{
  "schemaVersion": 3,
  "reportDate": "2026-09-05",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T19:42:41+00:00",
  "currentSnapshotAt": "2026-09-05T18:43:00+00:00",
  "previousSnapshotAt": "2026-09-04T18:43:00+00:00",
  "sourceSnapshots": {
    "current": {
      "id": 276758,
      "timestamp": "2026-09-05T18:43:00+00:00"
    },
    "previous": {
      "id": 266684,
      "timestamp": "2026-09-04T18:43:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "windowHours": 24.0,
  "currency": "ETH",
  "methodology": {
    "source": "Derivasys proprietary historical SVI surface and canonical ETH index databases",
    "comparison": "Nearest successful surface snapshots approximately 24 hours apart",
    "rrConvention": "25-delta call IV minus 25-delta put IV",
    "bfConvention": "Average 25-delta wing IV minus ATM forward IV",
    "greeks": "Black forward Greeks for a normalized one-ETH ATM-forward call, zero rate, fitted SVI IV",
    "commentary": "Metrics and takeaways are deterministic. Daily headlines and introductions may be model-assisted, constrained to the same stored facts; weekly prose is deterministic.",
    "fixedTenors": "Fixed-tenor measures are published only when listed expiries bracket the target at both comparison snapshots. Targets outside either observable range are suppressed, not extrapolated; headline rankings use only supported tenors.",
    "smileReconstruction": "Listed-expiry smiles are reconstructed from stored SVI total-variance parameters on a fixed log-moneyness grid.",
    "ultraShortExpiry": "Expiries with fewer than 2 full days remaining stay in detailed tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.",
    "causalClaims": "The report describes observed surface and realised-volatility changes only and does not infer unsupported market drivers, flows or forecasts.",
    "realisedVolatility": "Annualised root-mean-square of one-minute canonical ETH-USD index log returns using a 365-day basis; all windows end at the current snapshot."
  },
  "realisedVolatility": {
    "source": "canonical/ETH-USD-INDEX (DERIBIT and OKX indexes)",
    "fallbackObservations": 48,
    "fallbackPolicy": "Missing canonical minutes use the stored Deribit index first, then the stored OKX index; canonical bars always take precedence.",
    "samplingInterval": "1 minute",
    "annualizationBasis": "365 days",
    "windowEnd": "2026-09-05T18:43:00+00:00",
    "spotMove24hPercent": 1.1,
    "rv24hPercent": 20.8,
    "rv7dPercent": 46.83,
    "rv30dPercent": 51.21,
    "observations": {
      "24h": 1440,
      "7d": 10080,
      "30d": 43200
    },
    "oneWeekAtmIvPercent": 43.37,
    "oneWeekIvMinus7dRvPoints": -3.46,
    "oneWeekIvMinus24hRvPoints": 22.57,
    "oneWeekIvMinus30dRvPoints": -7.84
  },
  "fitQuality": {
    "currentObjective": 0.11268026,
    "previousObjective": 0.05484201,
    "currentLiveError": 47.62459671,
    "previousLiveError": 18.82138707
  },
  "coverage": {
    "currentListedExpiries": 12,
    "previousListedExpiries": 12,
    "comparedListedExpiries": 11,
    "addedExpiries": [
      "9SEP26"
    ],
    "removedExpiries": [
      "5SEP26"
    ],
    "fixedTenors": [
      "1W",
      "2W",
      "1M",
      "3M",
      "6M",
      "9M"
    ],
    "suppressedFixedTenors": [
      "1Y"
    ]
  },
  "commentary": {
    "source": "codex",
    "model": "gpt-5.6-terra",
    "headline": "Ether\u2019s near-expiry surface rotates toward call-side volatility",
    "executiveSummary": "A pronounced near-expiry rotation defined Ether options trading, with the one-week RR25 reversal providing the clearest standard-tenor confirmation.",
    "evidenceIds": [
      "rr25",
      "front-atm",
      "realised-vol"
    ],
    "newsSummary": "No report-relevant news context qualified for inclusion.",
    "marketContextSummary": "No retained news item supports an assessment of the options repricing.",
    "marketContext": [],
    "newsEvidenceIds": [],
    "takeaways": [
      {
        "id": "realised-vol",
        "label": "Implied versus realised",
        "text": "At the 18:43 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 43.37%, 3.46 volatility points below seven-day realised volatility of 46.83%; 24-hour realised volatility was 20.80% and 30-day realised volatility was 51.21%."
