{ "schemaVersion": 1, "currency": "ALTS", "reportDate": "2026-10-08", "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T16:38:35+00:00", "currentSnapshotAt": "2026-10-08T16:32:00+00:00", "comparisonCutoffAt": "2026-10-08T16:32:00+00:00", "headline": "Altcoin options: AVAX–TRX 1w ATM IV level gap widens", "standfirst": "AVAX and TRX's one-week ATM IV level dispersion widened to 59.18 volatility points: AVAX one-week ATM IV stood at 78.59%, versus TRX at 19.41%. This 1W relative volatility comparison shows an expanding separation between the highest and lowest implied-volatility levels in the four-coin complex, alongside a narrower cross-sectional skew range.", "marketSummary": "The cross-sectional 1W RR25 level range compressed to 4.76 volatility points from 7.93 volatility points at the prior cutoff, with HYPE and XRP defining the current endpoints. Thus, widening ATM IV dispersion coincided with narrowing dispersion in call-minus-put implied volatility. Comparisons of one-week ATM implied volatility with seven-day realised volatility remain unavailable across all four constituents.", "rows": [ { "asset": "XRP", "currentSnapshotAt": "2026-10-08T16:32:00+00:00", "previousSnapshotAt": "2026-10-07T16:32:00+00:00", "comparisonStatus": "available", "comparisonNote": null, "rejectedPreviousSnapshotAt": null, "currentListedExpiries": 7, "comparedListedExpiries": 4, "tenors": [ { "tenor": "1W", "availability": "available", "unavailableReason": null, "atmIv": { "current": 56.36, "previous": 52.44, "change": 3.92, "percentChange": 7.48 }, "rr25": { "current": -2.47, "previous": 2.19, "change": -4.66, "percentChange": -212.79 }, "bf25": { "current": 4.39, "previous": 3.95, "change": 0.44, "percentChange": 11.14 } }, { "tenor": "2W", "availability": "available", "unavailableReason": null, "atmIv": { "current": 53.28, "previous": 53.45, "change": -0.17, "percentChange": -0.32 }, "rr25": { "current": 2.8, "previous": 2.45, "change": 0.35, "percentChange": 14.29 }, "bf25": { "current": 4.98, "previous": 4.17, "change": 0.81, "percentChange": 19.42 } }, { "tenor": "1M", "availability": "available", "unavailableReason": null, "atmIv": { "current": 54.64, "previous": 54.0, "change": 0.64, "percentChange": 1.19 }, "rr25": { "current": 4.7, "previous": 2.88, "change": 1.82, "percentChange": 63.19 }, "bf25": { "current": 5.34, "previous": 4.7, "change": 0.64, "percentChange": 13.62 } }, { "tenor": "3M", "availability": "unavailable", "unavailableReason": "The target tenor is not bracketed by listed expiries; extrapolated values are suppressed.", "atmIv": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "rr25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "bf25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null } }, { "tenor": "6M", "availability": "unavailable", "unavailableReason": "The target tenor is not bracketed by listed expiries; extrapolated values are suppressed.", "atmIv": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "rr25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "bf25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null } }, { "tenor": "9M", "availability": "unavailable", "unavailableReason": "The target tenor is not bracketed by listed expiries; extrapolated values are suppressed.", "atmIv": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "rr25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "bf25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null } }, { "tenor": "1Y", "availability": "unavailable", "unavailableReason": "The target tenor is not bracketed by listed expiries; extrapolated values are suppressed.", "atmIv": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "rr25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "bf25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null } } ], "oneWeek": { "tenor": "1W", "availability": "available", "unavailableReason": null, "atmIv": { "current": 56.36, "previous": 52.44, "change": 3.92, "percentChange": 7.48 }, "rr25": { "current": -2.47, "previous": 2.19, "change": -4.66, "percentChange": -212.79 }, "bf25": { "current": 4.39, "previous": 3.95, "change": 0.44, "percentChange": 11.14 } }, "nearestEligibleForward": { "label": "16OCT26", "daysToExpiry": 7.645, "forward": { "current": 1.35, "previous": 1.44, "change": -0.09, "percentChange": -6.25 } }, "realisedVolatility": { "source": "canonical/XRP-USDC-INDEX (DERIBIT and OKX indexes)", "fallbackObservations": 0, "fallbackPolicy": "Missing canonical minutes use the stored Deribit index first, then the stored OKX index; canonical bars always take precedence.", "samplingInterval": "1 minute", "annualizationBasis": "365 