 35.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 37.5,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 85.2,
          "classificationPercentile": 37.5,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "6M",
      "targetExpiry": 1804868940743,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 54.27,
        "previous": 54.42,
        "change": -0.15,
        "percentChange": -0.28
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 0.15,
        "previous": 0.04,
        "change": 0.11,
        "percentChange": 275.0
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 3.27,
        "previous": 3.16,
        "change": 0.11,
        "percentChange": 3.48
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.15,
          "movePercentile30d": 30.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 29.2,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 22.2,
          "classificationPercentile": 30.0,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.11,
          "movePercentile30d": 10.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 12.5,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 48.1,
          "classificationPercentile": 12.5,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.11,
          "movePercentile30d": 55.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 54.2,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 96.3,
          "classificationPercentile": 55.0,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 20,
          "observationsFullHistory": 24,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 27
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "9M",
      "targetExpiry": 1812731340743,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 55.3,
        "previous": 55.29,
        "change": 0.01,
        "percentChange": 0.02
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 0.35,
        "previous": 0.27,
        "change": 0.08,
        "percentChange": 29.63
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.87,
        "previous": 2.79,
        "change": 0.08,
        "percentChange": 2.87
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.01,
          "movePercentile30d": 5.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 8.3,
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        "label": "26MAR27",
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      {
        "label": "25JUN27",
        "values": [
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  },
  "marketDiary": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "source": "local-news-mcp",
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T16:29:00+00:00",
    "window": {
      "startAt": "2026-09-10T16:29:00+00:00",
      "endAt": "2026-09-11T16:29:00+00:00",
      "endExclusive": true
    },
    "headline": "Ether options turn call-rich as short-dated skew reprices sharply",
    "standfirst": "Ether one-week RR25 rose 2.90 volatility points to 2.60%, shifting relative volatility toward calls and leaving calls richer than puts at the cutoff. The move was notable against the available history. Ether’s 24-hour spot-index return was 5.17%, while one-week ATM IV of 51.60% stood 7.58 points above seven-day realised volatility.",
    "days": [
      {
        "reportDate": "2026-09-11",
        "headline": "Ether skew swings toward calls",
        "summary": "Ether short-dated skew repriced toward calls as one-week implied volatility also increased.",
        "macro": {
          "summary": "No qualifying macro context was retained.",
          "events": []
        },
        "crypto": {
          "summary": "No qualifying crypto context was retained.",
          "events": []
        }
      }
    ]
  },
  "newsStatus": "no-relevant-catalyst",
  "headline": "Ether options turn call-rich as short-dated skew reprices sharply",
  "standfirst": "Ether one-week RR25 rose 2.90 volatility points to 2.60%, shifting relative volatility toward calls and leaving calls richer than puts at the cutoff. The move was notable against the available history. Ether’s 24-hour spot-index return was 5.17%, while one-week ATM IV of 51.60% stood 7.58 points above seven-day realised volatility.",
  "crossAssetMarketContext": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "source": "market-context-mcp",
    "status": "available",
    "asset": "ETH",
    "sessionDate": "2026-09-10",
    "asOfTimestamp": "2026-09-10T20:00:00+00:00",
    "summary": "Previous session (latest completed): Persisted common SPX/VIX session and ETH context. The crypto-minus-SPX realised-volatility spread was 23.47 points, at the 7.0 percentile across 228 prior observations. The 60-session crypto-SPX return correlation was 0.25 from 60 aligned observations.",
    "regimeInsights": [
      "The crypto-minus-SPX realised-volatility spread was 23.47 points, at the 7.0 percentile across 228 prior observations.",
      "The 60-session crypto-SPX return correlation was 0.25 from 60 aligned observations."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "cryptoAtmIv30d": 51.09,
      "vix": 17.84000015258789,
      "vix9d": 17.700000762939453,
      "vix3m": 19.729999542236328,
      "ivSpread": 33.24999984741211,
      "ivRatio": 2.863789213173792,
      "cryptoRealisedVol20d": 32.202661737380225,
      "spxRealisedVol20": 8.729045135983702,
      "rvSpread": 23.47361660139652,
      "rvRatio": 3.689139102355118,
      "rvSpreadPercentile": 7.017543859649122,
      "rvSpreadPercentileSampleCount": 228,
      "rvRatioPercentile": 21.05263157894737,
      "rvRatioPercentileSampleCount": 228,
      "returnCorrelation30": -0.005654580703899749,
      "returnCorrelation30SampleCount": 30,
      "returnCorrelation60": 0.2518355495700392,
      "returnCorrelation60SampleCount": 60
    },
    "methodology": "DerivaSys market-context-v1; crypto RV annualised sqrt(365), SPX RV sqrt(252); aligned completed US session."
  }
}