      },
      {
        "id": "front-atm",
        "label": "Front end",
        "text": "Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +0.87 volatility points to 46.76% across 1W, 2W and 1M."
      },
      {
        "id": "back-atm",
        "label": "Long end",
        "text": "Long-dated ATM IV was broadly unchanged, averaging -0.02 volatility points to 54.17% across 6M and 1Y."
      },
      {
        "id": "rr25",
        "label": "Skew",
        "text": "RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +1.25 volatility points to 1.45% across the six headline tenors."
      },
      {
        "id": "bf25",
        "label": "Convexity",
        "text": "BF25 was broadly unchanged, averaging +0.06 volatility points to 2.79% across the six headline tenors."
      },
      {
        "id": "largest-standard-tenor",
        "label": "Largest standard-tenor move",
        "text": "The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +1.78 volatility points at 1W, to 43.37%.",
        "tenor": "1W",
        "value": 1.78
      }
    ]
  },
  "newsEvidence": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "source": "local-news-mcp",
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T18:43:00+00:00",
    "window": {
      "startAt": "2026-09-04T18:43:00+00:00",
      "endAt": "2026-09-05T18:43:00+00:00",
      "endExclusive": true
    },
    "collectorWindow": {
      "startAt": "2026-09-04T18:43:00+00:00",
      "endAt": "2026-09-05T18:43:00+00:00",
      "endExclusive": true
    },
    "coverage": {
      "configuredSources": 1,
      "successfulSources": 1,
      "failedSources": 0
    },
    "provenance": {
      "collectionArchitecture": "central-canonical-event-store",
      "mcpServersQueried": 1,
      "assetScopedQueries": 1,
      "macroQueries": 1,
      "canonicalEventsConsidered": 0,
      "publishersRepresented": 0,
      "discoveryEventsScanned": 63,
      "upstreamFeedCount": null,
      "coverageNote": "The local news MCP exposes canonical events, not its upstream feed inventory; legacy feed-count fields below describe the single MCP endpoint and are not comparable with the former RSS collector."
    },
    "selection": {
      "feedsQueried": 1,
      "publishersQueried": 0,
      "feedEntriesScanned": 0,
      "articlesPassingTimeFilter": 0,
      "articlesPassingSourceRelevanceRules": 0,
      "articlesPassingSelectionThreshold": 0,
      "storiesSelected": 0,
      "selectedPublishers": 0,
      "maximumStories": 3,
      "maximumStoriesPerPublisher": 2,
      "minimumSelectionScore": 0,
      "eventsSelected": 0
    },
    "items": [],
    "events": []
  },
  "newsContext": {
    "outcome": "No sufficiently relevant context identified",
    "highest_causal_confidence": "low",
    "section_heading": "No sufficiently relevant context identified",
    "events": []
  },
  "marketRead": {
    "text": "1W RR25 moved 2.83 volatility points toward calls to 1.36%, leaving calls richer than puts. At the cutoff, realised volatility measured 20.80% over 24 hours, 46.83% over seven days and 51.21% over 30 days. Front-end ATM IV averaged 46.76%, +0.87 points from the prior snapshot, while the long end averaged 54.17%, -0.02 points. 1W ATM IV rose 1.78 volatility points to 43.37%. 2W BF25 rose 0.21 volatility points to 2.93%. The nearest eligible forward, 8SEP26, rose $24.37 (+0.99%) to $2,476.91. No sufficiently relevant context identified; the strongest assessed relationship has low causal confidence.",
    "wordCount": 93,
    "source": "deterministic structured report facts",
    "evidenceFields": [
      "summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove",
      "realisedVolatility.rv24hPercent",
      "realisedVolatility.rv7dPercent",
      "realisedVolatility.rv30dPercent",
      "summaryMetrics.frontEndAverageAtm",
      "summaryMetrics.longEndAverageAtm",
      "summaryMetrics.largestRr25Move",
      "summaryMetrics.largestBf25Move",
      "summaryMetrics.nearestEligibleForwardMove",
      "newsContext.outcome",
      "newsContext.highest_causal_confidence"
    ]
  },
  "facts": [
    {
      "id": "realised-vol",
      "label": "Implied versus realised",
      "text": "At the 18:43 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 43.37%, 3.46 volatility points below seven-day realised volatility of 46.83%; 24-hour realised volatility was 20.80% and 30-day realised volatility was 51.21%."