days", "windowEnd": "2026-10-08T16:32:00+00:00", "spotWindowStart": "2026-10-07T16:32:00+00:00", "spotMetric": "spot-index return", "spotUnit": "percent", "spotMove24hPercent": -5.69, "rv24hPercent": null, "rv7dPercent": null, "rv30dPercent": null, "observations": { "24h": 1336, "7d": 9976, "30d": 43096 }, "coverage": { "24h": { "status": "unavailable", "observedReturns": 1336, "expectedReturns": 1440, "coveragePercent": 92.7778, "missingPriceMinutes": 100, "missingIntervals": 4, "largestMissingRunMinutes": 91, "unavailableReason": "24h RV requires at least 99.5% valid one-minute returns and no price gap over 60 minutes; coverage is 92.7778% with 100 missing price minutes across 4 intervals and a largest gap of 91 minutes." }, "7d": { "status": "unavailable", "observedReturns": 9976, "expectedReturns": 10080, "coveragePercent": 98.9683, "missingPriceMinutes": 100, "missingIntervals": 4, "largestMissingRunMinutes": 91, "unavailableReason": "7d RV requires at least 99.5% valid one-minute returns and no price gap over 60 minutes; coverage is 98.9683% with 100 missing price minutes across 4 intervals and a largest gap of 91 minutes." }, "30d": { "status": "unavailable", "observedReturns": 43096, "expectedReturns": 43200, "coveragePercent": 99.7593, "missingPriceMinutes": 100, "missingIntervals": 4, "largestMissingRunMinutes": 91, "unavailableReason": "30d RV requires at least 99.5% valid one-minute returns and no price gap over 60 minutes; coverage is 99.7593% with 100 missing price minutes across 4 intervals and a largest gap of 91 minutes." } }, "coveragePolicy": { "version": "observed-minute-returns-v1", "minimumCoveragePercent": 99.5, "minimumCoveragePercentByWindow": { "24h": 99.5, "7d": 99.5, "30d": 99.5 }, "maximumMissingRunMinutes": 60, "methodology": "Each RV window qualifies independently. RV annualises the mean squared observed one-minute log return; returns spanning gaps are excluded, not interpolated or zero-filled. 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"2026-09-23T16:32:00+00:00", "endAt": "2026-09-30T16:32:00+00:00", "valuePercent": 0.07, "sourceRefs": [ "points[timestamp=2026-09-23T16:32:00+00:00]", "points[timestamp=2026-09-30T16:32:00+00:00]" ] }, { "startAt": "2026-09-24T16:32:00+00:00", "endAt": "2026-10-01T16:32:00+00:00", "valuePercent": -2.15, "sourceRefs": [ "points[timestamp=2026-09-24T16:32:00+00:00]", "points[timestamp=2026-10-01T16:32:00+00:00]" ] } ] } } } }, "spotMove7dPercent": -8.99, "oneWeekAtmIvPercent": 56.36, "oneWeekIvMinus7dRvPoints": null, "oneWeekIvMinus24hRvPoints": null, "oneWeekIvMinus30dRvPoints": null }, "realisedVolatilityUnavailableReason": null }, { "asset": "HYPE", "currentSnapshotAt": "2026-10-08T16:32:00+00:00", "previousSnapshotAt": "2026-10-07T16:32:00+00:00", "comparisonStatus": "available", "comparisonNote": null, "rejectedPreviousSnapshotAt": null, "currentListedExpiries": 7, "comparedListedExpiries": 4, "tenors": [ { "tenor": "1W", "availability": "available", "unavailableReason": null, "atmIv": { "current": 56.46, "previous": 55.95, "change": 0.51, "percentChange": 0.91 }, "rr25": { "current": 2.29, "previous": 3.13, "change": -0.84, "percentChange": -26.84 }, "bf25": { "current": 3.61, "previous": 3.11, "change": 0.5, "percentChange": 16.08 } }, { "tenor": "2W", "availability": "available", "unavailableReason": null, "atmIv": { "current": 56.59, "previous": 55.76, "change": 0.83, "percentChange": 1.49 }, "rr25": { "current": 2.61, "previous": 2.85, "change": -0.24, "percentChange": -8.42 }, "bf25": { "current": 3.55, "previous": 2.71, "change": 0.84, "percentChange": 31.0 } }, { "tenor": "1M", "availability": "available", "unavailableReason": null, "atmIv": { "current": 56.63, "previous": 56.57, "change": 0.06, "percentChange": 0.11 }, "rr25": { "current": 2.61, "previous": 2.15, "change": 0.46, "percentChange": 21.4 }, "bf25": { "current": 3.61, "previous": 2.39, "change": 1.22, "percentChange": 51.05 } }, { "tenor": "3M", "availability": "unavailable", "unavailableReason": "The target tenor is not bracketed by listed expiries; extrapolated values are suppressed.", "atmIv": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "rr25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "bf25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null } }, { "tenor": "6M", "availability": "unavailable", "unavailableReason": "The target tenor is not bracketed by listed expiries; extrapolated values are suppressed.", "atmIv": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "rr25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "bf25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null } }, { "tenor": "9M", "availability": "unavailable", "unavailableReason": "The target tenor is not bracketed by listed expiries; extrapolated values are suppressed.", "atmIv": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "rr25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "bf25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null } }, { "tenor": "1Y", "availability": "unavailable", "unavailableReason": "The target tenor is not bracketed by listed expiries; extrapolated values are suppressed.", "atmIv": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "rr25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "bf25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null } } ], "oneWeek": { "tenor": "1W", "availability": "available", "unavailableReason": null, "atmIv": { "current": 56.46, "previous": 55.95, "change": 0.51, "percentChange": 0.91 }, "rr25": { "current": 2.29, "previous": 3.13, "change": -0.84, "percentChange": -26.84 }, "bf25": { "current": 3.61, "previous": 3.11, "change": 0.5, "percentChange": 16.08 } }, "nearestEligibleForward": { "label": "16OCT26", "daysToExpiry": 7.645, "forward": { "current": 84.4, "previous": 88.58, "change": -4.18, "percentChange": -4.72 } }, "realisedVolatility": { "source": "canonical/HYPE-USDC-INDEX (DERIBIT and OKX indexes)", "fallbackObservations": 0, "fallbackPolicy": "Missing canonical minutes use the stored Deribit index first, then the stored OKX index; canonical bars always take precedence.", "samplingInterval": "1 minute", "annualizationBasis": "365 days", "windowEnd": "2026-10-08T16:32:00+00:00", "spotWindowStart": "2026-10-07T16:32:00+00:00", "spotMetric": "spot-index return", "spotUnit": "percent", "spotMove24hPercent": -4.55, "rv24hPercent": null, "rv7dPercent": null, "rv30dPercent": null, "observations": { "24h": 1336, "7d": 9976, "30d": 43096 }, "coverage": { "24h": { "status": "unavailable", "observedReturns": 1336, "expectedReturns": 1440, "coveragePercent": 92.7778, "missingPriceMinutes": 100, "missingIntervals": 4, "largestMissingRunMinutes": 91, "unavailableReason": "24h RV requires at least 99.5% valid one-minute returns and no price gap over 60 minutes; coverage is 92.7778% with 100 missing price minutes across 4 intervals and a largest gap of 91 minutes." }, "7d": { "status": "unavailable", "observedReturns": 9976, "expectedReturns": 10080, "coveragePercent": 98.9683, "missingPriceMinutes": 100, "missingIntervals": 4, "largestMissingRunMinutes": 91, "unavailableReason": "7d RV requires at least 99.5% valid one-minute returns and no price gap over 60 minutes; coverage is 98.9683% with 100 missing price minutes across 4 intervals and a largest gap of 91 minutes." }, "30d": { "status": "unavailable", "observedReturns": 43096, "expectedReturns": 43200, "coveragePercent": 99.7593, "missingPriceMinutes": 100, "missingIntervals": 4, "largestMissingRunMinutes": 91, "unavailableReason": "30d RV requires at least 99.5% valid one-minute returns and no price gap over 60 minutes; coverage is 99.7593% with 100 missing price minutes across 4 intervals and a largest gap of 91 minutes." } }, "coveragePolicy": { "version": "observed-minute-returns-v1", "minimumCoveragePercent": 99.5, "minimumCoveragePercentByWindow": { "24h": 99.5, "7d": 99.5, "30d": 99.5 }, "maximumMissingRunMinutes": 60, "methodology": "Each RV window qualifies independently. RV annualises the mean squared observed one-minute log return; returns spanning gaps are excluded, not interpolated or zero-filled. Partial estimates assume observed minutes are representative and may miss volatility during gaps." }, "spotUnavailableReason": null, "rvStatus": "unavailable", "rvUnavailableReason": "minute-return-coverage-ineligible", "spotReturns": { "schemaVersion": 1, "asset": "HYPE", "cutoffAt": "2026-10-08T16:32:00+00:00", "sourceSha256": "13c81bec1cef3158a9cb50aeb672a7bcee2bc5d42b8c5aba329a36dae164a53a", "points": [ { "timestamp": "2026-08-09T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 54.855, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-10T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 54.26, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-11T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 53.931, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-12T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 56.327, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-13T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 57.759, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-14T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 55.916, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-15T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 