{
  "schemaVersion": 3,
  "reportDate": "2026-09-03",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-03T16:58:43+00:00",
  "currentSnapshotAt": "2026-09-03T16:38:00+00:00",
  "previousSnapshotAt": "2026-09-02T16:38:00+00:00",
  "sourceSnapshots": {
    "current": {
      "id": 255739,
      "timestamp": "2026-09-03T16:38:00+00:00"
    },
    "previous": {
      "id": 245726,
      "timestamp": "2026-09-02T16:38:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "windowHours": 24.0,
  "currency": "ETH",
  "methodology": {
    "source": "Derivasys proprietary historical SVI surface and canonical ETH index databases",
    "comparison": "Nearest successful surface snapshots approximately 24 hours apart",
    "rrConvention": "25-delta call IV minus 25-delta put IV",
    "bfConvention": "Average 25-delta wing IV minus ATM forward IV",
    "greeks": "Black forward Greeks for a normalized one-ETH ATM-forward call, zero rate, fitted SVI IV",
    "commentary": "Metrics and takeaways are deterministic. Daily headlines and introductions may be model-assisted, constrained to the same stored facts; weekly prose is deterministic.",
    "fixedTenors": "Fixed-tenor measures are interpolated independently at 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M, 9M and 1Y; headline rankings prioritise 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M and 1Y.",
    "smileReconstruction": "Listed-expiry smiles are reconstructed from stored SVI total-variance parameters on a fixed log-moneyness grid.",
    "ultraShortExpiry": "Expiries with fewer than 2 full days remaining stay in detailed tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.",
    "causalClaims": "The report describes observed surface and realised-volatility changes only and does not infer unsupported market drivers, flows or forecasts.",
    "realisedVolatility": "Annualised root-mean-square of one-minute canonical ETH-USD index log returns using a 365-day basis; all windows end at the current snapshot."
  },
  "realisedVolatility": {
    "source": "canonical/ETH-USD-INDEX (DERIBIT and OKX indexes)",
    "fallbackObservations": 13,
    "fallbackPolicy": "Missing canonical minutes use the stored Deribit index first, then the stored OKX index; canonical bars always take precedence.",
    "samplingInterval": "1 minute",
    "annualizationBasis": "365 days",
    "windowEnd": "2026-09-03T16:38:00+00:00",
    "spotMove24hPercent": 4.27,
    "rv24hPercent": 46.46,
    "rv7dPercent": 43.69,
    "rv30dPercent": 50.39,
    "observations": {
      "24h": 1440,
      "7d": 10080,
      "30d": 43200
    },
    "oneWeekAtmIvPercent": 47.71,
    "oneWeekIvMinus7dRvPoints": 4.02,
    "oneWeekIvMinus24hRvPoints": 1.25,
    "oneWeekIvMinus30dRvPoints": -2.68
  },
  "fitQuality": {
    "currentObjective": 0.01286345,
    "previousObjective": 0.06601746,
    "currentLiveError": 28.90199189,
    "previousLiveError": 23.11335803
  },
  "coverage": {
    "currentListedExpiries": 12,
    "previousListedExpiries": 12,
    "comparedListedExpiries": 11,
    "addedExpiries": [
      "7SEP26"
    ],
    "removedExpiries": [
      "3SEP26"
    ],
    "fixedTenors": [
      "1W",
      "2W",
      "1M",
      "3M",
      "6M",
      "9M",
      "1Y"
    ]
  },
  "commentary": {
    "source": "codex",
    "model": "gpt-5.6-terra",
    "headline": "Ether\u2019s front end absorbs the day\u2019s volatility repricing",
    "executiveSummary": "Ether\u2019s primary surface move was a 4.73-point increase in one-week ATM IV, concentrating the repricing at short maturities.",
    "evidenceIds": [
      "largest-standard-tenor",
      "front-atm",
      "back-atm"
    ],
    "newsSummary": "News Check: no qualifying ETH-related event met the retention threshold.",
    "marketContextSummary": "There is no retained news basis for linking a catalyst to the options move.",
    "marketContext": [],
    "newsEvidenceIds": [],
    "takeaways": [
      {
        "id": "realised-vol",
        "label": "Implied versus realised",
        "text": "At the 16:38 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 47.71%, 4.02 volatility points above seven-day realised volatility of 43.69%; 24-hour realised volatility was 46.46% and 30-day realised volatility was 50.39%."