    },
    {
      "id": "front-atm",
      "label": "Front end",
      "text": "Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +0.87 volatility points to 46.76% across 1W, 2W and 1M."
    },
    {
      "id": "back-atm",
      "label": "Long end",
      "text": "Long-dated ATM IV was broadly unchanged, averaging -0.02 volatility points to 54.17% across 6M and 1Y."
    },
    {
      "id": "rr25",
      "label": "Skew",
      "text": "RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +1.25 volatility points to 1.45% across the six headline tenors."
    },
    {
      "id": "bf25",
      "label": "Convexity",
      "text": "BF25 was broadly unchanged, averaging +0.06 volatility points to 2.79% across the six headline tenors."
    },
    {
      "id": "largest-standard-tenor",
      "label": "Largest standard-tenor move",
      "text": "The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +1.78 volatility points at 1W, to 43.37%.",
      "tenor": "1W",
      "value": 1.78
    }
  ],
  "summaryMetrics": {
    "basis": "Fixed-tenor endpoint comparison",
    "unit": "volatility points",
    "atmIvChange": 0.52,
    "rr25Change": 1.25,
    "bf25Change": 0.06,
    "largestAtmMove": {
      "tenor": "1W",
      "current": 43.37,
      "previous": 41.59,
      "change": 1.78,
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "absoluteMove": 1.78,
        "movePercentile30d": null,
        "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
        "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 19.0,
        "classificationPercentile": null,
        "label": "unavailable",
        "observations30d": 14,
        "observationsFullHistory": 18,
        "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
      }
    },
    "frontEndAverageAtm": {
      "current": 46.76,
      "previous": 45.89,
      "change": 0.87
    },
    "longEndAverageAtm": {
      "current": 54.17,
      "previous": 54.19,
      "change": -0.02
    },
    "oneYearMinusOneWeekAtmSlope": {
      "current": null,
      "previous": null,
      "change": null
    },
    "largestRr25Move": {
      "tenor": "1W",
      "current": 1.36,
      "previous": -1.47,
      "change": 2.83,
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "absoluteMove": 2.83,
        "movePercentile30d": null,
        "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
        "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 66.7,
        "classificationPercentile": null,
        "label": "unavailable",
        "observations30d": 14,
        "observationsFullHistory": 18,
        "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
      },
      "direction": "toward calls",
      "currentSign": "call-rich"
    },
    "largestBf25Move": {
      "tenor": "2W",
      "current": 2.93,
      "previous": 2.72,
      "change": 0.21,
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "absoluteMove": 0.21,
        "movePercentile30d": null,
        "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
        "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 66.7,
        "classificationPercentile": null,
        "label": "unavailable",
        "observations30d": 14,
        "observationsFullHistory": 18,
        "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
      }
    },
    "nearestEligibleForwardMove": {
      "label": "8SEP26",
      "daysToExpiry": 2.553,
      "current": 2476.91,
      "previous": 2452.54,
      "change": 24.37,
      "percentChange": 0.99
    }
  },
  "tenors": [
    {
      "tenor": "1W",
      "targetExpiry": 1789238580296,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 43.37,
        "previous": 41.59,
        "change": 1.78,
        "percentChange": 4.28
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 1.36,
        "previous": -1.47,
        "change": 2.83,
        "percentChange": 192.52
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.42,
        "previous": 2.39,
        "change": 0.03,
        "percentChange": 1.26
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 1.78,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 19.0,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 2.83,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 66.7,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.03,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 23.8,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "2W",
      "targetExpiry": 1789843380296,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 47.46,
        "previous": 46.67,
        "change": 0.79,
        "percentChange": 1.69
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 2.09,
        "previous": 0.88,
        "change": 1.21,
        "percentChange": 137.5
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.93,
        "previous": 2.72,