56.862, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-16T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 57.697, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-17T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 59.196, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-18T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 58.335, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-19T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 62.467, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-20T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 73.807, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-21T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 76.516, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-22T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 77.542, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-23T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 80.343, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-24T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 79.05, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-25T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 81.436, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": 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"unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-08T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 83.934, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-09T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 85.316, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-10T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 79.147, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-11T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 81.199, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-12T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 80.179, "venue": 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"sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-17T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 81.909, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-18T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 91.542, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-19T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 93.103, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-20T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 92.88, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-21T16:32:00+00:00", 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"sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-26T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 92.438, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 91.336, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-28T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 89.219, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "HYPE-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 86.712, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 88.919, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-01T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 87.38, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-02T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 89.291, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-03T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 89.033, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-04T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 89.893, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-05T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 92.657, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-06T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 91.867, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 88.417, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-08T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 84.397, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "HYPE-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "deribit", "sourceInstrument": "hype_usdc", "unavailableReason": null } ], "historyUnavailableReason": null, "basis": 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"comparedListedExpiries": 4, "tenors": [ { "tenor": "1W", "availability": "available", "unavailableReason": null, "atmIv": { "current": 78.59, "previous": 73.34, "change": 5.25, "percentChange": 7.16 }, "rr25": { "current": 1.72, "previous": 4.38, "change": -2.66, "percentChange": -60.73 }, "bf25": { "current": 3.2, "previous": 3.8, "change": -0.6, "percentChange": -15.79 } }, { "tenor": "2W", "availability": "available", "unavailableReason": null, "atmIv": { "current": 