      },
      {
        "id": "front-atm",
        "label": "Front end",
        "text": "Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +2.76 volatility points to 48.91% across 1W, 2W and 1M."
      },
      {
        "id": "back-atm",
        "label": "Long end",
        "text": "Long-dated ATM IV increased, averaging +0.26 volatility points to 55.05% across 6M and 1Y."
      },
      {
        "id": "rr25",
        "label": "Skew",
        "text": "RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +1.09 volatility points to 0.48% across the six headline tenors."
      },
      {
        "id": "bf25",
        "label": "Convexity",
        "text": "BF25 was broadly unchanged, averaging +0.07 volatility points to 2.79% across the six headline tenors."
      },
      {
        "id": "largest-standard-tenor",
        "label": "Largest standard-tenor move",
        "text": "The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +4.73 volatility points at 1W, to 47.71%.",
        "tenor": "1W",
        "value": 4.73
      }
    ]
  },
  "newsEvidence": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "source": "local-news-mcp",
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-03T16:38:00+00:00",
    "window": {
      "startAt": "2026-09-02T16:38:00+00:00",
      "endAt": "2026-09-03T16:38:00+00:00",
      "endExclusive": true
    },
    "collectorWindow": {
      "startAt": "2026-09-02T16:38:00+00:00",
      "endAt": "2026-09-03T16:38:00+00:00",
      "endExclusive": true
    },
    "coverage": {
      "configuredSources": 1,
      "successfulSources": 1,
      "failedSources": 0
    },
    "provenance": {
      "collectionArchitecture": "central-canonical-event-store",
      "mcpServersQueried": 1,
      "assetScopedQueries": 1,
      "macroQueries": 1,
      "canonicalEventsConsidered": 0,
      "publishersRepresented": 0,
      "upstreamFeedCount": null,
      "coverageNote": "The local news MCP exposes canonical events, not its upstream feed inventory; legacy feed-count fields below describe the single MCP endpoint and are not comparable with the former RSS collector."
    },
    "selection": {
      "feedsQueried": 1,
      "publishersQueried": 0,
      "feedEntriesScanned": 8,
      "articlesPassingTimeFilter": 0,
      "articlesPassingSourceRelevanceRules": 0,
      "articlesPassingSelectionThreshold": 0,
      "storiesSelected": 0,
      "selectedPublishers": 0,
      "maximumStories": 3,
      "maximumStoriesPerPublisher": 2,
      "minimumSelectionScore": 0,
      "eventsSelected": 0
    },
    "items": [],
    "events": []
  },
  "newsContext": {
    "outcome": "No sufficiently relevant context identified",
    "highest_causal_confidence": "low",
    "section_heading": "No sufficiently relevant context identified",
    "events": []
  },
  "marketRead": {
    "text": "1W ATM IV rose 4.73 volatility points to 47.71%, a notable move at the 81st percentile. At the cutoff, realised volatility measured 46.46% over 24 hours, 43.69% over seven days and 50.39% over 30 days. Front-end ATM IV averaged 48.91%, +2.76 points from the prior snapshot, while the long end averaged 55.05%, +0.26 points. The 1Y-minus-1W ATM slope flattened 4.89 points to 8.15 points. 1W RR25 moved 2.11 volatility points toward calls to 0.52%, leaving calls richer than puts. 1W BF25 rose 0.21 volatility points to 2.80%. The nearest eligible forward, 6SEP26, rose $97.71 (+4.08%) to $2,494.26. No sufficiently relevant context identified; the strongest assessed relationship has low causal confidence.",
    "wordCount": 110,
    "source": "deterministic structured report facts",
    "evidenceFields": [
      "summaryMetrics.largestAtmMove",
      "realisedVolatility.rv24hPercent",
      "realisedVolatility.rv7dPercent",
      "realisedVolatility.rv30dPercent",
      "summaryMetrics.frontEndAverageAtm",
      "summaryMetrics.longEndAverageAtm",
      "summaryMetrics.oneYearMinusOneWeekAtmSlope",
      "summaryMetrics.largestRr25Move",
      "summaryMetrics.largestBf25Move",
      "summaryMetrics.nearestEligibleForwardMove",
      "newsContext.outcome",
      "newsContext.highest_causal_confidence"
    ]
  },
  "facts": [
    {
      "id": "realised-vol",
      "label": "Implied versus realised",
      "text": "At the 16:38 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 47.71%, 4.02 volatility points above seven-day realised volatility of 43.69%; 24-hour realised volatility was 46.46% and 30-day realised volatility was 50.39%."