        "change": 0.21,
        "percentChange": 7.72
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.79,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 23.8,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 1.21,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 71.4,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.21,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 66.7,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "1M",
      "targetExpiry": 1791225780296,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 49.46,
        "previous": 49.42,
        "change": 0.04,
        "percentChange": 0.08
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 1.82,
        "previous": 0.36,
        "change": 1.46,
        "percentChange": 405.56
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.76,
        "previous": 2.7,
        "change": 0.06,
        "percentChange": 2.22
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.04,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 23.8,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 1.46,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 90.5,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.06,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 47.6,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "3M",
      "targetExpiry": 1796496180296,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 52.08,
        "previous": 52.09,
        "change": -0.01,
        "percentChange": -0.02
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 1.23,
        "previous": 0.83,
        "change": 0.4,
        "percentChange": 48.19
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.93,
        "previous": 2.97,
        "change": -0.04,
        "percentChange": -1.35
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.01,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 23.8,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.4,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 90.5,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.04,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 57.1,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "6M",
      "targetExpiry": 1804358580296,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 54.17,
        "previous": 54.19,
        "change": -0.02,
        "percentChange": -0.04
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 0.73,
        "previous": 0.36,
        "change": 0.37,
        "percentChange": 102.78
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.93,
        "previous": 2.9,
        "change": 0.03,
        "percentChange": 1.03
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.02,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 19.0,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.37,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 81.0,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.03,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 61.9,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "9M",
      "targetExpiry": 1812220980296,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 55.38,
        "previous": 55.38,
        "change": 0.0,
        "percentChange": 0.0
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 0.92,
        "previous": 0.51,
        "change": 0.41,
        "percentChange": 80.39
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.66,
        "previous": 2.71,
        "change": -0.05,
        "percentChange": -1.85
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.0,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 23.8,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.41,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 81.0,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.05,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 28.6,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 14,
          "observationsFullHistory": 18,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 21
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "1Y",
      "targetExpiry": 1820169780296,
      "availability": "unavailable",
      "unavailableReason": "The target tenor falls outside the listed-expiry range at one or both snapshots; extrapolated values are suppressed.",
      "atmIv": {
        "current": null,
        "previous": null,
        "change": null,
        "percentChange": null
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": null,
        "previous": null,
        "change": null,
        "percentChange": null
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": null,
        "previous": null,
        "change": null,
        "percentChange": null
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": null,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": null,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 0,