74.87, "previous": 73.05, "change": 1.82, "percentChange": 2.49 }, "rr25": { "current": 1.52, "previous": 5.1, "change": -3.58, "percentChange": -70.2 }, "bf25": { "current": 4.28, "previous": 4.16, "change": 0.12, "percentChange": 2.88 } }, { "tenor": "1M", "availability": "available", "unavailableReason": null, "atmIv": { "current": 72.83, "previous": 72.95, "change": -0.12, "percentChange": -0.16 }, "rr25": { "current": 4.27, "previous": 6.25, "change": -1.98, "percentChange": -31.68 }, "bf25": { "current": 4.61, "previous": 4.87, "change": -0.26, "percentChange": -5.34 } }, { "tenor": "3M", "availability": "unavailable", "unavailableReason": "The target tenor is not bracketed by listed expiries; extrapolated values are suppressed.", "atmIv": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "rr25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "bf25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null } }, { "tenor": "6M", "availability": "unavailable", "unavailableReason": "The target tenor is not bracketed by listed expiries; extrapolated values are suppressed.", "atmIv": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "rr25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null }, "bf25": { "current": null, "previous": null, "change": null, "percentChange": null } }, { "tenor": "9M", "availability": "unavailable", "unavailableReason": "The target tenor is 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"percentChange": -60.73 }, "bf25": { "current": 3.2, "previous": 3.8, "change": -0.6, "percentChange": -15.79 } }, "nearestEligibleForward": { "label": "16OCT26", "daysToExpiry": 7.645, "forward": { "current": 10.07, "previous": 11.32, "change": -1.25, "percentChange": -11.04 } }, "realisedVolatility": { "source": "canonical/AVAX-USDC-INDEX (DERIBIT and OKX indexes)", "fallbackObservations": 0, "fallbackPolicy": "Missing canonical minutes use the stored Deribit index first, then the stored OKX index; canonical bars always take precedence.", "samplingInterval": "1 minute", "annualizationBasis": "365 days", "windowEnd": "2026-10-08T16:32:00+00:00", "spotWindowStart": "2026-10-07T16:32:00+00:00", "spotMetric": "spot-index return", "spotUnit": "percent", "spotMove24hPercent": -10.76, "rv24hPercent": null, "rv7dPercent": null, "rv30dPercent": null, "observations": { "24h": 1336, "7d": 9976, "30d": 43096 }, "coverage": { "24h": { "status": "unavailable", "observedReturns": 1336, "expectedReturns": 1440, "coveragePercent": 92.7778, "missingPriceMinutes": 100, "missingIntervals": 4, "largestMissingRunMinutes": 91, "unavailableReason": "24h RV requires at least 99.5% valid one-minute returns and no price gap over 60 minutes; coverage is 92.7778% with 100 missing price minutes across 4 intervals and a largest gap of 91 minutes." }, "7d": { "status": "unavailable", "observedReturns": 9976, "expectedReturns": 10080, "coveragePercent": 98.9683, "missingPriceMinutes": 100, "missingIntervals": 4, "largestMissingRunMinutes": 91, "unavailableReason": "7d RV requires at least 99.5% valid one-minute returns and no price gap over 60 minutes; coverage is 98.9683% with 100 missing price minutes across 4 intervals and a largest gap of 91 minutes." }, "30d": { "status": "unavailable", "observedReturns": 43096, "expectedReturns": 43200, "coveragePercent": 99.7593, "missingPriceMinutes": 100, "missingIntervals": 4, "largestMissingRunMinutes": 91, "unavailableReason": "30d RV requires at least 99.5% valid one-minute returns and no price gap over 60 minutes; coverage is 99.7593% with 100 missing price minutes across 4 intervals and a largest gap of 91 minutes." } }, "coveragePolicy": { "version": "observed-minute-returns-v1", "minimumCoveragePercent": 99.5, "minimumCoveragePercentByWindow": { "24h": 99.5, "7d": 99.5, "30d": 99.5 }, "maximumMissingRunMinutes": 60, "methodology": "Each RV window qualifies independently. RV annualises the mean squared observed one-minute log return; returns spanning gaps are excluded, not interpolated or zero-filled. Partial estimates assume observed minutes are representative and may miss volatility during gaps." }, "spotUnavailableReason": null, "rvStatus": "unavailable", "rvUnavailableReason": "minute-return-coverage-ineligible", "spotReturns": { "schemaVersion": 1, "asset": "AVAX", "cutoffAt": "2026-10-08T16:32:00+00:00", "sourceSha256": "34a2bab51b7a20cd49e39a14f6588567af3bdb5fc59c4dc3fd8aadc1a873cacb", "points": [ { "timestamp": "2026-08-09T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 6.545, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "AVAX-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "AVAX-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-10T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 