    },
    {
      "id": "front-atm",
      "label": "Front end",
      "text": "Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +2.76 volatility points to 48.91% across 1W, 2W and 1M."
    },
    {
      "id": "back-atm",
      "label": "Long end",
      "text": "Long-dated ATM IV increased, averaging +0.26 volatility points to 55.05% across 6M and 1Y."
    },
    {
      "id": "rr25",
      "label": "Skew",
      "text": "RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +1.09 volatility points to 0.48% across the six headline tenors."
    },
    {
      "id": "bf25",
      "label": "Convexity",
      "text": "BF25 was broadly unchanged, averaging +0.07 volatility points to 2.79% across the six headline tenors."
    },
    {
      "id": "largest-standard-tenor",
      "label": "Largest standard-tenor move",
      "text": "The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +4.73 volatility points at 1W, to 47.71%.",
      "tenor": "1W",
      "value": 4.73
    }
  ],
  "summaryMetrics": {
    "basis": "Fixed-tenor endpoint comparison",
    "unit": "volatility points",
    "atmIvChange": 1.62,
    "rr25Change": 1.09,
    "bf25Change": 0.07,
    "largestAtmMove": {
      "tenor": "1W",
      "current": 47.71,
      "previous": 42.98,
      "change": 4.73,
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "absoluteMove": 4.73,
        "movePercentile30d": 75.0,
        "movePercentileFullHistory": 81.2,
        "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 57.9,
        "classificationPercentile": 81.2,
        "label": "notable",
        "observations30d": 12,
        "observationsFullHistory": 16,
        "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
      }
    },
    "frontEndAverageAtm": {
      "current": 48.91,
      "previous": 46.14,
      "change": 2.76
    },
    "longEndAverageAtm": {
      "current": 55.05,
      "previous": 54.78,
      "change": 0.26
    },
    "oneYearMinusOneWeekAtmSlope": {
      "current": 8.15,
      "previous": 13.04,
      "change": -4.89
    },
    "largestRr25Move": {
      "tenor": "1W",
      "current": 0.52,
      "previous": -1.59,
      "change": 2.11,
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "absoluteMove": 2.11,
        "movePercentile30d": 58.3,
        "movePercentileFullHistory": 68.8,
        "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 63.2,
        "classificationPercentile": 68.8,
        "label": "routine",
        "observations30d": 12,
        "observationsFullHistory": 16,
        "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
      },
      "direction": "toward calls",
      "currentSign": "call-rich"
    },
    "largestBf25Move": {
      "tenor": "1W",
      "current": 2.8,
      "previous": 2.59,
      "change": 0.21,
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "absoluteMove": 0.21,
        "movePercentile30d": 41.7,
        "movePercentileFullHistory": 37.5,
        "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 63.2,
        "classificationPercentile": 41.7,
        "label": "routine",
        "observations30d": 12,
        "observationsFullHistory": 16,
        "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
      }
    },
    "nearestEligibleForwardMove": {
      "label": "6SEP26",
      "daysToExpiry": 2.64,
      "current": 2494.26,
      "previous": 2396.55,
      "change": 97.71,
      "percentChange": 4.08
    }
  },
  "tenors": [
    {
      "tenor": "1W",
      "targetExpiry": 1789058280236,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 47.71,
        "previous": 42.98,
        "change": 4.73,
        "percentChange": 11.01
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 0.52,
        "previous": -1.59,
        "change": 2.11,
        "percentChange": 132.7
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.8,
        "previous": 2.59,
        "change": 0.21,
        "percentChange": 8.11
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 4.73,
          "movePercentile30d": 75.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 81.2,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 57.9,
          "classificationPercentile": 81.2,
          "label": "notable",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 2.11,
          "movePercentile30d": 58.3,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 68.8,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 63.2,
          "classificationPercentile": 68.8,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.21,
          "movePercentile30d": 41.7,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 37.5,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 63.2,
          "classificationPercentile": 41.7,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "2W",
      "targetExpiry": 1789663080236,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 48.57,
        "previous": 46.4,
        "change": 2.17,
        "percentChange": 4.68
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 0.95,
        "previous": -1.07,
        "change": 2.02,
        "percentChange": 188.79
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.77,
        "previous": 2.71,
        "change": 0.06,
        "percentChange": 2.21
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 2.17,
          "movePercentile30d": 58.3,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 68.8,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 52.6,