          "observationsFullHistory": 0,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 0
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": null,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": null,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 0,
          "observationsFullHistory": 0,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 0
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": null,
          "movePercentile30d": null,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": null,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": null,
          "classificationPercentile": null,
          "label": "unavailable",
          "observations30d": 0,
          "observationsFullHistory": 0,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 0
        }
      }
    }
  ],
  "listedExpiries": [
    {
      "label": "6SEP26",
      "expiry": 1788681600000,
      "tauYears": 0.00151638,
      "daysToExpiry": 0.553,
      "expiryClassification": "ultra-short",
      "rankingEligible": false,
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        "label": "25JUN27",
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  },
  "marketDiary": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "source": "local-news-mcp",
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T18:43:00+00:00",
    "window": {
      "startAt": "2026-09-04T18:43:00+00:00",
      "endAt": "2026-09-05T18:43:00+00:00",
      "endExclusive": true
    },
    "headline": "Ether options shift toward calls as near-expiry pricing rotates",
    "standfirst": "Ether\u2019s nearest-expiry smile rotation was the largest surface dislocation, accompanied by a 2.83-point rise in Ether one-week RR25 to 1.36%. Ether one-week ATM IV rose 1.78 volatility points to 43.37%, remaining 3.46 volatility points below Ether seven-day realised volatility.",
    "days": [
      {
        "reportDate": "2026-09-05",
        "headline": "Near-expiry Ether skew turns call-rich",
        "summary": "The nearest expiry rotated sharply as one-week relative call-side volatility increased. No additional qualifying evidence was identified for that session.",
        "macro": {
          "summary": "No qualifying macro context was retained.",
          "events": []
        },
        "crypto": {
          "summary": "No qualifying Ether context was retained.",
          "events": []
        }
      }
    ]
  },
  "headline": "Ether options shift toward calls as near-expiry pricing rotates",
  "standfirst": "Ether\u2019s nearest-expiry smile rotation was the largest surface dislocation, accompanied by a 2.83-point rise in Ether one-week RR25 to 1.36%. Ether one-week ATM IV rose 1.78 volatility points to 43.37%, remaining 3.46 volatility points below Ether seven-day realised volatility.",
  "crossAssetMarketContext": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "source": "market-context-mcp",
    "status": "available",
    "asset": "ETH",
    "sessionDate": "2026-09-04",
    "asOfTimestamp": "2026-09-04T20:00:00+00:00",
    "summary": "Previous session (latest completed): Completed common session: ETH 30D ATM IV 49.28 volatility points; VIX 14.53; IV spread 34.75. ETH 20D realised volatility 65.3250 versus SPX 8.3001. The crypto-to-SPX realised-volatility ratio was 7.87, at the 93.8 percentile across 225 prior observations. The 60-session crypto-SPX return correlation was 0.33 from 60 aligned observations.",
    "regimeInsights": [
      "The crypto-to-SPX realised-volatility ratio was 7.87, at the 93.8 percentile across 225 prior observations.",
      "The 60-session crypto-SPX return correlation was 0.33 from 60 aligned observations."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "cryptoAtmIv30d": 49.28,
      "vix": 14.529999732971191,
      "vix9d": 11.970000267028809,
      "vix3m": 17.610000610351562,
      "ivSpread": 34.75000026702881,
      "ivRatio": 3.391603641132545,
      "cryptoRealisedVol20d": 65.32496046150138,
      "spxRealisedVol20": 8.300077397171014,
      "rvSpread": 57.02488306433036,
      "rvRatio": 7.870403772833087,
      "rvSpreadPercentile": 60.44444444444444,
      "rvSpreadPercentileSampleCount": 225,
      "rvRatioPercentile": 93.77777777777777,
      "rvRatioPercentileSampleCount": 225,
      "returnCorrelation30": 0.02891644151562212,
      "returnCorrelation30SampleCount": 30,
      "returnCorrelation60": 0.3292850648186534,
      "returnCorrelation60SampleCount": 60
    },
    "methodology": "DerivaSys market-context-v1. Crypto RV: 20 calendar-day close-to-close log returns, sqrt(365); SPX RV: 20 US trading-session close-to-close log returns, sqrt(252). Sources: DerivaSys 30-day fixed-tenor surface; DerivaSys canonical crypto index; ^VIX and ^GSPC via Yahoo Finance."
  }
}