6.45, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "AVAX-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "AVAX-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-11T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 6.228, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "AVAX-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "AVAX-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-12T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 6.36, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "AVAX-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "AVAX-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-13T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 6.388, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "AVAX-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "AVAX-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-14T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 6.435, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "AVAX-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "AVAX-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-15T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 6.495, "venue": "canonical", "instrument": "AVAX-USDC-INDEX", "fallback": false, "sourceVenue": "okx", "sourceInstrument": "AVAX-USD", "unavailableReason": null }, { "timestamp": "2026-08-16T16:32:00+00:00", "price": 6.392, "venue": 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0.4649, "score": 24.9005, "historicalContext": { "status": "available", "observationKind": "level", "basis": "prior aligned same-asset same-cadence cross-sectional ranges; oneWeek.atmIvLevel", "percentile": 67.9, "observations": 28, "minimumObservations": 20, "window": { "start": "2026-08-30T23:59:00+00:00", "end": "2026-09-30T16:30:00+00:00" }, "sourceRefs": [ "storedHistoricalReports.oneWeek.atmIvLevel", "crossAssetAnalysis.oneWeek.atmIvLevel" ], "unavailableReason": null }, "scoreComponents": { "version": 3, "unit": "volatility points", "magnitudeScale": 10.0, "normalizedMagnitude": 5.918, "magnitudeScore": 11.836, "historicalMagnitudeScale": 1.0, "historicalBonus": 13.0645, "evidenceQuality": 1.0, "totalScore": 24.9005, "rarity": { "policyVersion": 1, "tail": "upper", "percentile": 67.9, "tailDistance": 17.9, "magnitudeIndependent": false }, "formula": "(2 * min(abs(observation) / metric scale, 20) + rarity * historical magnitude scale) * evidence quality; validated dispersion 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{ "version": 3, "unit": "volatility points", "magnitudeScale": 1.0, "normalizedMagnitude": 7.01, "magnitudeScore": 14.02, "historicalMagnitudeScale": 1.0, "historicalBonus": 10.4125, "evidenceQuality": 1.0, "totalScore": 24.4325, "rarity": { "policyVersion": 1, "tail": "upper", "percentile": 64.3, "tailDistance": 14.3, "magnitudeIndependent": false }, "formula": "(2 * min(abs(observation) / metric scale, 20) + rarity * historical magnitude scale) * evidence quality; validated dispersion lower tail <= 10 uses scale 1", "selectionAdjustment": 0.0, "selectionScore": 24.4325 }, "story": "AVAX drove 1W ATM IV divergence as it rose 5.25 volatility points and cross-asset dispersion reached 7.01", "source": "crossAssetAnalysis.evidence[alts-cross-1w-atm-change-dispersion]", "scope": "cross-asset", "leader": "AVAX", "laggard": "TRX", "evidence": { "id": "alts-cross-1w-atm-change-dispersion", "metric": "1W ATM IV change dispersion", "unit": "volatility points", "leader": "AVAX", "laggard": "TRX", "highest": 5.25, "lowest": -1.76, "spread": 7.01, "highestToLowestRatio": null, "largestAbsoluteMoveAsset": "AVAX", "largestAbsoluteMoveValue": 5.25, "values": [ { "asset": "XRP", "value": 3.92 }, { "asset": "HYPE", "value": 0.51 }, { "asset": "AVAX", "value": 5.25 }, { "asset": "TRX", "value": -1.76 } ] }, "supportingSpreadChange": null, "selectionScore": 24.4325, "selectionReason": "Deterministic metric-scaled magnitude, matching historical rarity, evidence availability and validated coordination/crossings; ties ordered by candidate ID" }, { "id": "alts-cross-1w-rr25-dispersion", "asset": "ALTS", "metric": "relativeSkew", "metricLabel": "relative skew", "tenor": "1W", "expiry": null, "observationKind": "level", "change": null, "current": 4.76, "previous": null, "relativeChangePercent": null, "historicalPercentile": null, "historicalLevelPercentile": 46.4, "historicalZScore": -0.0904, "score": 7.372, "historicalContext": { "status": "available", "observationKind": "level", 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