          "classificationPercentile": 68.8,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 2.02,
          "movePercentile30d": 75.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 81.2,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 63.2,
          "classificationPercentile": 81.2,
          "label": "notable",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.06,
          "movePercentile30d": 8.3,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 12.5,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 47.4,
          "classificationPercentile": 12.5,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "1M",
      "targetExpiry": 1791045480236,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 50.44,
        "previous": 49.05,
        "change": 1.39,
        "percentChange": 2.83
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 0.02,
        "previous": -0.79,
        "change": 0.81,
        "percentChange": 102.53
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.66,
        "previous": 2.67,
        "change": -0.01,
        "percentChange": -0.37
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 1.39,
          "movePercentile30d": 58.3,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 62.5,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 36.8,
          "classificationPercentile": 62.5,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.81,
          "movePercentile30d": 50.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 62.5,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 68.4,
          "classificationPercentile": 62.5,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.01,
          "movePercentile30d": 0.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 6.2,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 36.8,
          "classificationPercentile": 6.2,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "3M",
      "targetExpiry": 1796315880236,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 52.06,
        "previous": 51.14,
        "change": 0.92,
        "percentChange": 1.8
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 0.45,
        "previous": -0.28,
        "change": 0.73,
        "percentChange": 260.71
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 3.11,
        "previous": 3.08,
        "change": 0.03,
        "percentChange": 0.97
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.92,
          "movePercentile30d": 58.3,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 68.8,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 21.1,
          "classificationPercentile": 68.8,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.73,
          "movePercentile30d": 58.3,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 56.2,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 63.2,
          "classificationPercentile": 58.3,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.03,
          "movePercentile30d": 8.3,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 18.8,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 73.7,
          "classificationPercentile": 18.8,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "6M",
      "targetExpiry": 1804178280236,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 54.23,
        "previous": 53.55,
        "change": 0.68,
        "percentChange": 1.27
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 0.2,
        "previous": -0.16,
        "change": 0.36,
        "percentChange": 225.0
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.98,
        "previous": 2.8,
        "change": 0.18,
        "percentChange": 6.43
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.68,
          "movePercentile30d": 83.3,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 87.5,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 21.1,
          "classificationPercentile": 87.5,
          "label": "notable",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.36,
          "movePercentile30d": 58.3,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 56.2,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 68.4,
          "classificationPercentile": 58.3,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.18,
          "movePercentile30d": 66.7,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 62.5,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 68.4,
          "classificationPercentile": 66.7,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "9M",
      "targetExpiry": 1812040680236,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 55.32,
        "previous": 55.13,
        "change": 0.19,
        "percentChange": 0.34
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 0.51,
        "previous": 0.11,
        "change": 0.4,
        "percentChange": 363.64
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.63,
        "previous": 2.59,
        "change": 0.04,
        "percentChange": 1.54
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.19,
          "movePercentile30d": 33.3,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 37.5,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 21.1,
          "classificationPercentile": 37.5,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.4,
          "movePercentile30d": 58.3,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 56.2,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 57.9,
          "classificationPercentile": 58.3,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "bf25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.04,
          "movePercentile30d": 25.0,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 25.0,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 21.1,
          "classificationPercentile": 25.0,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "tenor": "1Y",
      "targetExpiry": 1819989480236,
      "availability": "available",
      "unavailableReason": null,
      "atmIv": {
        "current": 55.86,
        "previous": 56.02,
        "change": -0.16,
        "percentChange": -0.29
      },
      "rr25": {
        "current": 0.74,
        "previous": 0.25,
        "change": 0.49,
        "percentChange": 196.0
      },
      "bf25": {
        "current": 2.4,
        "previous": 2.45,
        "change": -0.05,
        "percentChange": -2.04
      },
      "historicalSignificance": {
        "atmIv": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.16,
          "movePercentile30d": 58.3,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 50.0,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 10.5,
          "classificationPercentile": 58.3,
          "label": "routine",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "rr25": {
          "absoluteMove": 0.49,
          "movePercentile30d": 91.7,
          "movePercentileFullHistory": 93.8,
          "currentLevelPercentileFullHistory": 47.4,
          "classificationPercentile": 93.8,
          "label": "large",
          "observations30d": 12,
          "observationsFullHistory": 16,
          "levelObservationsFullHistory": 19
        },
        "bf25": {
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      {
        "label": "25JUN27",
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  },
  "marketDiary": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "source": "local-news-mcp",
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-03T16:38:00+00:00",
    "window": {
      "startAt": "2026-09-02T16:38:00+00:00",
      "endAt": "2026-09-03T16:38:00+00:00",
      "endExclusive": true
    },
    "headline": "Ether options reprice higher as one-week volatility jumps",
    "standfirst": "Ether one-week ATM IV increased 4.73 volatility points to 47.71%, a notable move at the 81.2 percentile. Ether front-end ATM IV across the one-week, two-week and one-month tenors rose 2.76 volatility points on average, while Ether long-end ATM IV across the six-month and one-year tenors rose 0.26 volatility points on average. The Ether one-year-minus-one-week ATM IV slope was 8.15 volatility points.",
    "days": [
      {
        "reportDate": "2026-09-03",
        "headline": "Ether front-end volatility rises sharply",
        "summary": "One-week ATM implied volatility led the advance while the long end changed only modestly.",
        "macro": {
          "summary": "No qualifying macro context was retained.",
          "events": []
        },
        "crypto": {
          "summary": "No qualifying crypto context was retained.",
          "events": []
        }
      }
    ]
  },
  "headline": "Ether options reprice higher as one-week volatility jumps",
  "standfirst": "Ether one-week ATM IV increased 4.73 volatility points to 47.71%, a notable move at the 81.2 percentile. Ether front-end ATM IV across the one-week, two-week and one-month tenors rose 2.76 volatility points on average, while Ether long-end ATM IV across the six-month and one-year tenors rose 0.26 volatility points on average. The Ether one-year-minus-one-week ATM IV slope was 8.15 volatility points.",
  "crossAssetMarketContext": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "source": "market-context-mcp",
    "status": "available",
    "asset": "ETH",
    "sessionDate": "2026-09-02",
    "asOfTimestamp": "2026-09-02T20:00:00+00:00",
    "summary": "Previous session (latest completed): Persisted common-session crypto and equity-volatility context. The crypto-to-SPX realised-volatility ratio was 8.21, at the 95.1 percentile across 223 prior observations. The 60-session crypto-SPX return correlation was 0.32 from 60 aligned observations.",
    "regimeInsights": [
      "The crypto-to-SPX realised-volatility ratio was 8.21, at the 95.1 percentile across 223 prior observations.",
      "The 60-session crypto-SPX return correlation was 0.32 from 60 aligned observations."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "cryptoAtmIv30d": 48.87,
      "vix": 15.199999809265137,
      "vix9d": 12.569999694824219,
      "vix3m": 17.729999542236328,
      "ivSpread": 33.67000019073486,
      "ivRatio": 3.2151316192919532,
      "cryptoRealisedVol20d": 62.32360394180741,
      "spxRealisedVol20": 7.588171409644216,
      "rvSpread": 54.735432532163195,
      "rvRatio": 8.21325726282316,
      "rvSpreadPercentile": 58.29596412556054,
      "rvSpreadPercentileSampleCount": 223,
      "rvRatioPercentile": 95.06726457399103,
      "rvRatioPercentileSampleCount": 223,
      "returnCorrelation30": 0.020968517459520112,
      "returnCorrelation30SampleCount": 30,
      "returnCorrelation60": 0.3227145915296376,
      "returnCorrelation60SampleCount": 60
    },
    "methodology": "Provider: yahoo_finance; quality: valid. Crypto RV annualised on sqrt(365); SPX RV on sqrt(252)."
  }
}
